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Morning All,
Do we think Wyck Hill will get in. I have just had a positive comment on him but at 9-10 I don’t think there is a chance he will get in??
Thanks in advance
I am please about Nina Carberry, my 33/1 with Character Building is looking ok at the moment.
Am just hoping now the Knowhere gets the withdrawals
1. Black Apalachi
2. Mon Mome
3. Hello Bud (Money ruling the head)
4. Comply or DieMust admit I am over the moon that it now seems unlikely that CDG will get in – Even taking into account the pull outs to enable stable mates to get in I cannot imagine CDG will make it.
I would happy for the cut off to be Knowhere.
Dont know why but the closer we get to Saturday the more optimistic I am getting about my bets on Hello Bud.
Got a great racing weight, proven stamina and a front runner so hopefully will stay out of any problems. Granted not an ideal jockey but he will clearly know the horse well so dont see that as a major factor.
Have also had Backstage and Knowhere
Backstage out to 45 on betfair – Anyone know anything??
Is today the 2nd date for Grand National declarations ??
In the Kim Muir today – Is he pricewise as price is shortening early doors
Kilcrea Castle is still available at 50’s with Ladbrokes but general 33’s and 25’s elsewhere.
If you fancy it get on while you can
Watching the race yesterday I thought he did well on ground not favourable. Seemed to stay on well and certainly am more confident now than before the race about my bet for the Grand National.
Your thoughts??
Silver Birch at 10st 5
Paralypso de creek at 10st 6Will 10st 4 for Whinstone boy get in ??
Air Force One is 66/1 with Bet 365 and paying 1st 5 – If he is now being aimed that has to be value
Trabolgan – Granted Injuries
Black Jack Ketchum – Fell once and seemed to lose interest
Dubai,
I made reference to Baracouda – i am sure you cant argue that when Inglis Drever beat Baracouda wasnt in the twilight of his career.
Mighty Man – Aintree aside i have never really rated him
My Way De Solzen – Appears to have fallen off the rails altogether so no tremendous achievement in beating him.
Stu…
Hindsight is a wonderful thing my friend.
Obviously having a financial interest last season leading up to the Triumph i watched very closely, and as you say he was super impressive. Following that win and the subsequent win at the Aintree festival the ante-post odds for the Champion Hurdle some 11 months ahead were only about 8/1 which i sure we will all agree is not value at all, especially considering the record of first season juveniles racing against the big boys so to speak.
Watching Katchit’s races this season did nothing to convince me to back him at even 10/1. In my opinion there were too many horses that he had something to find against, Osana, Sizing Europe, Sublimity, Harchibald and then throw in the unknown quantities of Afsoun.
Never mind anyway, i was more bothered that i didnt back Alberta’s run when it was 33’s.
Gents,
My opinions,
I won a fortune on Katchit when we won the Triumph, i took 25/1 when he won at the Paddy Power November 2006 meeting. I must admit though, as big a fan as i am i really didnt think he was going to win the Champion Hurdle, i thought he had too much to find on quite a few other horses, fair play though.
I was at Leopardstown in December when Denman won the Lexus, admittadly having been hugely impressed by the Hennessy i wasnt too confident following the Lexus as i thought the performance was workmanlike at best. Leading upto the Gold Cup you could also argue the form of Kauto and Denman. Kauto had easily beat Our Vic in the King George, Denman had beated Mossbank in the Lexus but then Our Vic demolished Mossbank in the Ryanair. Still it never works like that..
The Drever – Quite simply there is no other horse that can be off the bridle with over a mile left that you are still confident of winning with. You could argue he hasnt beaten alot apart from an aging baracouda but you still have to do it.
Choc Thornton – Genius jockey but **** hair
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