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The winner there today was 3L behind Abracadabras in his first run so perhaps Andy Dufresne isn’t quite at the same standard as some of the best Novices. Maybe Envoi Allen will come to the Baltimore now with Abracadabras as Elliots Supreme horse. Have cashed in on Andy Dufresene for this race now at a small loss.
At this stage that would seem likely vautour
Abacadbras more likely to win the supreme than Andy dusfrene to win the ballymore
I think the head carriage was partly due to being headed
Whether the horse learns from this or it’s a permanent character trait is another matter but he’s still ‘ green’ enough
I’ve trimmed my Cheltenham bets over the last few days, decided to get out of most of them, and wait for NRNB.
The one I thought I wouldn’t have to worry about was Andy Dufresne, but laid him off after today for a small profit.
Not completely given up on him, I really did think he was exceptional last time, but I thought that was tame today.
Happy to get out ahead with him for now.
Still have Midnight Run for this, but only because I can’t cash out or lay off.
Yes it’s in someway a form boost for Abacadabras, but worth remember Latest Exhibition is muted as a stayer in the making, not a 2 mile hurdler. I’d say that told on the day he was beat + very much today as well.
Market seems to be taking Abacadabras as their Supreme horse, i’d be disappointed if he’s good enough come March myself. For all he’s classy.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Requested that SkyBet add Top Moon to the Ballymore market at 50/1, and I’ve used a free bet on it. Thought he ran a really eyecatching race yesterday, likely disadvantaged by the slow pace. He’s got the look of an improving horse and he’s now up to an Irish mark of 142 which makes me think he’ll be an unlikely participant in the Cheltenham handicaps. Only 4 though, so most likely he’ll be kept in Ireland but could see him improving further and earning a spot here.
I’d say that’s a direct result of Andy Dufresne flopping. Abracadabras and Envoi Allen are now the top 2 novices in the yard and they will surely be seperated
I was expecting something to come out that he was injured and he was throwing his head about when asked because he was in pain
But that doesn’t appear to be the case, he just seemed to throw the toys out the pram when ridden for an effort
Krypton, I probably won’t join you with Top Moon for this, unless he turned up on the day, but he caught my eye at Listowel a couple of months back, and definitely one to watch.
Been chipping away at the mad prices for Meticulous lately on the exchanges.
Won his bumper on GF so maybe the soft ground at Cheltenham was not ideal. Finished second to Envoi Allen at the Dublin festival and probably would of finished in front of Abacadabras if he never ran out.
Granted the Elliot pair a very good horses and have improved for hurdles, nothing to say the O’Brien one can’t also. Certainly seen worse 100/1 shots before.
As mentioned ages ago somewhere on here, I have Envoi Allen for this at 10s and some lovely prices for Any Race as my biggest ante post bet of the season so far.
The cashout is big for the Ballymore single but I’m leaving it (I’m not really one for cashout because I’d be more annoyed with myself if I should have won and I’d cashed out beforehand). The question I have is what price will he go when Bet365 go NRNB and how much will the cashout change? He’s already 7/4 and the 10/1 bet is nearly quadruple the stake for the cashout. If he is 4/5 or 8/11 NRNB (that’s a fair price at this stage NRNB I reckon(surely it won’t change too much more would it?).
I fully expect something to go wrong before then but it’s nice to dream.
If he doesnt lose before the festival I think he will go off 4/6 on the day and be just above evs nrnb when that comes into effect
MOM, hope you don’t mind me saying this, but that post just feels like a pat on the back to yourself lol.
He doesn’t feel to me like he’s the type of horse that would’ve won races like Samcro did, ie, winning them just as much as he needs to. I tend to think those horses go off slightly bigger than the flashier types. Obviously EA has plenty of hype about him too so he might not work the same.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!
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