Masar and Saxon Warrior to Collide Again at Royal Ascot?
Source: ChampionsSeries via Twitter
Masar produced an outstanding display to win The Derby at the Epsom Downs, denying Saxon Warrior an assault on the Triple Crown. Charlie Appleby’s charge bounced back from an underwhelming performance at the 2,000 Guineas to triumph, etching his place in history.
The Irish horse had been considered the favourite to triumph at the Guineas, only to fail to match the pace of Saxon Warrior in the one-mile event at Newmarket. As a result of the performance of Aidan O’Brien’s charge, it was Saxon Warrior who was expected to taste victory to secure the second stage of the Triple Crown.
Masar finished third at the Guineas and was not expected to make a meaningful challenge at the Epsom Downs. However, Appleby’s charge had proven quality after winning the Craven Stakes by a dominant margin before his disappointment at Newmarket.
The three-year-old’s odds drifted all the way down to 18/1 with some bookmakers before The Derby. For a horse of top-class pedigree, it’s unusual to see that kind of value, especially in a major race. Therefore, it’s a fine example of the value strategy in horse racing betting systems, analysing the odds and seeing a worthwhile market that can be used to gain an impressive profit.
Masar would have generated punters a great deal of value by winning the Derby, proving that past form is not always an indicator of success. Due to the extremely low price of Saxon Warrior to win the race most of the other competitors had odds ranging from between 6/1 to 16/1. With the unpredictability of races value like that is always worth considering, especially since Saxon Warrior had not raced over 12 furlongs before in his career.
Source: RacingPost via Twitter
The battle between Masar and Saxon Warrior will not end at the Epsom Downs. Their next scheduled meet will be at Royal Ascot where they could face off in the St James’ Palace Stakes. Given the fact that Masar won the last event his odds will naturally be shorter and much more in line with O’Brien’s charge. However, Saxon Warrior proved to be the better sprinter out of the two competitors. The race at Royal Ascot will be just a shade under eight furlongs which will suit the Guineas champion.
Saxon Warrior has known nothing other than victory in his races contested over eight furlongs. Therefore the likely strategy will be to back the three-year-old to bounce back from his underwhelming performance at the Epsom Downs. O’Brien has a strong record at the St James’s Palace Stakes, winning the event seven times – the most by any trainer in the history of the meet.
Churchill was another horse similar to Saxon Warrior that won the Guineas last season, although he did not compete at The Derby. He failed to rise to the occasion at Ascot in the St James’s Palace Stakes, being beaten out by a Godolphin-owned horse Barney Roy. Another Godolphin horse Masar will be looking to defeat his rival again in what could be a thrilling battle at the old racecourse.