Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Champion Hurdle 2007
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Sir Percy.
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- April 9, 2006 at 10:56 #2625
I understand Black Jack Ketchum’s connections are considering aiming him at next years Champion Hurdle and maybe even going for a Champion / World Hurdle double.
When I first saw Black Jack my impression was 2 miles 5 would possibly his optimum trip and although I was confident he’d win at Cheltenham I did have slight concerns about him getting up the hill. I needn’t have. His performance then over Aintree’s easier track was even more impressive and the horse obviously has lots of speed.
Even so reverting a three miler to two miles must be a risk.
I can’t remember being more impressed by a novice hurdler than I am with Black Jack and would love to see him crowned Champion Hurdler next March.
Any views?
April 9, 2006 at 11:08 #71162I remember being similarly impressed by Rhinestone Cowboy, before seeing him brutally exposed in the Champion. The World Hurdle would be, IMO, the better option next year.
April 9, 2006 at 11:41 #71163Quote: from Racing Daily on 12:08 pm on April 9, 2006[br]I remember being similarly impressed by Rhinestone Cowboy, before seeing him brutally exposed in the Champion.  The World Hurdle would be, IMO, the better option next year.
<br>Good point re Rhinestone Cowboy although I think Black Jack Ketchum finishes his races better than Rhinestone did.
I agree if I owned Black Jack it’d be the World Hurdle I’d be aiming at. IMO he’d chew the likes of Mighty Man and My Way De Solzen up and spit them out.
April 9, 2006 at 12:36 #71164Im a big fan of the horse…he looks fantastic but the only word of caution is that I dont really think an awful lot of the horses he has beaten. Its a pity we didnt see a match between him and Denman (or Nicanor) but definitly agree that he looks best.
I dont think Jonjo is seriously considering the champion hurdle though.
SHL
April 9, 2006 at 14:46 #71165Black Jack Ketchum’s Aintree form looks really solid. In third was Neptune Collonges who would probably have done better had he set a stronger pace but Black Jack Ketchum cantered all over him. This is the same Netune Collonges who chased home the Stayers’ Hurdle winner at Chepstow.
I have no doubt that Black Jack Ketchum is the best novice hurdler this season (staying or otherwise) and there is every reason to think he hasn’t yet shown his full hand. Even with the retirement of Baracouda the staying hurdling division looks really strong at the moment. All of a sudden, Inglis Drever looks likely to only be fourth best at the minute. Who would have thought that at the start of the season?
April 9, 2006 at 16:37 #71166I didnt think the stayers at chelters was any great shakes this year but it has potential to be next year.
SHL
April 9, 2006 at 19:24 #71167
AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 438
Quote: from SirHarryLewis on 5:37 pm on April 9, 2006[br]I didnt think the stayers at chelters was any great shakes this year but it has potential to be next year.<br>
<br>I’d only fancy My Way de Solzen to give Black Jack Ketchum a race if it were soft and chances are that he’ll be going chasing. Other than that, can’t see anything troubling BJK.
April 9, 2006 at 20:48 #71168Agreed. The 3/1 that is apparantly available for the 2007 World Hurdle is a joke.
April 9, 2006 at 21:08 #71169"…BTW, Golden Cross is a stayer to look out for next year as well…"
Good spot :biggrin:
April 9, 2006 at 21:39 #71170Agreed. The 3/1 that is apparantly available for the 2007 World Hurdle is a joke.
On the contrary, RD.
If I could guarantee that the horse wouldn’t be injured in the interim, (I wouldn’t want the stress), I would have the biggest bet of my life at that price. And I’m a big MWTD fan.
April 9, 2006 at 23:21 #71171If I could guarantee that the horse wouldn’t be injured in the interim, (I wouldn’t want the stress),
Eh….thats why 3s at this stage is ridiculous
SHL
April 10, 2006 at 01:18 #71172Getting the horse to the race, tuned up and ready to go, is 90% of the ball game. It would be interesting to know what the bookies were offering at this time last year against Inglis Drever winning at Cheltenham 2006. Inglis was certainly not a bad bet, at the right odds, at this point in 2005. In hindsight of course, it was a terrible bet. A bet on BJK could just as easily be a similarly terrible wager. Too many uncertainties.
April 10, 2006 at 09:38 #71173I think its looking very crowded for the world hurdle next year and that will encourage the MWTS connections towards chasing
Not only that, his jumping is already superb and he just looks more like a chaser in the making<br>
April 10, 2006 at 11:08 #71174I was just thinking about the against the crowd approach on the way to the airport with my mob on Sunday- All everyone could talk about was BJK, and I said to someone that my instinct would be to be against him or have no bet from now on, as the hype around him is unreal- he won’t represent value in his next few runs, if ever, talented though he is. If they are going chasing they should do it next season, as he will be getting a little old the year after. it wouldn’t surprise me to see him over fences next year.
April 10, 2006 at 12:13 #71175
AnonymousInactive- Total Posts 438
Quote: from carvillshill on 12:08 pm on April 10, 2006[br]it wouldn’t surprise me to see him over fences next year.
<br>I think that Jonjo has already said that the horse will be staying over hurdles next term. The three-mile novice chase division looks like it will still be a corker, though, with Denman, Nicanor, Travino and (hopefully) My Way de Solzen all set to go over the bigger obstacles.
April 10, 2006 at 23:06 #71176I really do think Black Jack Ketchum has the potential to be a Champion hurdle horse. I think he has the class to be able to travel off a champion hurdle pace and of course the stamina to run right to the line.<br>It would be great if BJK was at least tried in a top two mile race prior to the Cheltenham festival next year. At least then connections would have an idea if the Champion hurdle is a realistic target.
Personally I would love to see BJK run over fences. Although he’s a smallish sized horse, I believe he is athletic and intelligent enough to jump fences. Obviously this will not happen next year. I can only envisage happening if he disappoints over hurdles.
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