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Chesham Stakes
2 pts win Beethoven (9/2 Ladbrokes)
1 pt e/w Shakesperian
Aerodynamic: 200,000gns buy who made a bright start in Nottingham maiden last week, overcoming traffic problems to win in good style; Should improve for this step up in trip, but this is a much harder task and that not looking a great maiden, but should be respected.Avow: Big outsider and ultimately well held but shaped quite encouragingly after slow start in midfield in Windsor maiden last week; That from simply not looking good enough here.
Beethoven: Beaten favourite at York and Naas but still looked as though the experience was needed when touched off by subsequent Listed winner Love Lockdown on latter course (pair well clear) and is likely to improve again; this stiffer test of stamina will suit, he brings solid form to the table and should play a big part.
Big Audio: Second to odds-on chance at Doncaster represented a step forward from debut effort and shapes as though there will be better to come now he tackles further; However that horse (Alsram) subsequently disappointed a bit in Coventry and lot to prove.
Bun Oir: Half-brother to two 3yo winners, both of whom improved with time and distance, and this May foal, who was retained for 60,000gns at the breeze-ups, is likely to do better next year; Bred to improve over time and this is his debut, plus he’d have to be classy to win this.
Emperor Claudius: Classy pedigree and got it right at odds on in 6f maiden at Fairyhouse on second outing, well on top at the finish; Likely to improve again for the step up in trip, but his form leaves him a bit to find with Beethoven taking a line through Love Lockdown.
Florio Victoire: Cheap buy who was a pleasing debut third at 66-1 in five-runner 6f Brighton maiden (second won since); Sight raised much higher now and that from leaves him likely to struggle.
Honour In Peace: Raced in 4.5f/5f maiden special weight events on Polytrack and dirt, scoring by 5l at Churchill Downs on latter surface; According to trainer (Wesley Ward), who has had 2 massive results with his 2 yr old’s this week (Strike The Tiger in the Windsor Castle, Jealous Again in the Queen Mary), he should go on turf, and looks to have a leading chance; However, he might be dependent on getting easy lead and this will be a long trip to do it over.
Izaaj: Ran green when third in decent maiden on debut behind winner Hih Spice and Nofolk winner Radiohead; then made quite hard work of landing odds of 1-2 in similar race upped to 6f at Yarmouth (second beaten favourite since); Should improve again for step up in trip and looks one of stable better 2 yr old’s, and on earlier form would have major e/w chance.
Megalio Ancora: Retained very cheaply as a foal and it looked a wise decision when he rallied to get the better of Alrasm (who went on to beat Big Audio at Doncaster) at Newbury; Form of that looks good for an ordinary maiden at Newbury, and looks to have place chance if draw doesn’t have adverse effect on his chances.
Party Doctor: Quite useful form when not beaten far in 6f maidens at Leicester behind Albany Stakes 7th and subsequent winner Jira at Newbury; no disgrace to finish third behind well-fancied newcomers from big yards on latter course last week ; However, even in those circumstances, he did look to have an advantage with a run, and raised up in class again, this looks tougher.
Queen’s Hawk: Well suited by step up to 6f when turning over previous form with favourite to win Goodwood maiden auction; Should find this step up in trip a good things, but her form does look weak in the spotlight.
Rigid: Exceeded expectations when 100-1 fourth at Doncaster on debut and does not have a great deal to find with runner-up Big Audio who had the benefit of a previous run; However still expect him to behind that rival today.
Shakesperian: 7-1, took time to get hang of things but forged clear final furlong in Haydock maiden and looks sure to improve with the extra furlong expected to suit; Stable, which had winner yesterday, responsible for three of the last nine winners of this race, also represented by Step In Time and Bikini Babe, but this looks much the best of three.
Step In Time: Did not need to improve on Haydock debut second when a little lucky to land Newmarket maiden (not helped by steady gallop, pulling hard); Will almost certainly not have same problems here regarding pace and unlikely we’ve seen the best of him yet, but needs to find more.
Bkini Babe: Put debut disappointment behind her upped to this trip at Sandown last week, albeit allowed an easy time in front; Won’t have same lead here, and also hard to say what she’s achieved .
Fly Silca Fly: Clear of third (subsequent winner) when outbattled by well-backed newcomer in 6f Newcastle fillies maiden; This looks much, much tougher.
VERDICT: Honor In Peace received the least glowing assessment when his trainer previewed the prospects of his Royal Ascot-bound 2yos, but this is arguably the weakest and he still merits respect. However, he’s stepping up 2 furlongs in trip and may well need an easy uncontested lead. Pat Smullen is a significant booking for Aerodynamic, but he takes a big step up in class. Izaaj could potentially be well in on his form concerning Radiohead, and Big Audio and Bun Oir are respected, but passed over, the former looking slightly exposed, the latter surely too inexperienced. Like many of the field today, BEETHOVEN can be expected to improve for the extra furlong and should go close here. He ran a listed winner (Love Lockdown) to a shot head last time, and a reproduction of that (or better seeing as he’ll improve for the trip) could well be good enough. Emperor Claudius, like so many of the Ballydoyle juvenile contingent, stepped up markedly on his Leopardstown debut third to score with plenty in hand at Fairyhouse and is certain to appreciate this seventh furlong, but he has a bit to find with Beethoven on a line through Love Lockdown. The rest look useful, but don’t look good enough.
Your pretty good at this! I’d type more but I’m bouncing my 8 month whilst typing!
Backed Beethoven at 6.0 to win and a small interest on Meglio Ancora to win at 18.0
This 7 furlong affair is sometimes won by a colt with a fair degree of speed who gets the distance but as often by the best 2yo in an early season staying lottery. 11/2 BF Favourite
Beethoven
looks more than worthy of taking the honours on the basis of his admirable strength and endurance in defeat to the useful Love Lockdown over 6f at Naas last time. He wasn’t given an unduly hard race that time and if he is tucked in and settled early from his decent 9 draw he must have an excellent chance of being first past the post on the near rails.
This 7 furlong affair is sometimes won by a colt with a fair degree of speed who gets the distance but as often by the best 2yo in an early season staying lottery. 11/2 BF Favourite
Beethoven
looks more than worthy of taking the honours on the basis of his admirable strength and endurance in defeat to the useful Love Lockdown over 6f at Naas last time. He wasn’t given an unduly hard race that time and if he is tucked in and settled early from his decent 9 draw he must have an excellent chance of being first past the post on the near rails.
Absolutely.
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Can’t say I was knocked out by either of AOB’s entires here. While the form line through Love Lockdown would indicate Beethoven is the better I would very much doubt it. I found very little to like about him when he finished second and can’t see him winning here.
Emperor Claudius won well enough but took his time to dispose of the second, If anything the second despite having run before looked more in ned of the experience and he run than he did. I don’t see the second entered here and he’s probably tucked up in his box at home.
I think on this occassion AOB should have left his 2 there as well.
Pat Eddery wouldn’t waste his time sending a horse to Royal Ascot unless he thought it had a very good chance of winning and this is one very nice horse. He beat Richard Fahey’s Ballodair, who look a sure fire future winner himslef, with ease. He got onto a bit of trouble earlier that would have seen some 2yo pack it in but he showed a lot of maturity and a good trun of foot to get to the front. Once there he quickened again and ran on for an easy win.
Aerodynamic 11/1 ew for me
Fist,
I wouln’t rest Aerodynamic’s case on that Nottingham race given it was 5 seconds slower than average on good ground. Not that it alone should rule him out here.
Z
- Total Posts 17716
I was reasonably impressed by Meglio Ancora at Newbury and think today’s extra furlong is going to be right up his street. He doesn’t have a fancy pedigree, and cost next to nothing, but he’s highly thought of and is a worthwhile bet at around 18/1.
I bet on Emperor Clauduis.And was impressed should of won really and the horse to take out of the race.Could be a 2000 Guineas contender.I know it is long way off until then.What you guys think
Indeed, the replay showed Emperor Claudius was an unlucky loser after suffering in early scrimmaging. While this is only a listed race and most previous winners havn’t amounted to much afterwards this year’s renewal may have been above average. I see in the RP report that the race is restricted to the progeny of stallions who have won over 1m2f and further.
1 Big Audio 22/1
2 Emperor Claudius 4/1J
3 Party Doctor 12/1Would happily see this race gotten rid of. The 1st was a twice-raced maiden, the 2nd had run in an Auction Maiden on his debut for AOB and the favourite was a twice-raced maiden. This race has produced dog after dog for years – it’s time for it to go. The race carries prize money of almost £50k – can’t they just add that onto the Prince of Wales’ and attract better horses?
It’s no wonder no international horses turn up in the Prince of Wales’ when the prize money is so crummy. The QE2 cup offers £600k to the winner, the Singapore Cup offers £800k to the winner. The next big race for 10f Group 1 runners is the Prince of Wales’ and on offer to the winner is……….£255k.
IMO there are 4 races which could easily be scrapped – the Chesham, the Wolferton Handicap, the Buckingham Palace Handicap and the Hampton Court Stakes. The Chesham doesn’t throw up any good horses, we’ve got the John Smith’s in the 3 weeks and had one at York 10 odd days ago. Do we really need another 10f handicap?
The Buck Palace falls between the Wokingham and the Hunt Cup in distance (not to mention the Bunbury Cup’s in 2 weeks) and the Ascot Stakes? The Northumberland Plate is on Saturday ffs. The Queen Alexandra Stakes was 2 days ago as well. The Queen’s Vase is a pretty dodgy race as well IMO.
I make that roughly £265k in prize money (by the way, any coincidence that most of these races fall on the Friday or Saturday?). They could add that onto the Prince of Wales’ prize fund (Queen Anne too maybe) and attract a high-class field.
They could replace the races I’ve ‘scrapped’ with a small series of handicaps for apprentice jockeys. 1 per day at the end of each card. Will give these jockeys vital experience in front of big crowds. No need to put up much prize money for the handicaps, maybe £15k each. Could be a good opportunity for local and small businesses to advertise.
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