Here’s a little idea that might be worth investigating. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â As part of my selection method I always check the Post Data box in the RP. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â If my selection has a cross in any of the attributes it becomes a ‘no bet’ situation. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â In the past week or two I have noticed that some FC fav’s have had a cross (Quarterstaff, by way of example) and on that basis my be worth opposing. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Especilly so, as most FC Favs go off as the SP Fav and some inherant ‘value’ should be found. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Obviously, using the same logic, the opposing selection(s) should also not have a cross against it; but one might want to use the betting FC in identifying the most likely winner. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Yesteday for example, I had Alpha Rose down as a false fav (poor trainer form) and Moyne Pleasure was the alterantive selection. This won at 5/1!
Hi EddieS,<br>Identifying false favourites is a good plan. I’m posting a system at the moment called SF. If you followed all of the selections from that FULL list you would only lose 28% of the time opposing the favourite. And some of them are quite short priced.<br>My experience has been that favourites are worth opposing if they are under 2/1 in the betting and running in smaller fields, preferably HCP races.<br>Hope this helps.