[TheBluesBrother]

Looking Forward.

4:25 Ascot
Sat 25 Jul:

KING GEORGE VI AND QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES (SPONSORED BY BETFAIR) (GROUP 1)(CLASS 1)(3yo+)
Good To Firm 1m4f Number of runners: 19

31-412 ALWAARY 16 3 8-9 107 J H M Gosden

91 -16

567-11 ASK 50 6 9-7 122 Sir Michael Stoute

107 -15

-31037 BLACK BEAR ISLAND 11 3 8-9 112 A P O´Brien

112 +0

42-828 CAMPANOLOGIST 16 4 9-7 115 Saeed Bin Suroor

118 +3

90-614 CIMA DE TRIOMPHE 21 4 9-7 116 L M Cumani

112 -4

111-23 CONDUIT 21 4 9-7 125 Sir Michael Stoute

120 -5

1-2613 DANSANT 35 5 9-7 112 G A Butler

114 +2

48-171 DOCTOR FREMANTLE 16 4 9-7 111 Sir Michael Stoute

104 -7

7-1149 DUNCAN 16 4 9-7 120 J H M Gosden

111 -9

41-254 FREEMANTLE 11 3 8-9 111 A P O´Brien

114 +3

017-35 FROZEN FIRE 50 4 9-7 117 A P O´Brien

101 -16

1-4152 GOLDEN SWORD 27 3 8-9 119 A P O´Brien

118 -1

12333- IT´S GINO 293 6 9-7 — P Vovcenko

115

213-33 LOOK HERE 28 4 9-4 118 R M Beckett

104 -14

30-234 MASTEROFTHEHORSE 27 3 8-9 119 A P O´Brien

109 -10

131094 ROCKHAMPTON 14 3 8-9 100 A P O´Brien

80 -20

117217 SCINTILLO 27 4 9-7 114 R Hannon

90 -24

123-12 TARTAN BEARER 38 4 9-7 122 Sir Michael Stoute

111 -11

Top Rated: CONDUIT

120 -5

Forecast: CAMPANOLOGIST

118 +3

It is a shame that Sea The Stars is not running because his rating of 130 -1
made him the highest rated horse in my ratings ever…
The Couch reckons that Ryan Moore will ride TARTAN BEARER as this is
The fancy from the Stoute yard, my thoughts are, he will be on Conduit.
On paper this race is only a Group 2 not a Group1!

[TheBluesBrother]

Had a few spare hours so i thought I would have a go at the Scoop 6 races.

2:05 Market Rasen
Sat 18 Jul:

TOTESCOOP6 SUMMER HURDLE (HANDICAP) (LISTED RACE)(CLASS 1)(4yo+ 0-150) Winner £22,804 CH4
Good 2m1f110y Number of runners: 13

1 01714- KATIES TUITOR 272 6 11-12 p 150 Noel Fehily C J Mann 148 -2
2 5413-1 JOE JO STAR (24F) 7 10-13 137 Brian Hughes R A Fahey 125 -12
3 26-718 ROYAL RATIONALE 56 (32F) 5 10-11 b 135 Tom Scudamore D E Pipe 135 +0
4 081-26 ELLERSLIE TOM 17 7 10-11 135 Daryl Jacob Mrs A M Thorpe 133 -2
5 1FF-01 IS IT ME 5x 6 6 10-11 tp 135 Jason Maguire J Mackie 116 -19
6 11P/41 DANEHILL WILLY 30 7 10-7 131 A P McCoy Evan Williams 110 -21
7 12-101 TOSHI 17 7 10-3 127 G Lee J S Goldie 127 +0
8 475-31 AMEEQ 55 (11F) 7 10-1 125 Donal Devereux(7) Dr R D P Newland 120 -5
9 /0-211 SILMI 31 5 10-0 124 Paul Moloney Mrs S Leech 116 -8
10 94-3F3 MISTER BENEDICTINE 36 (10F) 6 10-0 t 122 Peter Toole(7) B W Duke 119 -3
11 25-121 COOTEHILL 5x 6 5 10-0 122 P J Brennan N A Twiston-Davies 110 -12
12 111213 TREATY FLYER 6 8 10-0 120 Richard Johnson Mrs A M Thorpe 114 -6
13 224P-1 PICOT DE SAY 71 (8F) 7 10-0 117 Andrew Tinkler C Roberts 118 +1

Top Rated: KATIES TUITOR 148 -2
Forecast: ROYAL RATIONALE 135 +0

2:20 Newbury
Sat 18 Jul:

SHADWELL STAKES (REGISTERED AS THE HACKWOOD STAKES) (GROUP 3)(CLASS 1)(3yo+) Winner £36,901 CH4
Good 6f8y Number of runners: 14

1 3 10-703 EDGE CLOSER 47 5 9-3 108 Richard Hughes R Hannon 99 -9
2 11 22-111 HIGH STANDING 28 4 9-3 105 Ryan Moore W J Haggas 106 +1
3 5 31-436 ICELANDIC 47 7 9-3 t 105 James Doyle F Sheridan 87 -18
4 12 772040 INTREPID JACK 8 7 9-3 b1 103 George Baker H Morrison 91 -12
5 9 234105 JUDD STREET 14 7 9-3 v 104 Eddie Ahern Eve Johnson Houghton 106 +2
6 4 907347 MATSUNOSUKE 7 7 9-3 104 Stephen Donohoe A B Coogan 107 +3
7 10 213-12 PALACE MOON 34 4 9-3 103 Steve Drowne H Morrison 93 -10
8 7 46-109 PRIME DEFENDER 8 5 9-3 109 Robert Winston B W Hills 108 -1
9 6 /40-54 SHALLAL 21 4 9-3 96 L Dettori P W Chapple-Hyam 97 +1
10 8 26223- WAR ARTIST 372 6 9-3 115 T P Queally J M P Eustace 119 +4
11 1 39-616 FESTOSO 17 4 9-0 102 L P Keniry H J L Dunlop 83 -19
12 14 65-021 DONCASTER ROVER 14 3 8-12 103 Richard Kingscote D H Brown 107 +4
13 2 500-10 SPIN CYCLE 32 3 8-12 106 Richard Mullen B Smart 100 -6
14 13 11-067 MADAME TROP VITE 14 3 8-9 104 Alan Munro K A Ryan 97 -7

Top Rated: WAR ARTIST 119 +4 (this rating is correct as his last 3 were 118,119 & 120).
Forecast: PRIME DEFENDER 108 -1

2:50 Newbury
Sat 18 Jul:

BATHWICK TYRES E B F FILLIES´ STAKES (HANDICAP)(CLASS 2)(3yo+ 0-100) Winner £12,462 CH4
Good 1m Number of runners: 13

1 4 68-390 CLIFTON DANCER 29 4 10-0 92 Ross Atkinson(5) Tom Dascombe 74 -18
2 11 1d3-118 COSMOPOLITAN 10 4 9-10 88 Richard Mullen J H M Gosden 79 -9
3 10 041348 NEVER LOSE 10 3 9-6 92 Ryan Moore C E Brittain 90 -2
4 5 8-2791 FOLLY LODGE 9 5 9-5 83 George Baker R M Beckett 86 +3
5 9 1140-0 IZZIBIZZI 70 4 9-3 81 T P Queally E A L Dunlop 74 -7
6 12 -25012 OCEAN TRANSIT 8 4 9-2 80 James Doyle R J Price 82 +2
7 7 431423 SILVER GAMES 7 3 9-1 87 M C Geran(5) M R Channon 78 -9
8 1 22-820 QALAHARI 31 3 9-1 87 Alan Munro D J Coakley 82 -5
9 6 836031 FLYING VALENTINO 21 5 8-13 77 Steve Drowne Ian Williams 82 +5
10 2 10-8 CLUB TAHITI 37 3 8-13 85 Eddie Ahern R Charlton 73 -12
11 8 221216 CUMANA BAY 10 3 8-13 85 Richard Hughes R Hannon 80 -5
12 13 452-21 AINIA 30 4 8-12 76 Martin Lane(5) D M Simcock 74 -2
13 3 0-112 FULL OF LOVE 57 3 8-9 81 Robert Winston B W Hills 80 -1

Top Rated: NEVER LOSE 90 -2
Forecast: FOLLY LODGE 86 +3

3:05 Newmarket (July)
Sat 18 Jul:

ADNAMS HANDICAP(CLASS 2)(3yo 0-100) Winner £12,462 CH4
Good 1m Number of runners: 8

1 2 2163 SOVEREIGN REMEDY 8 3 9-9 89 Ted Durcan Saeed Bin Suroor 89 +0
2 1 -41231 PRIDE OF KINGS 16 3 9-6 86 Greg Fairley M Johnston 80 -6
3 4 61200- KINGS TROOP 267 3 9-5 85 Charles Eddery(7) H R A Cecil 75 -10
4 5 10-035 BRAVO ECHO 28 3 9-3 83 Robert Havlin J H M Gosden 81 -2
5 7 752-12 MASWERTE 14 3 9-2 82 Dane O´Neill L M Cumani 75 -7
6 8 142 SUNSHINE ALWAYS 21 3 9-1 81 Tony Culhane W J Haggas 85 +4
7 6 212004 TARZAN 9 3 9-0 80 Hayley Turner M Johnston 74 -6
8 3 0-41 AIM TO ACHIEVE 23 3 8-8 74 Michael Hills B W Hills 67 -7

Top Rated: SOVEREIGN REMEDY 89 +0
Forecast: SUNSHINE ALWAYS 85 +4

3:25 Newbury
Sat 18 Jul:

WEATHERBYS SUPER SPRINT(CLASS 2)(2yo) Winner £98,480 CH4
Good 5f34y Number of runners: 25

1 20 212304 RED AVALANCHE 8 2 8-13 t — L Dettori P F I Cole 87
2 2 11115 MONSIEUR CHEVALIER 30 2 8-12 — Richard Hughes R Hannon 105
3 14 615 STRIKE SHOT 36 2 8-12 — T P Queally W R Muir 78
4 15 54 BLUSHING 16 2 8-10 — Robert Winston B J Meehan 62
5 18 311004 DESERT AUCTION 7 2 8-10 — Steve Drowne R Hannon 82
6 21 6215 PALISADES PARK 8 2 8-10 — Ryan Moore R Hannon 76
7 22 51224 REIGNIER 9 2 8-10 — Andrew Elliott K R Burke 86
8 13 113267 STAR ROVER 30 2 8-9 — Stephen Donohoe P D Evans 94
9 23 222153 ARCHERS ROAD 8 2 8-7 — Sam Hitchcott M R Channon 91
10 8 210 ITSTHURSDAYALREADY 32 2 8-7 — Chris Catlin J G Given 76
11 16 733 VAL C 21 2 8-6 — Liam Jones N P Littmoden 68
12 11 81306 KIRSTY´S BOY 20 2 8-5 — D O´Donohoe J S Moore 74
13 17 103055 LELEYF 8 2 8-5 — Edward Creighton M R Channon 70
14 19 72222 REDDY TO STAR 23 2 8-5 b1 — Eddie Ahern C G Cox 78
15 25 18701 ETERNAL INSTINCT 12 2 8-4 — Alan Munro J S Goldie 74
16 9 3103 EXISTENTIALIST 20 2 8-3 — Saleem Golam J G Portman 80
17 6 1 SCHOOLBOY CHAMP 28 2 8-3 — Louis-Philippe Beuzelin Patrick Morris 75
18 24 2110 HERE NOW AND WHY 30 2 8-2 — Richard Mullen K A Ryan 82
19 12 316 ABOVE LIMITS 29 2 8-0 — Richard Kingscote Tom Dascombe 83
20 4 4 MOSA MINE 9 2 8-0 — Andrew Mullen D H Brown 41
21 5 3 CHOCOLATE COOKIE 7 2 7-13 — Francis Norton R Hannon 64
22 10 1 SHAMANDAR 12 2 7-12 — Kirsty Milczarek W J Haggas 67
23 7 2421 SOCIAL GRACE 7 2 7-12 — Jamie Kyne D H Brown 65
24 1 603309 FRENCH CONNEXION 20 2 7-12 — Sophie Doyle J S Moore 63
25 3 1 REACH FOR THE SKY 54 2 7-12 — Adrian McCarthy R Hannon 66

Top Rated: MONSIEUR CHEVALIER 105
Forecast: STAR ROVER 94

3:40 Market Rasen
Sat 18 Jul:

TOTESPORT.COM SUMMER PLATE HANDICAP CHASE (LISTED RACE)(CLASS 1)(4yo+ 0-150) Winner £37,057 CH4
Good 2m6f110y Number of runners: 16

1 PPP4P- ALWAYS WAINING 84 8 11-12 tb 134 S E Durack P Bowen 133 -1
2 FP1-96 HOLD EM 24 7 11-12 134 Jason Maguire W K Goldsworthy 126 -8
3 /261-1 KING TROY 63 7 11-12 134 Jack Doyle A King 126 -8
4 61221- TELL HENRY 92 9 11-9 131 Denis O´Regan M Todhunter 111 -20
5 7P-121 KEEPITSECRET 18 8 11-8 130 Dominic Elsworth Jonjo O´Neill 129 -1
6 P63-17 ALERON 34 11 11-8 p 130 Dougie Costello J J Quinn 110 -20
7 6115-1 NELSON´S SPICE 36 8 11-6 128 Noel Fehily Jonjo O´Neill 124 -4
8 -22211 POSTMASTER 10 7 11-6 128 Paul Moloney Evan Williams 130 +2
9 /F231- NATIVE CORAL 87 11 11-5 127 B J Geraghty N G Richards 128 +1
10 26-221 NOSTRINGSATTACHED 30 8 11-5 p 127 A P McCoy Jonjo O´Neill 122 -5
11 10-786 WATER TAXI 17 8 11-4 126 G Lee Ferdy Murphy 69 -57
12 P0PP-F IRON MAN 17 8 11-1 p 123 Richard Johnson P Bowen 85 -38
13 -4O213 NO PANIC 16 6 11-0 122 Jamie Moore P Bowen 121 -1
14 /8-168 PRESTBURY KNIGHT 20 9 11-0 t 122 P J Brennan N A Twiston-Davies 85 -37
15 -15321 HISTOIRE DE MOEURS 5x 6 6 10-12 120 Bernie Wharfe(3) P Bowen 119 -1
16 5-75U1 ONIZ TIPTOES 22 8 10-7 v 115 P Aspell J S Wainwright 104 -11

Top Rated: ALWAYS WAINING 133 -1
Forecast: POSTMASTER 130 +2

[TheBluesBrother]

7:55 Hamilton
Fri 17 Jul:

JOHN SMITH´S SCOTTISH STEWARDS´ CUP (HANDICAP)(CLASS 2)(3yo+ 0-105) Winner £21,809
Good 6f5y Number of runners: 16

1 11 815201 TAMAGIN 20 6 9-12 p 105 Seb Sanders

107 +2

2nd 11-1[/color:t5crqt2e]
2 6 226-46 TOMBI 13 5 9-11 104 Paul Mulrennan

97 -7

3 8 329701 KNOT IN WOOD 20 7 9-10 103 B McHugh(5)

107 +4

4th 4-1 Fav[/color:t5crqt2e]
4 16 -20210 FISHFORCOMPLIMENTS 20 5 9-5 98 Lee Topliss(7)

93 -5

5 9 52-522 BARNEY MCGREW 20 6 9-5 98 Phillip Makin

105 +7

6 7 012-58 TAJNEED 20 6 9-3 96 Adrian T Nicholls

88 -8

7 10 232451 THEBES 6x 7 4 9-3 96 Greg Fairley

97 +1

8 14 181404 EXCUSEZ MOI 20 7 9-2 p 95 P J McDonald

98 +3

9 3 501690 ISHETOO 6 5 9-2 95 Silvestre De Sousa

102 +7

10 5 06740- PROTECTOR 251 8 9-2 t 95 Andrew Mullen

82 -13

11 1 1-0011 ROKER PARK 20 4 9-1 p 94 N Callan

102 +8

3rd 6-1[/color:t5crqt2e]
12 2 -40160 BABY STRANGE 27 5 8-13 v1 92 Martin Lane(5)

93 +1

13 12 330-09 SANTIAGO ATITLAN 161 7 8-13 92 Declan Cannon(7)

70 -22

14 15 550305 INTERNATIONALDEBUT 13 4 8-12 91 Lee Enstone

92 +1

15 13 -51072 QUEST FOR SUCCESS 34 4 8-11 90 Tony Hamilton

97 +7

1st 14-1[/color:t5crqt2e]
16 4 120850 OPUS MAXIMUS 10 4 8-9 88 Andrew Elliott

94 +6

The top rated is KNOT IN WOOD 107 +4 with a 5lb claimer on his back and if the ground
was soft he would be an outstanding bet.
The forecast horse is TAMAGIN 107 +2

Note: the minimum class rating I would expect any horse in a Class 2 to achieve is 96, so any horse under
this rating is discarded.

[TheBluesBrother]

Not sure what I am looking at on the lower list. Can you explain?

The lower list is the complete form and my ratings for Cape Royal back to 2008 to show where the 81 rating came from.

[TheBluesBrother]

8:55 Bath
Thu 16 Jul:

LINDLEY CATERING HANDICAP(CLASS 5)(3yo+ 0-75) Winner £4,209 Firm 5f11y Number of runners: 11

1 11 08-625 OCEAN BLAZE 5 9-11 75 Chris Catlin

77

+2
2 10 481287 DESPERATE DAN 8 9-9 73 P Nolan(7)

77

+4 1st 10-1[/color:3gsrgk9l]
3 6 669-74 HEAVEN 4 9-8 72 Darryll Holland

62

-10
4 8 863237 CAPE ROYAL 9 9-6 70 Kevin Ghunowa(3)

81

+11 3rd 18-1[/color:3gsrgk9l]
5 5 777623 ESPY 4 9-6 70 Eddie Ahern

64

-6
6 1 323087 MAZZOLA 3 9-4 72 M C Geran(5)

68

-4
7 7 452212 MATTEROFACT 6 9-4 68 Seb Sanders

75

+7 2nd 2-1 fav[/color:3gsrgk9l]
8 3 8606-8 LITTLEMISSSUNSHINE 4 9-3 67 Fergus Sweeney

52

-15
9 2 427136 BRANDYWELL BOY 6 8-12 62 Richard Thomas

67

+5
10 4 223363 STEP IT UP 5 8-12 62 Stephen Donohoe

65

+3
11 9 283314 GREEN LAGONDA 6x 7 8-8 58 Paul Doe

60

+2

This is an example on how I look at a race:

The top rated is Cape Royal (

81

) who had been running well until his last race, and
he is rated +11 above his offical rating on my ratings, i.e. the figure before the jockey’s name.
The forecast horse would be Desperate Dan 77 +4 and with his Jockeys allowance
of (7) is the main danger.

CAPE ROYAL: 1st Rating is OR and the 2nd is my MHR

DATE RACE CONDITIONS RACE OUTCOME JOCKEY OR MR
04 July 2009 Hay 5Gd C4Hc6K 7/9 5L, Red Rosanna[12/1]8-8tb Kevin Ghunowa 71 62
27 June 2009 Lin 5GF C5Hc3K 3/8 1½L, Matterofact[11/2]9-4tb L P Keniry 71 69
20 June 2009 Lin 5GF C5Hc3K 2/8 1½L, Sands Crooner[11/4F]9-13tb Kevin Ghunowa 71 74

14 June 2009 Sal 5GF C4Hc4K 3/9 ¾L, The Jobber[20/1]9-11tb Kevin Ghunowa 71 81

11 June 2009 Hay 5GF C4Hc5K 6/10 5¾L, Mandurah[25/1]10-0tb Kevin Ghunowa 71 61
22 May 2009 Bri 5GF C5Hc3K 8/10 9½L, Ziggy Lee[33/1]8-11tb Luke Morris 74 35
07 November 2008 Mus 5Sft C4Hc5K 9/13 4½L, Roker Park[10/1]9-1t David Allan 74 48
29 October 2008 Not 5Hy C5Hc3K 1/13 ½L, Make My Dream[10/1]9-0t Kevin Ghunowa 70 78
25 October 2008 Wol 5St C4Hc5K 5/10 3L, Invincible Lad[8/1]8-13 Kevin Ghunowa 70 70
21 October 2008 Lin 5St C5Hc2K 3/8 2¼L, Wibbadune[16/1]9-2 Kevin Ghunowa 72 61
16 October 2008 Bri 5Gd C5Hc3K 7/8 4½L, Rocker[12/1]9-3 M C Geran 72 58
29 September 2008 Bat 5GF C6Cl2K 3/12 5¼L, Dazed And Amazed[5/1]9-7tb Jamie Spencer 76 57
22 September 2008 Lei 5Gd C4Hc4K 10/11 13L, Tony The Tap[16/1]9-1tb Pat Cosgrave 76 35
12 September 2008 San 5Sft C4Hc5K 4/13 2L, Blessed Place[20/1]8-5tb Pat Cosgrave 77 77
08 September 2008 Fol 5Sft C4Hc5K 7/7 17½L, Regal Royale[9/1]8-5tb Steve Drowne 77 12
13 August 2008 San 5Sft C4Hc5K 5/9 4¼L, Judge ‘n Jury[5/1]9-1tb L Dettori 79 77
04 August 2008 Wdr 5GS C5Hc2K 4/10 5¼L, Matterofact[6/1]8-5tb Pat Cosgrave 79 74
03 August 2008 Nby 5Gd C4Hc4K 9/11 11L, Cheveton[10/1]9-10tb Jamie Spencer 79 33
31 July 2008 Not 5GF C5Hc3K 1/10 1L, Feelin Foxy[12/1]9-6tb Pat Cosgrave 75 84
23 July 2008 San 5GF C5Hc4K 5/11 2½L, Rocker[8/1]8-10tb Kevin Ghunowa 75 77
12 July 2008 Asc 5GS C4Hc6K 6/9 4L, Cheveton[12/1]9-8tb Jamie Spencer 77 71
01 July 2008 Thi 5GF C4Hc5K 8/9 5L, Baybshambles[20/1]8-7tb Stephen Donohoe 80 58
15 June 2008 Sal 5GF C4Hc4K 7/11 3¾L, Osiris Way[25/1]9-13tb Kevin Ghunowa 83 80
10 June 2008 Chs 5GF C4Hc5K 13/13 30L, Misaro[33/1]8-9tb N Callan 83
23 May 2008 Hay 5GF C3Hc10K 6/8 6½L, Mondovi[8/1]9-0tb N Callan 85 70
03 May 2008 Goo 5GS C3Hc7K 6/10 5L, Safari Mischief[7/1]8-5tb Kevin Ghunowa 86 79
23 April 2008 Not 5GS C3Hc6K 4/9 1¼L, Chief Editor[12/1]9-3tb Kevin Ghunowa 87 85
12 April 2008 Don 5Sft C2Hc10K 8/10 10L, Northern Fling[20/1]9-4tb Kevin Ghunowa 90 60
13 March 2008 Sth 5St C2Hc10K 8/9 6¼L, Canadian Danehill[50/1]9-1tb Paul Fitzsimons 91 77

[TheBluesBrother]

I would be interested in seeing your ratings based upon each horses LTO at an All Weather course to see if it changes the reflection of the race.

If I just used the LTO AW ratings of last night 6.20 at Wolverhampton the reflection of the race would have changed completely.
I just looked at the last 3 runs as Mr Beyer does, and just recorded the best rating.
I know that you should ignore what a horse has acheived on the turf when running on the AW, but it is the same with jumps horses when they improve 2 stone over fences and then run back over hurdles, they have to be backed.
That is the idea behind the spreadsheet, the horse noted have all improved on their last runs.

[TheBluesBrother]

For those interested I have posted my figures for tomorrows evening meeting at Wolverhampton on my blog. New England looks a good bet in the first with a tissue of 12-1

I had a look at the race at the Wolverhampton race and my top rated was MASTEROFCEREMONIES, and his 41/2 length 5th to Silvino, who hacked up Saturday has the form and draw to win here.
NEW ENGLAND was rated 12lb behind on 57.

MASTEROFCEREMONIES
28May09 Ayr 10Gd C4Hc5K 8-4 5/9 4½L, Sirvino[20/1]9-8 Darren Moffatt

69

DEUCE
01Jun09 Lei 12GF C53yHc2K 9-0 2/7 ¾L, Vita Mia[25/1]8-5b1 Stephen Carson

67

LYTHAM
29Apr09 Kem 10St C5Hc2K 8-2 2/10 2L, Balnagore[6/1]8-13 Toby Atkinson

67

RESPLENDENT ACE
28Jan09 Kem 12St C6Hc2K 9-8 7/12 8½L, Imperial Harry[5/1]9-7 Ian Mongan

64

[TheBluesBrother]

I will put forward a system to use with my spreadsheet above, which might help somebody to find a few winners.

Look out for any horse that according to my handicap ratings is 10+ or above on a recent outing, such as "Blue Jack" who ran at Windsor on the 6th July.
In column H "MAX CLASS", Blue Jack’s max class is (C2) and if his next run is in a (C3) this is a bet.

Just food for thought

[TheBluesBrother]

I always question the use of weights when it comes to handicapping. I think that ‘Speed Handicapping’ is a far more accurate measure of a horses ability.

I agree with your statement on speed handicapping because that is what I use, a combination of speed + class.
To beat the offical handicapper you must find an edge and I use the Beyer method of not adjusting the ratings by weight carried, as it corrupts the ratings.
Tonight at Windsor in the 8.00 (C4) 6th July the offical Handicapper has

Resurge

on a rating of 78 plus a 6lb penalty, I rated the horse at 96 which is a (C2) rating…this is what I call an edge.

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