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Ayr Gold Cup 2016

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Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 40 total)
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  • #1263754
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    • Total Posts 8241

    Seven of the first eight home in the Bronze Cup had single figure draws. My two are drawn 4 and 8, so I hope it’s an omen.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1263775
    homersimpson
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    • Total Posts 3067

    I have just been having a look buckers and Aeolus was jumping out at me even before I saw your post. He’s been highly tried this season in Group races. Well done on getting the 25s. Best price 18s now and as short as 12s in some places. Haven’t seen the racing today. Has there been any Draw bias? It looks kike the winners have come from low numbers in the sprints.

    #1263780
    homersimpson
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    • Total Posts 3067

    Good luck with your picks Steve. I can just hear the husband to his wife “I’ve just bought a racehorse dear, name it what you like” ;-) The 5lb hike comes straight back off with McNamara in the plate. May have to do a bit each way on him also.

    #1263798
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    Good luck with your picks Steve. I can just hear the husband to his wife “I’ve just bought a racehorse dear, name it what you like” ;-) The 5lb hike comes straight back off with McNamara in the plate. May have to do a bit each way on him also.

    Cheers Homer, best of luck with your other selections in this one, it’s always a tough one.

    This is not my best race historically, although I have had good winners in it. They are too few and far between though.

    All the best to everyone having a shot at this.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1263809
    stilvi
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    • Total Posts 5228

    My general advice would be to look for 6/7 furlong profile horses rather than 5/6 furlong. You don’t want to be dying inside the final furlong.

    The pin has come down on Absolutely So and Nameitwhatyoulike.

    It will obviously be a big ask for Nameitwhatyoulike, and he might end up setting the race up for the closers, but on the plus side he is in good form and has shown that a big field doesn’t hold any terrors. That said he is almost certainly going to need another step up. I slightly prefer Absolutely So who goes into the race a relativerly fresh horse. A little bit of cut should be fine and his claiming jock is in reasonable form. He is 11lbs better in with Brando for just over 2 lengths.

    #1263824
    Avatar photothejudge1
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    • Total Posts 2251

    Why do people bet on races like this? You might as well play the lottery.

    #1263838
    Avatar photoBigG
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    • Total Posts 14241

    Why do people bet on races like this? You might as well play the lottery.

    Bit harsh there judge. Admittedly it’s a tall order to pick the winner in what is always a mega
    competitive race, but even if you were a pin sticker I think a 1 in 28 chance is a bit more
    realistic than the lottery. It is the kind of race I love to spend time mulling over, but I’m maybe
    a bit weird that way. I’ve not done too badly in the race, a few decent places, and I put up Highland
    Colori on here 3 years back, and he came in at a handsome price. I do however understand your sentiment,
    it’s not for the faint hearted. However, I find myself more aligned to the Gimli school of reasoning
    “Certainty of death, small chance of success, what are we waiting for” B-)

    #1263846
    homersimpson
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3067

    I do both Judge but it’s a lot more fun trying to pick the winner and also watching the outcome. It’s not as if people will be having big stakes on this. Never had the winner myself. Borderlescott was my closest when he was mugged by Fonthill Road on the other side of the course 10 years ago. Gutted as I thought he’d won.

    #1263847
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5228

    Why do people bet on races like this? You might as well play the lottery.

    I can understand where you are coming from but as a punter you have to face reality and if you don’t bet in handicaps on a Saturday you are faced with an increasingly limited choice. Even Newmarket is dividing handicaps. Plenty of the condition races are not that easy to solve and you might easily be pushed towards putting more money on at a shorter price. If you are concentrating on the few you need a much higher strike rate.

    #1263857
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6741

    Thejudge….

    These races are the best to bet on!!
    The fun and enjoyment of trying to sort out a big handicap is without equal!! I love these big handicaps and the puzzle of trying to work out all the intangibles is brilliant!!

    If GLEN MOSS wasn’t drawn seventeen I would be emptying myself on this one!! I really fancy it strong but I have backed others in the race :good: :good:

    #1263858
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6741

    Absolutely So is pricewise Stilv…

    #1263860
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 6252

    Sir Robert Cheval for me

    Good luck all

    #1263889
    Avatar photojoliff
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    • Total Posts 350

    Admittedly my old friend Rivellino has never won on turf still, but he has run some mighty races in the top sprint handicaps the last few years. He’s on the same mark when 3rd in the Stewards Cup last year and at 33-1 he could be a decent ew bet if he handles the softer going.

    #1263895
    Avatar photothejudge1
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    • Total Posts 2251

    Thejudge….

    These races are the best to bet on!!
    The fun and enjoyment of trying to sort out a big handicap is without equal!! I love these big handicaps and the puzzle of trying to work out all the intangibles is brilliant!!

    If GLEN MOSS wasn’t drawn seventeen I would be emptying myself on this one!! I really fancy it strong but I have backed others in the race :good: :good:

    Bookies benefits surely? You can tell that by the amount of attention the bookmaker sponsored Morning line gave to it earlier. They hardly mentioned any other races.

    Can anyone honestly say they are ahead overall betting on these sort of races?

    #1263896
    Avatar photothejudge1
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    Also if you are betting several Raymo then surely that favours the bookies even more, as you are diluting it when you have a winner.

    #1263929
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6741

    I think we need to agree to disagree Judge. I love these big handicaps and I love the puzzle of trying to work them out. I don’t have huge amounts on but it is such a thrill to get it right on the occasions that I do.

    #1263930
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6741

    WELL DONE STEVE!!!! :good: :good:

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