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Aintree Hurdle 2009

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Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 24 total)
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  • #10775
    Bulwark
    Member
    • Total Posts 3119

    Cannot wait for this race.

    Celestial Halo should be beaten, but with him being installed as favorite, or so it would appear, I think I may end up going on jered, with perhaps a reverse Foecast on the pair.

    It certainly looks a very good card,and I imagine there will be quite a few opinions on this race.

    #219284
    tomsk
    Member
    • Total Posts 25

    Indeed it does. The main ones coming from the Champion Hurdle look like they could benefit from being stepped up in trip (CH, Katchit), and ground will be to Jered’s liking, but whether that hard race is the best preparation for this, I’m not so sure. Al Eile’s been poorly but has had an encouraging prep run. Catch Me skipped Chelters for this. It should be a very good race. I wonder if if skipping out Chelters could pay dividends.

    #219290
    halfwaytoheaven
    Member
    • Total Posts 1387

    Catch Me has been making the right noises at this distance and it does seem to be Catch Me’s optimum distance.

    I cant believe Celestial Halo is 6/4 favourite on the exchanges at the moment. I’d personally have Al Eile, Catch Me and Jered ahead of him in the market.

    It’s a cracking race but I’ll be on Catch Me at 4/1 or better

    #219306
    Avatar photoImperial Call
    Member
    • Total Posts 2184

    I’d want to be against the horses that ran in the Champion Hurdle in this. Celestial Halo in particular had a very hard race.

    This race is made for Al Eile and he didn’t show any signs of anything physically bothering him on the sand at Dundalk. Catch Me has been very consistent this year but I’m not sure whether the ground will suit.

    Fiveforthree is the one that catches my eye. Slow to come to hand at home earlier on in the season but looked on very good terms with himself when not coming off the bridle in allbeit a weakish contest at Wexford. He should arrive here a fresh horse and the form of last years Ballymore has worked out fairly well with both Forpadydeplasterer and Trafford Lad amongst the best in the novice chase division.

    Presumably Ruby will ride the Nicholls horse but young Townend is an excellent deputy as he’s showed on several occasions this season.

    #219325
    Aragorn
    Member
    • Total Posts 2208

    Cracking race – Looking forward to it a lot.

    Celestial Halo hasn’t had a tough season but he had a hard race in the champion and I don’t think this course suits him at all; he has no turn of foot. Catch Me I like a lot but only on soft ground, he is not the same horse on quicker ground, which looks likely. Five for three is also dangerous but i’m willing to take him on with two of the other Irish raiders.

    Solwhit is a horse I like a lot. He has a turn of foot, stays well and is still improving but having said that i’d be surprised if he turned up.

    Al Eile would be my other fancy. He’s fresh, loves the track, loves this race and ran a cracker on comeback. He ticks all the boxes in my opinion.

    #219329
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8696

    I’d want to be against the horses that ran in the Champion Hurdle in this.

    JERED, never had a race in the champion hurdle, i would give him a major
    chance over Aintree"s 21/2m on Good ground! 12 on Betfair!

    #219338
    Avatar photoImperial Call
    Member
    • Total Posts 2184

    Definitely wouldn’t say he had no race at Cheltenham. David Casey said he got a bad bump early on in the race and that the horse never really jumped as a consequence of this for the first mile. I’d say he had a much harder race than the naked eye would suggest.

    #219344
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    I wouldn’t write off Celestial Halo at all over this distance.
    He was always going to struggle last year over a sharp 2m against a speed horse like Binocular, but should be a different proposition – even on the same sharp track – over half a mile further.
    It might be worth remembering that Paul Nicholls has said, on a number of occasions, that CH was over the top for Aintree last season, yet brings the horse here with a 5 day shorter break between races this. If anyone believes he is daft enough to make the same mistake twice, then bet against him; imo, given he’ll improve again for the step up in trip, it will take a run of Binocular-like proportions to beat him, and I don’t see anything in the race capable of one.

    #219348
    Avatar photomilbear0
    Participant
    • Total Posts 274

    I will take your invitation to bet against him. CH is the first horse i rule out of this race from a punting perspective. Too short a price on the wrong track and the wrong ground shortly after being pushed to his limit at Cheltenham to hold off Bino. This is clearly a secondary target for the horse and i dont suppose for one minute we would see him entered had he won the Cheltenham renewal.

    #219352
    Bulwark
    Member
    • Total Posts 3119

    I definitely wouldnt rule out celestial halo over this trip, he takes his racing very well and put in a good run here last year, after a very hard race in the triumph, he was never going to beat binocular on such a sharp 2 miles but he still beat home everything else and some of them were better suited to the 2miles at aintree and were well fancied on the day.

    The extra 4 furlongs will be right up his street and over this distance he should really show his class.

    I can only really see Katchit winning if this turns into a slow paced speed contest.

    Catch Me IMO will more than likely lack the gears needed to compete in this sort of grade, over this trip and on this sort of surface, as will Fiveforthree I would expect. This is different gravy to where their best form has been shown.

    Al Eile is obviously the one to beat but I think the Halo is a different class and should have everything right.

    Jered interests me as I dont think he really got going until late on in the Champ Hurdle, in a race which I personally think was more about speed than stamina, and he should go well around here, he moved well on good ground last season, and should have the right stamina/speed to show somewhere nearer his best IMO, whether that is enough to beat Celestial Halo (or even Al Eile) is something we wont knowe until after, but he looks like he should be a decent each way price.

    Al Eile has previously been at an advantage, as he handles a better surface so well compared to his opposition, however Celestial Halo also handles a better surface just as well as him, has been crying out for a step up and looks a better horse. This will be Al Eile’s hardest test to date round Aintree IMO.

    #219407
    Grasshopper
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2316

    Whilst he isn’t a guaranteed stayer, Solwhit shapes like a horse who will be suited by the step-up in trip, he will like the ground, and his form looks increasingly compelling, following Ninetieth Minute’s win at the Festival and his defeat of Jazz Messenger in the Red Mills.

    Has to improve, but I think he has a proper chance.

    #219409
    Avatar photoDalryBear
    Member
    • Total Posts 113

    I can see Celestial Halo being collared at the last by Al Eile.

    #220160
    Bulwark
    Member
    • Total Posts 3119

    This race is the race of the day IMO, cant wait.

    #220164
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9327

    I’ve got to back Whiteoak again; still got faith in her.

    #220166
    BeauRanger
    Participant
    • Total Posts 379

    Fiveforthree is very very classy – will take what is a trappy but some of them are over the top contest :wink:

    #220190
    guskennedy
    Member
    • Total Posts 759

    I didn’t expect to be backing Celestial Halo in this but he’s out to 5.7 now on Betfair which is a big price for a horse just touched off in the Champion and likely to be suited by today’s step up in trip.

    #220242
    ReasonoverFaith
    Member
    • Total Posts 346

    This really is a fantastic race.

    Not surprised the front two are available at 4 or 5 as there are so many questions about a number of candidates.

    Richard Johnson reckons he would have finished much closer in the CH but had problems at the start and I think the sharp track will suit Snap Tie, even if any rain might not help.

    Katchit’s run at Cheltenham suggested he’d appreciate this trip but I wonder whether Aintree is really for him, irrespective of the trip.

    Having said all that I’m going to back those two mentioned above, plus Whiteoak. She ran a great race at Wincanton, stays and likes Aintree; and with question marks against the others I’m happy to take these three at decent prices.

    Best race of the meeting I reckon.

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