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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

ravinella

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  • in reply to: Answer this horse racing question then ask the next #437238
    ravinella
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    in reply to: The official "shocking ride from Joseph O’Brien" thread #413622
    ravinella
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    .

    in reply to: Dante 2011 #355174
    ravinella
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    Surprised that Soumillon did not make mroe use of Seville, however The Queen’s horse overcame a funereal pace to cut down the O’Brien charge in a matter of strides.

    World Domination was always going to striggle being pitched straight into a race like this following the one maiden run, especially against a proven Group race performer. I must confess my first thought after was would Frankel re-enter Derby calculations but connections have unfortunately scotched those thoughts.

    It did seem that World Domination’s presence at the head of the Dderby market prior to today was influencing the future plans for Frankel. Now it seems the connections are reluctant to make a u-turn even though it would be the decision most race fans want to see.

    in reply to: Kentucky Derby 2011 #353955
    ravinella
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    My back to lay strategy with Uncel Mo was seriously undone after his Wood Memorial trouncing. With little choice, I didn’t bail out and saw the Betfair Lay odds tumble back from 12s shortly after his Aqueduct defeat to about 6.8 when he was a confirmed runner. They have now drfited to 9.0 so it looks like I am onto a loser.

    He may well be scratcehd tomorrow morning, however what do our experts think of this. Is repole trying to get the price to drift so he can pile on or is there a chance he will not run?

    Even if he does run how much of a disadvantage is the 18 draw? It seems the No.1 draw was the one the connections really didn’t want. Does anyone know where I can find a history of the Kentucky Derby stalls positions?

    in reply to: Classic Winners – Owners Colours #328384
    ravinella
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    in reply to: Prix du Moulin 2010 #316245
    ravinella
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    I backed Lope De Vega and felt the race was over for me after a furlong.

    I was bemused that connections felt it prudent to hold the horse up given he had won the French Derby over 2.5f further. Moreover he has not exactly appeared to be a horse with a blinding turn of foot, like Paco, so why employ the sort of tactics which meant if it developed into a sprint he would need to outsprint Paco (something we could never imo do). As I recall in the French Derby he wound it up turning for home and simply went further away as opposed to sitting in behind and pouncing late.

    I am a fan of Guyon in the main but this ride and that on Byword at York (allowed himself to become a sitting duck in a furiously run race) leave a lot to be desired.

    I suppose the most plausible explanation with Lope is that connections felt that trying to hold him up might make him less fired up and therefore conserve energy – the opposite was the case.

    Will be interesting to see where he tirns up next – he has no entries so connections will have to supplement him. Maybe they will just draw stumps for the season and try to work on his temperament over the winter.

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