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Thousand Stars finished 2nd to Hurricane Fly and he came from the County. Arctic Fire finished 2nd to Faugheen and he came from the County. Sempre Medici is your Champion Hurdle winner, ladies and gentleman. I’m also gonna start backing Camping Ground as his run in the Relkeel was electric. I think it’s taken time for connections to find his trip but 2m will be it.
After consultation with Steeplechasing and addressing his fears, Nigel Twiston-Davies reveals The New One’s new rig for the Champion Hurdle:-
http://www.guidehorse.com/images/horse_wheelchair2.jpg
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
After consultation with Steeplechasing and addressing his fears, Nigel Twiston-Davies reveals The New One’s new rig for the Champion Hurdle:-
:)
Sam has chosen TNO. Scholfield (who is becoming a bit of a ‘head waiter’ imo) will doubtless hold Old Guard up and try to come late
Having watched the 2015 Mares race again, I’d be very wary of backing Annie Power. You can never be sure horses remember things, but that was a horrible fall she took. She could have broken her neck. And when she got to her feet something cannoned into her.
Not for me.
I can’t see Annie Power winning this. Surely she needs a trip of at least 2 mile 4f. She wasn’t entered 2 years ago because of Hurricane Fly and ran a fine race in defeat to More of That instead over 3. But two years later, has she got any quicker to win a champion hurdle? Can’t see it. Would be my lay of the meeting now. Wouldn’t surprise me if Walsh rode Nicholls Canyon anyway…
I am on Identity Thief @ 16/1 and Peace And Co @ 12/1, both each way. At the moment wish I wasn’t on the latter and the former’s current price is too short now. One who does appeal quite a bit at today’s prices (25/1 NRNB) is forgotten horse – Camping Ground. At the time, it was difficult to know quite what he achieved in the Relkeel, market principles Top Notch, Cole Harden, Virgilio and Whisper all well below form. However, beat the ultra consistent and progressive “handicapper” Lil Rockafella by 11 lengths that day. Although Lil was giving 4 lbs away, just as he was on Sunday when winning the Grade 2 National Spirit by an easy 9 lengths from Ubak (himself a Grade 2 winner). Giving something to judge Camping Ground by. Since the Relkeel Camping Ground has disappointed in the Cleeve, having a valid excuse of not settling and palpably failed to stay 3 miles. What about a return to 2 miles? Always going best in Relkeel (2m4f heavy)t. Moved well too for a long way when placed in Imperial Cup (2m good-soft) under top weight; on only his second start in Britain. To that point better form than he’d achieved before.
Will be interesting to see how Camping Ground fares if turning up here.
Value Is EverythingIt seems I’m very much in the minority here but I make Annie Power the best value of all the current short priced contenders, and the only one I’m interested in. I was on Arctic Fire NRNB but with that one out of the race the mare is going to be very, very hard to beat.
Tommy they’ve said more than once that AP’s run will depend on VVM being okay for the Mare’s race. Seems a bit odd that they’re still not committing
As most of you know I am already on Hargam at fancy prices but I have had a serious long and hard look at this race and you can make a case for all of them getting beat …… however I think that if you can forgive one poor run then there is only one winner and that is ………………………
NICHOLS CANYON
Ran well at the festival last year and since then has only ran one bad race and that was at a time when Faugheen was dominant and he paid the price for trying to go with Faugheen.
IMO this is the each way bet of the meeting at 5/1 THIS HORSE WILL NOT FINISH OUT OF THE FIRST THREE !!
And it wouldn’t surprise me in the least if Ruby rides him which will make its price contract … TAKE THE FIVES !!
Oh yes and have a reverse forecast with Hargam too!!
I like Hargam too at the prices, backed him last year at the festival and he failed to quicken on the ground I feel. If it’s good ground he could improve a bundle.
I’m gonna go a bit wide of the mark and put one up that nobody else has.
With hotpot Faugheen missing the race and Annie Power the back up plan so to speak, I think there could be a slight shock. I can see a Punjabi happening. My Tent is Henderson’s “No 1” having not raced for two years, but I’m gonna plump for Top Notch.
Ran a good race in defeat in the Triumph and ran a very good race against Identity Thief when you could argue the stable was badly out of form. I can’t understand how, although just done in the dying strides, he’s four (ish) times the price of identity Thief, who was done by Nichols Canyon in a similar fashion in the slog that was the Ryanair hurdle. Nichols Canyon and Identity Thief don’t have much between them and the prices suggest that, so based on the fighting fifth I’m putting up Top Notch as the each way value in a race where anything could win it now. Had a nice confidence booster last time out, and for a horse that has done little wrong, the 16/1 seems a good each way bet.Nichols Canyon has won 6 grade ones and is the only horse to beat ‘The Machine’. If you can forgive his last run (Ground? Came too soon?) he looks a stonking bet at 6/1.
The more I look/think about this race the more I think Sempre Medici is going to win. He beat Identity Thief by 5 1/2L at Punchestown last year and his profile matches that of Thousand Stars and Arctic Fire. Only dangers are Camping Ground and Peace and Co if he makes a miraculous return to form. He’s desperate for a properly run race and he’ll get that here. He’ll come cruising to the last and put me in a great trading position at the very least.
That’s a pretty confident shout regarding Sempre Medici, Zarkava, although can’t have it myself. Been put in it’s place by Nichols Canyon. With you on Camping Ground – 25s is pretty tasty, but a rain dance might be required. With NRNB it’s the bet that appeals most in the race, weather permitting.
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