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3:05 Goodwood
57 points @ 15/8 (FD) Toormore* (min 15/8)Took 2/1 this afternoon, but couldn’t get on here to put it up.
Sad to see this once promising horse beaten by a middle of the road cuddy who hadn’t won for two years.
Es Que Love has probably improved a bit for Clive Cox but I would be wary of believing he’s suddenly a group 2 animal.
A race to treat with caution going forward for me.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
3:05 Goodwood
57 points @ 15/8 (FD) Toormore* (min 15/8)Took 2/1 this afternoon, but couldn’t get on here to put it up.
Sad to see this once promising horse beaten by a middle of the road cuddy who hadn’t won for two years.
Es Que Love has probably improved a bit for Clive Cox but I would be wary of believing he’s suddenly a group 2 animal.
A race to treat with caution going forward for me.
Judging by the time compared to Racing Post Standard and the other races there today Steve – it was a comparitively slowly run 7f. Toormore is a 7f/miler; imo needing a fairly strongly run 7f to be at his best. I backed Es Que Love last time out at Newbury over 6f and appeared the likeliest winner one out, only to tire late on. Travelled so well there looked worth a shot at the Nunthorpe! I would not under-estimate how much improvement he’s made since moving to Cox. Plus, of all the runners in the Lennox, we knew Es Que Love had the most
speed
. Very much suited by a slowly run seven furlongs on a firm (speed) surface. Don’t be too disappointed in Toormore.
Value Is Everything2:30 Goodwood
40 points @ 6/1 (PP) Cloudscape* (min 11/2)50 points @ 4/1 (L) Somewhat* (min 7/2)
10 points @ 9/1 (VC) Windshear (min 9/1)Value Is Everything3:40 Goodwood
16 points each way @ 12/1 (PP) Pallister* (min 11/1)
35 points @ 5/4 (FD) Highland Reel (min 5/4)Value Is Everything4:15 Goodwood
64 points @ 13/8 (FD) Shahah* (min 13/8)Another bet to come in this race.
Value Is Everything4:15 Goodwood
64 points @ 13/8 (FD) Shahah* (min 13/8)54 points @ 4/1 (L) Hundi* (min 7/2)
Value Is Everything3:40 Goodwood
16 points each way @ 12/1 (PP) Pallister* (min 11/1)
35 points @ 5/4 (FD) Highland Reel (min 5/4)5 points each way @ 50/1 (SJ 1/4 odds) Room Key* (min 40/1)
Value Is Everything4:15 Goodwood
64 points @ 13/8 (FD) Shahah* (min 13/8)54 points @ 4/1 (L) Hundi* (min 7/2)
Interesting in your theories regarding in betting in races like this. It seems you will more often than not risk a ‘form horse’ against the newcomers. Is it mainly based on Timeform ratings against the average winner rating for a particular race? There are four newcomers in today’s race, admittedly only one appears fancied, but each of the respective trainers are capable of sending out a winning debutant.
I had one bet yesterday (Fast Act) and didn’t find it too difficult to avoid them today. No surprise if one of three short ones gets turned over.
Good luck.
4:15 Goodwood
64 points @ 13/8 (FD) Shahah* (min 13/8)54 points @ 4/1 (L) Hundi* (min 7/2)
Is it mainly based on Timeform ratings against the average winner rating for a particular race?
There are four newcomers in today’s race, admittedly only one appears fancied, but each of the respective trainers are capable of sending out a winning debutant.
Good luck.
That’s exactly right Stilvi, although it didn’t pay off today. Timeform ratings judged against the average race winner is a major part, obviously stamina, pace and going etc too. I do like to oppose the newcomers, particularly if from yards with poor 2yo first time out strike rates. Bell’s 2yo’s usually improve a lot for the run. Although Moore’s booking a positive, had to oppose it.
Value Is Everything3:05 Goodwood
38 points @ 11/1 (B365) Angel Gabriel* (min 8/1)Value Is Everything3:05 Goodwood
38 points @ 11/1 (B365) Angel Gabriel* (min 8/1)34 points @ 11/2 (VC) Cavalryman* (min 11/2)
Value Is EverythingI thought so. whether he wasn’t good enough or quick enough to get the gap when it appeared but had a troubled passage and went inside before coming back out wide and finishing, think he might have snatched it with a clear run.
Blackbeard to conquer the World
I thought so. whether he wasn’t good enough or quick enough to get the gap when it appeared but had a troubled passage and went inside before coming back out wide and finishing, think he might have snatched it with a clear run.
Did wonder what my Room Key (50/1) would’ve done without getting in a hole. But I suppose the winner (had him covered as a saver) won well.
Value Is Everything
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