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Mich Channon’s Mobsta won this last year and is among the leading lights for the race that kicks off the Lincoln card on Saturday.
For me, he’s a slightly inconsistent sprinter though and I’ll pass him by.
This year’s race looks a bit short on quality with most of the contenders handicappers at best and plenty of them lack much to recommend them.
For me, Birchwood is the potential touch of class here. He was highly regarded at 2yo and competed in some good races. Last year wasn’t great by any means but he was pitched into some mighty tough contests and he remains unexposed as a potential sprinter. Occasionally these good 2yo horses have a poor 3yo campaign but then bounce back at 4yo. The hope is that Richard Fahey has him back to something like his best now for this modest enough looking contest in terms of strength in depth. I just don’t have a fancy for anything else really.
The price of 7/2 is not great odds but the nag I have is that he might just be the class act here and could prove above the rest of them on Saturday.
In the circumstances I decided to have a pop at 7/2. Hopefully he turns up looking well and confidence in the market is behind the horse once considered a 2000 Guineas contender.
Cammidge Trophy Birchwood 7/2 to come out on top in a modest looking Listed race.Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Birchwood does look good for this Steve and at 7/2 looks a good price too!!
But and it is a big but!! LOL I have spotted one at a bigger price that could be very interesting if Mr Meehan can get him back to anything like her two year old form and that is Blue Bayou who was taking on the likes of Minding as a two year old!! 16/1 would be huge if you knew she was anything like back to that form!!
Agree with Steve here and he has said it all Birchwood IS all class and 6 furlongs could probably be the key to this horse winning. 7/2 looks a good price.
Good luck with Blue Bayou Raymo, I saw her win the Sweet Solera Stakes at Newmarket a couple of years back, she’s a tough little filly.
JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...Got to agree with you Steve, looks like an average renewal at best.
Mobsta won’t get the mud he revels in this time and will probably have to make do with good-to-soft. He also has a poor draw this year and looks worth taking on.
You’d be brave to trust Birchwood at that price. He’s the standout class horse in the race but showed all sorts of temperament last year and isn’t one to rely on with the Fahey crew generally needing their first runs this term.
Tupi is a decent reliable horse in this grade and should be there or thereabouts despite an unhelpful draw. Absolutely So also has more class than most but has generally needed a run in previous years.
With Nameitwhatyoulike and Swift Approval bombing along on his (generally favoured) side of the course, Ride Like The Wind is interesting. Kevin Ryan’s new recruit showed good speed on his UK debut before being given a very easy time of things by Jamie Spencer, who was cautioned by the stewards after the race. He was a G3 performer in France and showed enough under tender handling to suggest that he’ll match that form over here.
Think there are two class horses in the race: Birchwood and Absolutely So.
Backed the latter in an each way multi
Birchwood is 5/1 this morning and I have stuck another bet on at those odds and secured best odds Guaranteed.
I know he has a couple of questions to answer but they all do in this race and if there is one with time on his side a bit, it’s the 4YO Birchwood.
In the Doncaster Mile Custom Cut at 10/1 is worth an each-way at 1/4 odds and best odds guaranteed.
In the Spring Mile Nimr holds a solid chance and Sacred Act will surely be popular but I have no particular strong feel for either at the odds on offer. I took Mutakarez at 14/1 win only. He ran in the Lincoln with my money last year and ran OK before his early keenness and the soft ground took their toll. The stable and the horse lost thier way last season but the horse shaped better last time in 5th and he’s now 8 lbs lower than last year at this meeting. I also did a small each-way on Sir Roderic at 33/1. He climbed the weights big time last season and is considered too high by most pundits now but I just feel he may give a really good account of himself with any more rain likely to aid his cause.
Got to be happy with Yuften at 14/1 in the Lincoln. I feel he has an excellent chance.
1.50 Birchwood 5/1 (BOG)
2.25 Mutakarez 14/1 Sir Roderic 33/1 E/W (BOG)
3.00 Custom Cut 10/1 E/W (BOG)
3.35 Yuften 14/1 (Ante-Post)
Good luck today Everybody.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Worrying that Birchwood has drifted in the betting Steve but he still looks the class act nevertheless will have a small saver bet on Mobsta. Saw him on the Morning Show arriving for the races and he looked race fit.
Birchwood was also shown arriving at the course and looked as though he was carrying some weight so he might need the race, hope his class will pull him through.
Great price on Yuften Steve & Gord for The Lincoln and now with Andrea Atzeni on board
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My selection for the Lincoln Richard Fahey’s Nimr now runs in the Spring Mile so will be backing him to win that one now.Good luck to everyone having a bet, great days racing ahead.
Jac
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...My heart sank a bit when I saw Birchwood. He was duller in his coat than some and wasn’t as fit looking by any means, with very little definition on his rear end. I though Absolutely So looked way fitter, with some gleam to his coat and he looked far tighter than Birchwood.
In the end Tupi simply blew them away. He’s a horse I have never worked out but he can be very capable. He’ll probably run like a broken clock at skinny odds next time.
Sir Roderic was left a lot to do and was probably in a coffin box in trap 18. He did make some headway and I might consider him with this under his belt on another day. Mutarakez was there for a while but weakened after not too bad a run.
Custom Cut was thereabouts but couldn’t pick up and the alarming drift to 14/1 probably told us he wasn’t ready for today. Crazy Horse was disappointing, as Sacred Act also was for Gosden earlier but Stormy Antarctic put in a sound effort. The worry for him would be that his first run last season was his best, so perhaps something to think about if he lines up short next time.
These early few weeks are always tough and the nature of today’s races was that they were not mortgage jobs. Well done anyone who scored today.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Jac
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