- This topic has 256 replies, 23 voices, and was last updated 16 years ago by
.
- Posts
Friday 6th July 2007
Sandown 2.40
Given that he’s by Kyllachy and has already been shown to enjoy soft ground, Sirjoshua Reynolds is trading too big on Betfair at 11/1
1pt win.
Unpl. 11/1
Sandown 3.50
Tam Lin had better form than this lot last year and if settling better must go close.
1.5 pts win
2nd btn hd. 3/1-2.5pts[/b]
Saturday 7th July
3.15 Sandown
George Washington is overpriced at 5/1 with Ladbrokes tonight. 1 pt win.
The record of Derby winners in the Eclipse is ordinary and he could do Authorised for a turn of foot if he settles for his in-form jockey.
3rd 4/1
-1pt.Lay Sakhee’s Secret 1pt at 5.2 July Cup Ante-Post.
For reasoning see July Cup thread.
Won 9/2 -4.2pts3.45 Newmarket
1pt win Scatina best morning price (8/1 available tonight)
This German raider looks to have been underestimated. The older fillies are beatable and this one is a strong stayer already a winner of a Group 2 who will love a bit of give and a true pace, which looks likely given the presence of Trick or Treat.
Unpl 6/1 -1pt
1.30 Newmarket
1pt win Folly Lodge best morning price (6/1 available tonight)
The way this filly won at Newbury was spectacular and she should get a good tow again in this big field.[/b]
unpl 7/1 -1ptThurs 12th July
1.5pts win .5pt place Dabber’s Ridge Bunbury Cup tomorrow 9/1 Tote
Looks like a high drawn prominent racer will be favoured.
unpl 6/1 -2pts
1pt win Red Clubs July Cup 20/1+ on Betfair tonight.
Contradicting m’self, but his draw (7) shouldn’t be a major hindrance given he’ll be dropped in- reckon he’s well overpriced now.
3rd 16/1 -1pt
1pt win Rainbow Rising 16/1 Ladbrokes (Ladbrokes Rockingham Hcap Sat Curragh)
Pipped over C+D last time on first Irish start-can’t be this price.
Update 13/7
Race now to be run Sunday, has drawn the 1 box, a big plus on soft ground here- increase to total of 1.5pts win, .5pts place still 16/1 Ladbrokes
won 15/2 +26pts2 pts win Cool Running Galway Plate 9/1 William Hill
Confirmed a definite runner in the RP today unless firm ground (you can have 50s with me) and will only carry 10-3 with Ansar in.
On a good roll, didn’t look to have stopped winning at Fairyhouse last time. Will start much shorter.
Update 9.50p.m.
Have another 1pt win 9/1 with Paddy Power- this price can’t last.2 pts win Essex 3.45 Tipperary 2/1 Ladbrokes
Looks a match between him and Al Eile with little between them at the weights, so 2/1 is a good price. He goes well fresh and will arguably handle the ground better than his main rival. My main worry is a farcically run race, but he can push the pace himself if needs be.
Won 5/4 +4pts8.40 Folkestone
1 pt win Northern Jem3/1 Bet 365/Tote/Hills
Ran well in a better class race last time.
2nd 5/2 -1pt.1.5 pts win, .5 pt place Conna Castle 12/1 Betfred in the Galway Plate
Another improver in the race on a handy mark, jumped much better in his last win, was decent over hurdles.
unpl 6/1 -2 pts1.5 pts win Blue Mountie 7.35 Galway 7/1 Betfred/Victor C
Very well drawn for a front-runner, this 7f should be ideal and MJ Kinane should make a good fist of making all to beat the badly drawn favourite.
unpl 5/1 -1.5 pts1 pt win Dani’s Girl 7.00 Galway S.P.
Borderline listed class filly just the type which wins this, draw is no hindrance.
Unpl -1pt
July
Staked 22.7 pts
P/L +19.5 pts
Profit on turnover 86% (includes Galway Plate Ante-Post bets)2 pts win Leg Spinner 2.25 Galway 3/1 generally
Very well handicapped over hurdles relative to his flat mark. Ground is a slight worry, but worth chancing at the price. Won 3/1 +6pts
2pts win Do the Trick 3.00 Galway 7/2 available
Won at the Curragh with ridiculous ease, only 5lbs higher today.
Won 5/2 +7 pts
Galway Plate
lay Conna Castle 1pt 8/1
Bit worried about his jumping under pressure, lock in a profit from ante post bet.
unpl -1pt net
Lay Cool Running 1pt not greater than 8/1
A bit too much on ante post, have a feeling he’ll shorten by post-time, will look to lay some off then.
3rd -2 pts net1.5 pts win .5 pts place Mineasmallone 4.25 Galway 12/1 Ladbrokes
Could be a plot here, stayed on well over 9f latest.
2nd 15/2 level
1pt win .5 pts place Bay Boy 5.35 Galway 10/1 generally
ran well here 2 days ago.
Unpl 11/1 -1.5 pts
1pt win .5 pts place Perfect Memory 5.0 Galway 10/1 generally
Not given a hard time by Kieran from a bad draw here 2 days ago, better drawn now, course and distance winner.
2nd btn. hd. 8/1 +1/4 pt1 pt win Take your Mark 5.10 Galway 20/1 generally
Last time out Sligo winner looks overpriced under good amateur who rode Loyal Focus to win earlier in the week.
unpl 16/1 -1pt.
1 pt win Hovering 5.40 Galway 13/2 Betfred
Stayed on well to win over hurdles at the meeting on Monday, under Fallon today may improve on previous Flat form
N.R.
1 pt win Do the Trick 6.50 Galway 9/1 generally
A winner for me on Wednesday despite running too freely, if he settles better tonight he may confirm the form on 5lbs worse terms with the second.
Unpl 8/1 -1pt
2 pts win Casablanca Jewel 8.25 Galway 4/1 generally guaranteed.
Has the best of the draw and can make all.
unpl 9/4 -2pts
1pt win .5 pt place Tarakani 5.10 Galway 14/1 Paddy Power
May have been unsuited by soft last time, good value in this race as the fav is so short.
6th 9/1 -1.5pts1 pt win Aahayson 4.15 Curragh 10/1 guaranteed available.
Tough front-runner ideally drawn, won’t mind the ground.
4th 10/1 -1pt.2 pts win Myboycharlie 2,000 gns. ante post 20/1 available.
I’ve been wanting to back this fella for the Guineas since he won the last day and the eclipse of Henrythenavigator at the weekend is putting his price under pressure. He should run next Sunday in Deauville and if he wins there I’d expect him to shorten considerably. Loved the way he won at the Curragh and expect him to be just as good on good ground.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.