If you want a fun angle, I fed in the last ten year’s detailed trends using Horseracebase to chatGPT – here’s its verdict:
Strongest Trend Fits (Non-Cheltenham Model)
🟢 1. Theformismighty (9yo, 118, 32 days, 12/1)
Age ideal
Fresh enough
Big RPR (147)
Mid-range price
Not favourite
Stayer profile
Most complete trend alignment.
🟢 2. Destroytheevidence (8yo, 12/1)
Slight age negative (8 not ideal but acceptable)
OR 134 workable
Price sweet spot
Trainer Bailey historically strong in this race
🟢 3. Lord Accord (11yo, 20/1)
Age perfect
Big price (race allows this)
Only concern: 98 days off
If fit, fits race pattern extremely well.