Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Feltham 2011
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December 21, 2011 at 16:33 #20568
Any thoughts here looks a match between 1st 2 in market am not a fan of Silvianico Conti myself.GRANDS CRUS for me it is
December 21, 2011 at 18:40 #383574its got to be Bobs worth for me, took 2/1. Grand crus is a massive danger but think the price is too short. I agree should only involve the front two in the market
December 21, 2011 at 18:54 #383578its got to be Bobs worth for me, took 2/1. Grand crus is a massive danger but think the price is too short. I agree should only involve the front two in the market
Come March i’ll be hoping for Bobs Worth – i love this horse, and that Geraghty bought it and then sold it to Henderson.
However, i think Silviniaco Conti on a flat track is going to be difficult to beat for both the RSA favourites, and has loads of scope for improvement over fences.
Be interesting to see the market on the day. Many of Hendersons are shortened as a pre requisite and are no value, especially at Ascot, Kempton and Newbury. Seeing as Henderson has smashed the cards at Kempton on a few occasions in the last twelve months, the horses on Boxing Day will be no price at all.
9-2 for Silviniaco Conti looks backable to me, although on the day i’ll be watching BW’s price.
December 22, 2011 at 01:06 #383637its got to be Bobs worth for me, took 2/1. Grand crus is a massive danger but think the price is too short. I agree should only involve the front two in the market
Come March i’ll be hoping for Bobs Worth – i love this horse, and that Geraghty bought it and then sold it to Henderson.
However, i think Silviniaco Conti on a flat track is going to be difficult to beat for both the RSA favourites, and has loads of scope for improvement over fences.
Be interesting to see the market on the day. Many of Hendersons are shortened as a pre requisite and are no value, especially at Ascot, Kempton and Newbury. Seeing as Henderson has smashed the cards at Kempton on a few occasions in the last twelve months, the horses on Boxing Day will be no price at all.
9-2 for Silviniaco Conti looks backable to me, although on the day i’ll be watching BW’s price.
Saying that Mark, I can quite easily see a big race treble on the day for NH, and getting on it beforehand could be hugely beneficial.
December 22, 2011 at 01:58 #383640It’s Bobs Worth for me, I love this horse too, such a will to win. In a finish he would be very hard to beat
December 22, 2011 at 08:46 #383658If this was Cheltenham I’d be in Bob’s Worth’s camp but round here I would have to assume Grand Crus would have way too much speed for them.
I would like to see him use that speed early between 4 out and 3 out and to put distance between himself and the others like he did at Cheltenham prior to the Festival.
If he can steal a march on them Bob’s Worth who would appreciate stiffer test of stamina IMO won’t find it as easy cutting him down like he did Cue Card.
Grand Crus for me
Main worry is Crand Crus takes a tumble. Don’t ask my why but he makes me feel unsafe when he jumps and gives me the impression he’s going to clout one. Hopefully I’m wrong.
December 26, 2011 at 08:36 #384106Hello and Merry Boxing Day.
Nicholls has Given Siliano Conti the right run around, as he bleedin does. What the horse has achieved over shorter trips can only be seen as a taster of things to come in my view. Nicholls has had dom alco’s before, most notably Neptune Collonges, so your not tellin me that he doesnt know that the bugger needs three miles to be seen at his best. Anyway I reckon this will be off for its life today and then will prove to be Nicholls next big gold cup horse to fill the void left by Kauto and Denman.
Thats the picture I have painted anyway.
December 26, 2011 at 14:07 #384139fantastic performance – great horse – must be gold cup bound now
December 26, 2011 at 14:08 #384140Absolutely foot perfect.
Excellent performance from the horse.
Took out so many lengths at some of his jumps, really good display from a novice chaser.
December 26, 2011 at 14:19 #384141Wow!
Am on at 7/1 (or was it 8’s?) for the RSA.
But (although I love seeing outstanding performances in any race, whether I’ve backed something or not) that race makes him more likely to go for the big one at Cheltenham. Now around 10/1 for the Gold Cup. If he gets any shorter than the now 2/1 for the RSA will save by laying back.Value Is EverythingDecember 26, 2011 at 14:28 #384143Wow!
Am on at 7/1 (or was it 8’s?) for the RSA.
But (although I love seeing outstanding performances in any race, whether I’ve backed something or not) that race makes him more likely to go for the big one at Cheltenham. Now around 10/1 for the Gold Cup. If he gets any shorter than the now 2/1 for the RSA will save by laying back.You have to wonder, if that performance will make connections really consider the Gold Cup. Yes, he is a novice, but the Gold Cup line-up, at present, doesnt have the depth or quality of previous years.
Add to that, we dont know what future plans are for Kauto Star, so whether he will line up at Cheltenham in March, is another question. Take out Long Run from the Gold Cup, and it is a wide open race.
Wouldnt surprise me if he went for the Gold Cup, especially if he keeps displaying the type of performances he showed in today’s race.
If he does for the RSA, then Gingstertipster, you have a great ante-post bet there!
December 26, 2011 at 15:08 #384153Don’t get carried away boys. He only finished a few lengths clear of the 2nd and 3rd, and we don’t know yet how this year’s novices rate; last year’s bunch have not been shining. It was visually impressive because of the way the pace-setters crumbled. Good performance at novice level, but a lot to prove at Gold Cup level.
December 26, 2011 at 16:32 #384189I can’t fault Grand Crus as he won in exactly the fashion I thought he would. They have entered him for the Gold Cup and while it may not be as hard a race to win as it was when Kauto and Deman ruled the roost it’s still a massive jump to make.
Long term the Gold Cup would be a mistake novices should stay in novice company and learn their trade. Running a horse not quite ready for a slog like the Gold Cup can ruin a young or inexperienced horse.
The easiest race for Grand Crus to win would be the Ryanair but DP says the RSA remains his target.
I’m not going to say at this point he’s a good thing for the RSA but he’s a worth fav.
The reason why is Bog Warrior fell today so we learned nothing more about him but he’s a very good horse and could be anything.
No denying his win today was a huge step towards Grand Crus winning the RSA but I’ll wait until the day before backing him if I end up doing so.
December 26, 2011 at 16:48 #384191Don’t get carried away boys. He only finished a few lengths clear of the 2nd and 3rd, and we don’t know yet how this year’s novices rate; last year’s bunch have not been shining. It was visually impressive because of the way the pace-setters crumbled. Good performance at novice level, but a lot to prove at Gold Cup level.
Certainly has something to prove at Gold Cup level to Befair. But is improving and it’s not the form (lengths etc) it’s how he won it. Always travelling and jumping well. Never under maximum pressure and value for more than distances suggest. There might be a doubt about Grands Crus upped to the Gold Cup distance, taking a bit of a tug. What happened to Gloria Victis might persuade connections to remain on the novice route.
Do wonder whether they’ve lengthened Bobs Worth a little too much. With a more severe test of stamina around Cheltenham, 12/1 could look good each way value come March.
Value Is EverythingDecember 26, 2011 at 17:13 #384196Bobs Worth is the one I will take out of the race. Stayed on nicely at the finish and wasn’t knocked around too much by Gerathy. Cheltenham will suit him much better and although Grand Crus will be hard to beat, I’d rather back the Henderson horse of the two, at the prices.
December 26, 2011 at 17:29 #384205Running the course almost 3 seconds quicker than K Star – albeit off a faster, more consistent early pace – will help tempt connections toward the GC.
Wherever he goes I think Scudamore will have learned a valuable lesson today – the horse travels so well and jumps so fluently (he was almost steadying the horse after each fence until he took it up), his best chance would be to try and make all. His high cruising speed and fine fencing could see him build too big a lead for a grinder to reach him in time. His potential weakness, imo, is that his free-running spirit and keenness would see him outbattled in a war of attrition close home.
December 26, 2011 at 17:50 #384213Bobs Worth is the one I will take out of the race. Stayed on nicely at the finish and was knocked around too much by Gerathy. Cheltenham will suit him much better and although Grand Crus will be hard to beat, I’d rather back the Henderson horse of the two, at the prices.
Yes I rather thought the same. No way he was at his best today, not a chance.
As for Grands Crus, really not understanding the hype about the performance. Silviniaco Conti’s done nothing in over a year and Bob’s Worth like I said was simply not at his best.
Yes he jumped them all bar 1 absolutely perfectly, but I don’t think he could’ve won by more than 8 lengths. I hope he goes for the RSA, wouldn’t want a repeat of Gloria Victis, but at 6/4 for me he’s absolutely the first ‘Banker of the Festival’ to oppose.
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