Home › Forums › Betting Chat – Bets & Tips › AN ASSET TO MY ARMY
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May 12, 2013 at 14:53 #24071
Ok so I thought it could be quite literally time to put my money where my mouth is and start up a thread of my own. Most of my bets will be made up of long term ante-post goals and my impulsive daily punts thrown in here and there for good measure with a profit and loss guide shown. If and when I just fancy one when out of pocket or merely not betting then I’ll add a little write up anyway. I already have a decent amount on ante-post so my thread will start off at a loss with the selections shown below. Admittedly things may remain a bit quiet during the summer as I’m much more of a jumps man. Anyway, in for a penny and all that!
MY TENT OR YOURS CHAMPION HURDLE @10/1, BOBS WORTH GOLD CUP @9/2 £25 E/W DOUBLE
MY TENT OR YOURS CHAMPION HURDLE £170 WIN@7/1
UN ATOUT JEWSON NOVICE CHASE £50 E/W@16/1, £30 WIN@20/1, £30 WIN@33/1
CHATTERBOX ARKLE TROPHY £20 E/W@20/1
FIRST LIEUTENANT GOLD CUP £25 E/W@16/1
CHAMPAGNE FEVER ARKLE @6/1, UN ATOUT JEWSON @16/1, MY TENT OR YOURS CHAMPION HURDLE @6/1, £5 TRIXIE
-£490[/color:mixmw816]
May 12, 2013 at 15:13 #439431To boot things off, my main long term punts are going to revolve around My Tent Or Yours, Un Atout and eventually more so Chatterbox in the Arkle as I think the 20/1 I got offered by Hills is a killer price bound to capitulate once he’s starting jumping fences proper. Those 3 will have their stakes added to throughout the year and will hopefully make me a
very
rich man
Onto more relevant matters. I had a £10 free bet from my Mrs’s Laddies account yesterday involving Luca Cumani’s
Greatwood
to win at Lingfield and go onto win the St Leger. He seems a type who takes a while to get going and seems better the further he goes and will surely get found out by the better horses at Epsom. His breeding doesn’t exactly scream ‘Leger winner’ but for me his racing style does and I’m certain that on decent ground he’ll be there or thereabouts. That’s assuming he runs of course 20/1 was a price I was hardly doing cartwheels at but for a free bet I wasn’t about to moan too much. Anyway, a late withdrawal meant a refund of the tenner leaving me needing another way to spend it. Ooooo decisions decisions……
I see he’s now likely to go in the Dante which is certainly intriguing as it looks a stellar renewal. I’m hoping he doesn’t run too well as it’s payday on Friday and I’m planning on lumping on for Donny asap!
May 12, 2013 at 15:27 #439433Good luck Boz, will follow your thread with interest. Nice to see I’m not the only one thinking of Cheltenham already
May 12, 2013 at 15:30 #439434Good luck Boz, will follow your thread with interest. Nice to see I’m not the only one thinking of Cheltenham already
Cheers Tommy. Don’t you worry mate, I’d already lumped on for next year before this years festival had even begun Like Gord says, foresight is the key
May 12, 2013 at 15:51 #439438Like Gord says, foresight is the key
Gord does say that Boz and proves it time after time,its only any good to those who know how to use it mind!
Good luck and like I say to all those starting their own threads,"lets see how you get through the losing runs" Its those that seperate the Men from the Boys.For the record though if you are in theMy Tent or Yours
,
First Lieutenant
camp you are a good judge. Good Luck!
May 12, 2013 at 16:02 #439441Like Gord says, foresight is the key
Gord does say that Boz and proves it time after time,its only any good to those who know how to use it mind!
Good luck and like I say to all those starting their own threads,"lets see how you get through the losing runs" Its those that seperate the Men from the Boys.For the record though if you are in theMy Tent or Yours
,
First Lieutenant
camp you are a good judge. Good Luck!
Cheers Gord and I know what you mean concerning the losing runs. As much as no one likes them they’re not something that particularly bother me anymore. I’m big enough and ugly enough to know that they happen to everyone and so long as you keep doing what you’re doing and stick to your principles then a winning streak is just around the corner.
Anyway mate I hope you’ve starting getting your army ready for
those
four days because as you’ve probably noticed I’m already preparing mine for battle even if it is the best part of a year away Fortune favours the brave in this game Gord so bring on the good times………….
May 12, 2013 at 16:26 #439444Fortune favours the brave in this game Gord so bring on the good times………….
Yo beginning to even sound like me Boz!
I’ll say this only once……First Lieutenant
wont be running in the Ryanair again…..Wrong decision! He is a Serious Gold cup horse,12/1 on the High st is about right but 24’s on the machine is generous.His old enemy ‘Bobs worth’ is the horse he has to finally get the better of,I just hope its not another ‘Exotic dancer’/’Kauto Star’,…..’Albertas Run’/’Kauto star’ scenario as those pair could never get past their respective ‘Old Adversary’ in King Kauto!
Boston bob
is the Gold Cup ‘Dark horse’ still for me.
May 12, 2013 at 17:12 #439452For me Gord this
Boston Bob
was last season’s RSA horse. Backed him all year round only for him to come down with the race at his mercy. I look at that race though and in all honesty I don’t see a Gold Cup winner, I just see a very moderate bunch of novices with ‘Bob’ being the best of a bad bunch. I can’t see him getting near his more experienced rivals next March so that’s my opinion on him.
First Lieutenant
is a horse I’ve followed since his novice hurdle days. He always looked a chaser in the making and the way he flew up the hill when he was off the bridle less than halfway down it in his Neptune year left me screaming ‘Gold Cup horse’ at the telly. Despite his recent sparring partner
Bobs Worth
getting the better of him in the RSA I still never doubted it for a moment. The drop back in trip this year was never going to suit and it’s just a shame as that may have been his best chance. I’m not about to give up on him yet though. Bobs Worth proved any doubters he could of had wrong in March and the only way I can see our boy reversing the form is if that tough run’s taken a bit out of him going forward. Either way, if the ground is right and the sun is shining next March, and he turns for home eyeball to eyeball with Bobs Worth travelling like the winner, I’m certainly not going to be the one to say ‘I can’t believe I didn’t back him this time!’
May 12, 2013 at 17:46 #439453Good luck for the long haul. You’re not shy when it comes to putting yer money down.
May 12, 2013 at 17:56 #439458Good luck for the long haul. You’re not shy when it comes to putting yer money down.
Thanks Wolf. Well you know, speculate to accumulate and all that and accumulate I intend to Aye a long haul it’ll be but I’m confident I can turn those red numbers black in the end.
May 12, 2013 at 21:02 #439475This
We’ll Go Walking
of Jim Bolger’s being dropped to a mile today never made sense to me, as was proved when she finished last of the bunch in the Guineas trial on the Emerald Isle. She’s bred to be a classy middle distance filly and I’m sure that’s just what she’ll turn out to be. She’s entered in the Ribblesdale, a race connections won with
Banimpire
a couple of years back and I’m sure We’ll Go Walking will take the same route. Assuming she does I know where my money will be
Watch this space…….
May 12, 2013 at 21:25 #439480This
We’ll Go Walking
of Jim Bolger’s being dropped to a mile today never made sense to me, as was proved when she finished last of the bunch in the Guineas trial on the Emerald Isle. She’s bred to be a classy middle distance filly and I’m sure that’s just what she’ll turn out to be. She’s entered in the Ribblesdale, a race connections won with
Banimpire
a couple of years back and I’m sure We’ll Go Walking will take the same route. Assuming she does I know where my money will be
Watch this space…….
I’d like to see her bounce back before I’d be putting any money on her Boz. She went out like a light today and trailed home alone, so it wasn’t the trip that beat her, although it must be likely she’ll be at her best over further than a mile as you say.
May 12, 2013 at 21:39 #439482This
We’ll Go Walking
of Jim Bolger’s being dropped to a mile today never made sense to me, as was proved when she finished last of the bunch in the Guineas trial on the Emerald Isle. She’s bred to be a classy middle distance filly and I’m sure that’s just what she’ll turn out to be. She’s entered in the Ribblesdale, a race connections won with
Banimpire
a couple of years back and I’m sure We’ll Go Walking will take the same route. Assuming she does I know where my money will be
Watch this space…….
I’d like to see her bounce back before I’d be putting any money on her Boz. She went out like a light today and trailed home alone, so it wasn’t the trip that beat her, although it must be likely she’ll be at her best over further than a mile as you say.
Admittedly Tommy I didn’t watch the race today, but I did say to ‘Mrs Boz’ over breakfast in bed this morning that this drop back to a mile was sheer ludicracy, that she wanted a good mile and a half. She replied with her usual nod, pretending to know what I’m rambling on about, then eyes rolled and back to her breccy Anyway to cut a long story short I only just caught up with the results when I got the laptop on again as I went out just after the French Classics. I saw enough in her Gowran Park return to know that she’s got enough about her to bounce back from today. She was only narrowly beaten by a decent filly of Dermot Weld’s, Caponata, though showing plenty of guts in the process. Whether there was a problem today or whether it was merely her disliking for the drop to a mile we’ll see, but I’m sure we’ll see a decent race or two out of this one and I reckon it could start at the Royal meeting
May 12, 2013 at 21:46 #439483I’d like to see her bounce back before I’d be putting any money on her Boz. She went out like a light today and trailed home alone, so it wasn’t the trip that beat her, although it must be likely she’ll be at her best over further than a mile as you say.
After watching the replay back on the ATR site just then Tommy I’d say there definitely appeared to be something amiss as she certainly looked to be pulled up more than ‘she went out like a light’.
May 12, 2013 at 22:06 #439484Well whatever way you look at it, she went from first to last fairly rapid! Hopefully she can bounce back
May 12, 2013 at 23:03 #439486I swear these bloody free bets are more of a curse than anything else. ‘Mrs Boz’ made an online account to place a bet on the National just over a month ago and duly received a ‘£10 free bet’ for her troubles. "You use it," she says, "It won’t be much use to me will it!" ‘Great’ I thought, ‘can’t knock back a free tenner on the geegees can I.’ Until the other day it had totally slipped my mind in all honesty, which is when I took the chance on Greatwood winning Saturday and going on to win the Leger. Withdrawn just before the off. Cursed!
Now I’m having a gander online at the declarations for Duke of York on Wednesday. The obvious ones leap right off the page but it’s not really my style to back at single figure odds in a big field sprint, especially not for a tenner! One I do like the look of though at a decent price is the old boy
Jimmy Styles
. Despite being the ripe old age of 9 he seems to be just about at the peak of his powers or thereabouts anyway and prefers ground on the quicker side of good which he seems set to get on Wednesday. Only last summer he took a group 3 in France and finished a fair 2nd to the highly fancied
Tickled Pink
last time out.
A quick scour through the odds showed my boy at 25/1 with Laddies, the firm I’ve got the free bet with. ‘Right’ I thought, ‘Let’s whack a fiver on each-way at 25s and watch him do the business!’ Only one problem, I quickly discover that the free bet is win only Now I’m not one to shirk a challenge and would back myself enough to say if I fancy one then I’ll lump on. But this felt different somehow. If I back him with my £10 free bet and he finishes 2nd then I’ll feel like the donut that backed a 25/1 shot to win Money comes and goes but you only get one free bet! It seemed more valuable, like I didn’t want to let it go. Then again, if I don’t back him now I’ve had this ridiculous amount of thought circulating around him and he gets up and wins it won’t be the nicest feeling in the world. I can’t back him with my own money as I’m literally skint until Friday(payday, the four-weekly pay pattern you’re sure to become accustomed to if you follow this thread ). To this second I still haven’t decided what to do. And all this because of a bloody free
£10
bet
Cursed I tell you!
May 13, 2013 at 16:20 #439517Classic clues galore on offer at York this week, and it seems only fitting that I should start with my Leger horse
Greatwood
in the Dante. At a second glance the race looks a lot weaker than it did originally following a couple of decent types pulling out and this talking horse
Telescope
has hardened up at the head of the market because of it. I’m not expecting nor wishing my Cumani horse to win as when Friday comes I’ll be looking to get the best price possible for the final Classic of the season To me he looks the type to want more of a trip and any dreams they have of Derby glory will be left behind on the Knavesmire.
Talking horse this Telescope may be, but a lot is clearly thought of him at home so I’d be expecting a big run from him, along with ‘Gord’s horse’
Trading Leather
who appears to have been strangely overlooked by bookmakers, punters and possibly even trainer alike. Quick ground should see the 33/1 disappear before you can say ‘Dawn Approach’
I’m also convinced that this
Moth
only holds Oaks favouritism by default as she certainly won’t be victorious at Epsom. This Beckett horse
Secret Gesture
was mightily impressive on Saturday but she surely beat nothing that day. I’m not about to write her off as she did what she had to and did it beautifully but I’m not certain we’ve seen the Oaks winner out as of yet.
Liber Nauticus
faces what should be a penalty kick to wrestle favouritism away from Ballydoyle and I’ll be surprised if she doesn’t. Only a maiden winner as of yet but she put that one to bed in style and I’m certain there’ll be more to come from her.
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