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I’m clipping away on Mighty Potter to win this years Turners and the 2024 Gold Cup at 25’s with Sportsbook
Hes 14’s top price at present for the 2024 Gold Cup, I’ve already bagged the 20’s and if he wins in the style anticipated will be single figuresThe Gold Cup debate around GDC’s seems a lack of contenders so Mighty Potter will be in the mix next year if they go that route.
Blackbeard to conquer the World
Love it Nathan, you may well be the king of these kinds of bets! Really hoping your 100/1 accumulator comes in next week!!
I see Constitution Hill is 5/4 for the 2024 Champion Hurdle.
If he is as good as some of us here believe he is, isn’t it 5/4 against him not getting injured?
“If he is as good as some of us here believe he is, isn’t it 5/4 against him not getting injured?”
I’d agree, maybe the thought is that he may go Chasing? But as could be inferred from your post, if he is as good as we think he is surely they’d want to keep him over hurdles to cement his legacy regardless of what their initial plans were for the horse?
Yes, the possibility of going chasing could be factored into the price. But how many Champion Hurdle horses do? Even Faugheen, the first Champion Hurdle winner to graduate from the point to point field, was kept over hurdles after winning it.
I suppose the real question with that Constitution Hill bet is what’s the point? I often hear when they are odds on, say 1/3, people say if you’ve got the 3 what do you need the 1 for, generally because you’d have to be betting hefty on a single at those odds to make it worth bothering. Is it worth tying up what presumably would have to be a large stake if doing it as a single for an entire year?
“…surely they’d want to keep him over hurdles to cement his legacy”
His legacy could be to become the first horse to complete the Champion Hurdle/Gold Cup double without the benefit of the mares’ allowance.
“people say if you’ve got the 3 what do you need the 1 for”
And yet the same people would probably bite your arm off for an ROI of 33% on their annual betting turnover in any one year of their lives.
I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"“His legacy could be to become the first horse to complete the Champion Hurdle/Gold Cup double without the benefit of the mares’ allowance.”
In other words, to do it properly.
(Yes, I was on Wayward Lad win only at 12/1).
I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/
It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"I wouldn’t consider 5/4 for next year value the same way I considered 3/1 value for this year after last year’s Supreme.
The world and his wife have woken up to just how brilliant he is now and 5/4 just reflects the probability of him being even aimed for the race and staying in one piece.
I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/
It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"“And yet the same people would probably bite your arm off for an ROI of 33% on their annual betting turnover in any one year of their lives.”
For sure, I was going to use a similar argument but say hedgefunds would kill for a 100% ROI in 12 months stock, though the counterargument I guess would be that with a stock you aren’t tied in for 12 months, I believe even with long/short options contracts you’re able to sell for a profit before their expiration date.
If you can’t find a horse to back at 5/4 to get a return on your bet in the next week or so then you shouldn’t be gambling in the first place.
If 5/4 pokes are your thing there’s hundreds of them running in the next 12 months to prevent you having to tie your money up without the worry of it hanging over you for 12 months when you’re not even guaranteed to get a run for your money!
Mighty potter/Shiskin/delta work. There’s 3 there around the same price or bigger you can have a go at where you know you’re getting a run for your money and don’t have to wait 369 days to collect your £90 or whatever it is
I’ll be looking at 2024 prices for Ballyburn (Ballymore) and Impaire Et Passe (Arkle) as soon as I can.
Gladders, I’ve put 50p on the following
Ballyburn 16’s
Impaire Et Passe 10’sSkybet 186/1
you can buy it off me for a pound
Blackbeard to conquer the World
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