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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Arkle

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 172 total)
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  • #1627664
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 32124

    13/2 Jonbon to win this and 2024 Champion Chase, no thanks
    I had 33’s the same bet on Shishkin at around this stage in his year

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1627995
    Jasolong
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    • Total Posts 604

    No strong opinion on this. Jonbon clearly the best of the British by a mile but it’s hard to quantify his form as he hasn’t had much to beat. The recent Mullins runners were good but didn’t blow me away. Maybe Jonbon will be good enough but this could turn out to be very open and maybe an outsider will come into it

    #1628422
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 32124

    Dysart Dynamo will guarantee a decent pace which will suit Jonbon
    I’d rather Dysart Dynamo run than not because of that although he might hang on out in front. :unsure:

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1628434
    greenasgrass
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    • Total Posts 7543

    The mad carthorse seems to have settled down a bit over fences compared to his hurdling efforts.

    #1628453
    Avatar photoIanDavies
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 12999

    Difficult race to assess, but runner up and third were rated 138 and 133 over hurdles, that’s roughly where they’ve finished in relation to one another, and I think Dysart Dynamo might do a big more than just give Jonbon a lead.

    I am "The Horse Racing Punter" on Facebook
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    #1628513
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
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    • Total Posts 5935

    Jonbon will prob have the experience edge come chelt , that maybe a deciding factor

    #1630167
    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3467

    Looking to be some race, but jonbon has to be a lay at 2.7/8, there stacking up behind him, appreciate it/DD and the actual winner el fab

    Such a short price this far out with the DRF to come

    #1630170
    Tizaaards Cider
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    • Total Posts 639

    The prices some of these favs are going off at across the 4 days now are obscene!

    Facile vega, Jonbon, Hermes Allen and constitution hill are all the correct favourites but the odds are approaching criminal!

    If you’re not on months before which takes a lot of risk then you’ve only got the handicaps which are going to ever offer value.

    #1630188
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6114

    TC hopefully there’ll be EW value come the day. The bookies seem to have painted themselves into a corner with place terms at these big meetings, and on Saturdays. I believe Skybet started this, regularly offering 6 places, and sometimes as many as 8. Hills, Betfair.Paddy Power now doing it regularly. I’ve found it very fertile ground, especially for permed EW doubles and trebles. I bet in relatively small stakes, which I suppose has helped keep my accounts open (I lose often enough too!) though sometimes they’ll limit my stakes quite strictly (that tends to come after winning money, and they gradually ease off).

    But it’s the area in which exceptional value lies if you can get on.

    All the best.
    Joe

    #1630189
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6114

    Nathan, ’13/2 Jonbon to win this and 2024 Champion Chase, no thanks’

    Can you recall who was offering that? I think it’s a very good bet.

    #1630191
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 32124

    Should find it here, Joe

    https://www.betfair.com/sport/horse-racing

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1630192
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 32124

    Its under “Specials” next to Future races

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1630212
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6114

    Thqnks Nathan

    #1631675
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
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    • Total Posts 5935

    I’ve tickled Boothill e.w, I’ll be surprised if Jonbon doesn’t win and at bigger Boothill has already chased him home this season , never been to chelt but at his price I’ll hope he can handle it , he,s a decent jumper to

    Boothill e.w

    #1633499
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 32124

    Appreciate It, Dysart Dynamo and El Fabiolo all running in the Leopardstown race
    If Mullins runs them all here it could be vital Jonbon gets the tactics right. If he goes with Dysart Dynamo and the pace is too quick it could set it up for the others and if he gives Dysart too much rope it could be tough to reel him in. :wacko:

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

    #1633803
    Mike007
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    • Total Posts 7667

    Lovely from El Fabiolo there.

    #1633815
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 32124

    You’d have to worry about Dysart Dynamo
    unchallenged easy lead at his distance, Townend picked Appreciate it

    Either he’s not lived up to expectation or Mullins has left a bit to work on for Cheltenham
    if that were the case though you’d have expected him to drift today

    Blackbeard to conquer the World

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