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Festival Trends

Viewing 13 posts - 1 through 13 (of 13 total)
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  • #25674
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Hi All, new to the forum here.

    I have gone through some threads and there’s some great reading. I am a systems/trends man myself more of an extension of my worklife really – I’m a business analyst !! Hahaha.

    Some great stats on the Festival and I also watch the odds.

    Supreme Novices kicks us off.

    It seems that Vautour (best priced at 3’s when writing this) hasn’t moved for almost a month now. Irving has gone from 8/1 down to 5/2 so seems to be the fancy of many.

    The one that has taken my eye is Vaniteux, 33’s into 12’s over the last month and with the stat of only 3 of the last 17 winners having an SP of 3/1 or less, it might be the one to oppose the above Irving and Vautour.

    Gilgamboa 33’s into 14’s and Wicklow Brave 10’s into 7’s may also be looking at.

    #470723
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Horses that follow the trends I have noticed for Day 1 are as follows…

    1:30 Supremem Novices Hurdle

    Vautour
    Irving
    Wicklow Brave
    Vaniteux**
    Gilgamboa
    Splash Of Ginge
    Un Ace

    2:05 Arkle Chase

    Dodging Bullets
    Rock On Ruby**
    Trifolium
    Grandouet

    2:40 Festival Handicap Chase

    Ma Filleule
    Vintage Star
    Wrong Turn
    King Massini
    Muldoon´s Picnic
    Time For Rupert**
    Renard

    3:20 Champion Hurdle

    Hurricane Fly**
    Melodic Rendezvous
    My Tent Or Yours

    4:00 OLBG Mares Hurdle

    No trends found.

    4:40 NH Amateur Riders Novices Chase

    Shotgun Paddy
    Suntiep**
    Milborough

    5:15 Rewards4Racing Novices Handicap Chase

    Ericht
    Manyriverstocross
    Persian Snow
    Present View
    Dursey Sound
    Ahyaknowyerself
    Festive Affair
    Buywise**
    Buthelezi

    **Indicates my selection.

    Good luck with your bets.

    #470919
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    A good day for the trends on Day 1. It’s just a shame that I can’t pick winners, even from reduced listings !! :(

    Horses that follow the trends I have noticed for Day 1 are as follows…

    1:30 Supremem Novices Hurdle

    Vautour –

    Irving
    Wicklow Brave
    Vaniteux** –

    Gilgamboa
    Splash Of Ginge
    Un Ace

    2:05 Arkle Chase

    Dodging Bullets
    Rock On Ruby**
    Trifolium –

    Grandouet

    2:40 Festival Handicap Chase

    Ma Filleule –

    Vintage Star
    Wrong Turn
    King Massini
    Muldoon´s Picnic
    Time For Rupert**
    Renard

    3:20 Champion Hurdle

    Hurricane Fly**
    Melodic Rendezvous
    My Tent Or Yours –

    4:00 OLBG Mares Hurdle

    No trends found.

    4:40 NH Amateur Riders Novices Chase

    Shotgun Paddy –

    Suntiep** –

    Milborough

    5:15 Rewards4Racing Novices Handicap Chase

    Ericht
    Manyriverstocross
    Persian Snow
    Present View –

    Dursey Sound
    Ahyaknowyerself –

    Festive Affair
    Buywise**
    Buthelezi

    **Indicates my selection.

    #471011
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Horses that follow the trends I have noticed for Day 2 are as follows…

    1:30 Neptune Novices Hurdle

    Faugheen
    Red Sherlock
    Rathvinden**
    Lieutenant Colonel

    2:05 RSA Chase

    Ballycasey
    Smad Place
    Corrin Wood**
    O’Faolains Boy
    Sam Winner
    Don Cossack
    Many Clouds
    Black Thunder

    2:40 Coral Cup Hurdle

    Bayan**
    Kaylif Aramis
    Dell´ Arca
    Waaheb
    Calculated Risk

    3:20 Queen Mother Champion Chase

    Sire De Grugy
    Captain Conan**
    Arvika Legionniere
    Baily Green
    Kid Cassidy
    Sizing Europe
    Module
    Somersby
    Wishfull Thinking

    4:00 Cross Country Chase

    Big Shu
    Love Rory
    Star Neuville**
    Quiscover Fountaine

    4:40 Fred Winter Hurdle

    Goodwood Mirage
    Baradari
    Certification
    Violet Dancer
    Orgilgo Bay**
    Hawk High
    Handiwork
    Vandross
    Raven´s Tower

    5:15 Champion Bumper
    Black Hercules**
    Shaneshill
    Killultagh Vic
    Vigil
    Value At Risk
    El Namoose
    Silver Concorde
    Definitely Red
    Third Act
    Assam Black
    Zeroeshadesofgrey

    **Indicates my selections.

    Good luck with your bets.

    #471239
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Wow ! What a day ! Five of today’s winners were highlighted in the trend analysis and shown in my listings. Just a real shame that I can’t even pick these winners out even from a reduced field !! Oh well, there’s always tomorrow.

    Check my blog for tomorrow’s listings
    http://theanalyst.siterubix.com

    Horses that follow the trends I have noticed for Day 2 are as follows…

    1:30 Neptune Novices Hurdle

    Faugheen –

    Red Sherlock
    Rathvinden**

    Lieutenant Colonel

    2:05 RSA Chase

    Ballycasey
    Smad Place –

    Corrin Wood**
    O’Faolains Boy –

    Sam Winner
    Don Cossack
    Many Clouds
    Black Thunder

    2:40 Coral Cup Hurdle

    Bayan** –

    Kaylif Aramis
    Dell´ Arca
    Waaheb
    Calculated Risk

    3:20 Queen Mother Champion Chase

    Sire De Grugy –

    Captain Conan**
    Arvika Legionniere
    Baily Green
    Kid Cassidy
    Sizing Europe
    Module –

    Somersby –

    Wishfull Thinking
    (To be fair my trends listing contained 9 of the 11 runners, so no real surprises here)

    4:00 Cross Country Chase

    Big Shu –

    Love Rory
    Star Neuville**
    Quiscover Fountaine

    4:40 Fred Winter Hurdle

    Goodwood Mirage
    Baradari
    Certification
    Violet Dancer
    Orgilgo Bay** –

    Hawk High –

    Handiwork
    Vandross
    Raven´s Tower


    5:15 Champion Bumper
    Black Hercules**
    Shaneshill –

    Killultagh Vic
    Vigil
    Value At Risk
    El Namoose
    Silver Concorde –

    Won at 16/1

    Definitely Red
    Third Act
    Assam Black
    Zeroeshadesofgrey


    **Indicates my selections.

    Good luck with your bets.

    #471287
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Horses that follow the trends I have noticed for Day

    are as follows…

    1:30 Jewson Novices Chase

    Double Ross
    Off The Ground
    Taquin De Seuil**

    2:05 Pertemps Handicap Hurdle Final

    If In Doubt
    Grand Vision
    Josies Orders
    Top Wood
    Uncle Jimmy
    Broadway Buffalo
    Mister Dillon
    Utopie Des Bordes
    Crowning Jewel
    First Fandango
    Fingal Bay**
    Jetson
    Southfield Theatre
    Mickie
    Trustan Times
    (It would be nice to reduce this listing even further, but I just can’t find the trends to do so. At least it cuts the field in half meaning less form study !!)

    2:40 Ryanair Chase

    Al Ferof**
    Benefficient
    Menorah

    3:20 Ladbrokes World Hurdle

    Annie Power**
    More Of That
    Zarkandar
    Mala Beach

    4:00 Byrne Group Plate Handicap Chase

    Carrickboy
    Firth Of The Clyde**
    Shangani
    Bennys Mist
    Tatenen
    Sew On Target
    Christopher Wren

    4:40 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Trophy

    Our Father
    Buddy Bolero**

    **Indicates my selections.

    Good luck with your bets.

    #471559
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    3 winners from the trends listings today and the first race where none were placed…

    Horses that follow the trends I have noticed for Day

    are as follows…

    1:30 Jewson Novices Chase

    Double Ross

    Off The Ground
    Taquin De Seuil**

    (

    2:05 Pertemps Handicap Hurdle Final

    If In Doubt
    Grand Vision
    Josies Orders
    Top Wood
    Uncle Jimmy
    Broadway Buffalo
    Mister Dillon
    Utopie Des Bordes
    Crowning Jewel
    First Fandango
    Fingal Bay**

    Jetson (

    Southfield Theatre

    Mickie
    Trustan Times

    (It would be nice to reduce this listing even further, but I just can’t find the trends to do so. At least it cuts the field in half meaning less form study !!)
    (

    2:40 Ryanair Chase

    Al Ferof**
    Benefficient (

    Menorah
    (

    3:20 Ladbrokes World Hurdle

    Annie Power**

    More Of That

    Zarkandar
    Mala Beach
    (

    4:00 Byrne Group Plate Handicap Chase

    Carrickboy
    Firth Of The Clyde**
    Shangani
    Bennys Mist
    Tatenen

    Sew On Target
    Christopher Wren
    (

    4:40 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Trophy

    Our Father (

    Buddy Bolero**
    (


    **Indicates my selections.

    Good luck with your bets.

    #471634
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Here we go, the final day (4)…

    1:30 Triumph Hurdle

    Calipto**
    Guitar Pete
    Pearl Castle
    Abbyssial
    Rutherglen
    Lindenhurst

    2:05 County Handicap Hurdle

    Cheltenian
    Lac Fontana
    Minella Foru**
    Alaivan
    Rainbow Peak
    Master Of The Game
    Deep Trouble
    Jumps Road
    Citizenship
    Lough Kent
    Morning Royalty

    2:40 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

    Deputy Dan
    Champagne West
    Blakemount
    Urban Hymn**
    Mosspark

    3:20 Cheltenham Gold Cup

    Bobs Worth
    Last Instalment**
    Triolo D’Alene
    Cloudy Too
    Houblon Des Obeaux

    4:00 Foxhunter Chase

    On The Fringe
    Harbour Court**
    Tammys Hill
    Oscar Delta
    Pearlysteps
    Certain Flight
    Divine Intavention
    Made In Time
    Shy John
    Carsonstown Boy
    Foundry Square
    Ravethebrave
    Double Bank

    4:40 Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle

    Vieux Lion Rouge**
    Une Artiste
    Ruacana

    5:15 Grand Annual handicap Chase

    Competitive Edge**

    **Indicates my selections.

    Good luck !

    #471642
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32242

    Good stuff trenndyrich.
    Surely the trend for the Mares race would be Quevega? :twisted:

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #472100
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Yes you could be right…

    Trends are…
    > Quevega has won 6 of the 7 runnings of this race.

    Selections analysed, number left after analysis = 1.

    Hahaha !!

    #474111
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Another festival kicks off today, the Aintree "Grand National" Festival and I have done the trends analysis for one race on each of the three days.

    Today’s race is the Foxhunters Chase at 3:40.

    22 runners should line up for this Class 2 race over 2m 5f 110yards and on the Good to Soft going at Aintree will probably seem like 3 miles.

    The trends I have found point to the potential winner being an established chaser who has already won a Class 2 Hunter Chase or Class 3 Handicap Chase before, has won on the going and ran recently.

    My full analysis can be found on my blog
    http://trendyrich.com/aintree-fox-hunters-chase/

    Good luck with your bets!

    #474216
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9338

    Can you tell me your National trends picks now cause I’m doing my head in looking at all the stats and it might stop me having several more bets!

    #474488
    Avatar phototrendyrich
    Participant
    • Total Posts 617

    Here’s a link to the page on my blog…

    http://trendyrich.com/grand-national/

    All the trends that I have found are on there.

    Good luck.

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