Duke of Cambridge 2018

[jackh1092]

Hydrangea- She has to be a big old price for this? 4s win only with Coral seems big to me…

Aljazzi ran well LTO but wouldn’t be of her level i wouldn’t suspect.

Going down the list its a poor race.

Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

[charlie87]

Some stats up to 2017 (not including Qemah)

12/13 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
12/13 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
12/13 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Won by a 4 year-old
9/13 – Had run at Ascot before
7/13 – Favourites that were placed
6/13 – Had won at Ascot before
4/13 – Ran at Epsom last time out
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price
4/13 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
4/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 15/2
Only three placed horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings

[nwalton]

Aljazzi each way for me, slight worry is the Botti yard form, hope he bangs in a few between now and wednesday

[Middle_Of_March]

From my preview:
3:40 – Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2)
HYDRANGEA (7/4) is a very big price here in my opinion. I had no bet antepost on the race but when I saw the market earlier this week and she was confirmed for this, I expected her to be just about odds on. She’s a group 1 winner at this track and also won a hot race at the same level over today’s trip back in Ireland last season. She will be spot on for her reappearance when only managing second and has the strongest form by a distance over this field. If turning up, she should win this comfortably and I’ve had a decent bet at her current price of 7/4. Wilamina won for me at Epsom recently when stealing a march on her rivals but this will be tougher whilst Tomyris is inconsistent but talented. Arabian Hope will need to be spot on for the race on her seasonal reappearance but has shown glimpses of magic at her best. Urban Fox won a decent handicap over course and distance last month but will have to improve again to trouble the favourite. I honestly believe that if the favourite runs to her form, she won’t be troubled here and can comfortably overcome her 5lb penalty she concedes in the race.’

[CharlesOlney]

Wilamina to win (8/1)

Saver on Hydrangea 7/4

[raymo61]

Hydrangea looks different gear to these but I am worried about it being far enough for her!!

I have each way plays on a couple in this Wilamina 8/1 and Tomyris 12/1 but if Hydrangea copes with the drop back in trip she wins!!

[Gingertipster]

Aljazzi each way for me, slight worry is the Botti yard form, hope he bangs in a few between now and wednesday

That’s exactly how I see it nwalton. Hydrangea has the best form and I expect her to have come on for reappearance. However, there’s a doubt about her still being effective at a mile and her very best form is on softer ground too. Urban Fox and Wilamina have potential to improve, but Aljazzi‘s form isn’t far behind Hydrangea’s now (given she gets 5 lbs). Only beaten 3/4 length in this race last year, splitting Qemah and Usherette at levels (Royal Ascot suits her) and proven on this ground. Botti isn’t in great form by the look of things, but a lot of those runners have been outsiders anyway – so worth a bet.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Yeeeeeee-haaaa!

Value Is Everything

[stevecaution]

I didn’t touch the race.

Hydrangea seemed best when stepped up in trip. For me, she was generally disappointing over the shorter trips and Rhododendron did nothing to inspire confidence in the Queen Anne. Seemed a poor bit of placing but in O’Brien’s defence, it had looked a weak affair.

I felt Haggas should have aimed Urban Fox at the Royal Hunt Cup off a mark of 102. For me she was a shade short of class for this and having won in handicap company last time, I thought they could have gone to the big handicap and if she looked group class there, then plenty of time to find something for her later.

Botti’s filly absolutely scooted up there and may well go off short next time….only to get stuffed. Just one of those funny looking races that I would be concerned about taking literally going forward.

Well done winners

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[nwalton]

The reason why I made Aljazzi the bet (of my meeting ) was the fact it did look a weak renewal. Aljazzi ran well in the race last term in a much stronger heat.

Just wish the yard was in better form, then maybe I could have retired(lol)

[Author]

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