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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

peter .h

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  • in reply to: Grand National 2010 #286003
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    Who do you suppose will be carrying David Johnson’s primary colours this year? Basically who’s gonna have the spotted cap and who’s settling for red?

    Though Comply Or Die would be the obvious choice; it looks like The Package is going to start the more fancied of the 2…?

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    Infact provided us with one of the Grand Nationals greatest bit of commentary work. When Julion says "Strands of Gold is down!" i still get goosebumps.

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285925
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    Chief Dan George has no chance of getting in, sorry.

    Unless both Madison and Notre Pere withdraw, right? Smith said he’d raise George a whole stone if he could…

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285875
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    Walsh has opted for Big Fella Thanks. That’s very important… i’m really torn now over who will start favourite. I’m surprised Ruby didn’t gor for Tricky Trickster. Looks like either Christian or Nick is getting the leg up on that one…

    And now Treadwell’s on Nozic, so looks like Nichols is booking them early.

    It’s been raining over Aintree quite a bit these last few days. Anyone know what the current ground is? I’d love another heavy National!

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285366
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    The Lamb and Battleship share the honor of the smallest horse at 15 hands and 2 inches…

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285323
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    Smith saying he’d raise Black Apalachi to 11,10 if he got the chance seemed very harsh to me…

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285205
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    You can always rely on Twister to put in a couple that can’t jump. Agree TAPK, Ballyfitz is long odds-on not to finish. Razor Royale isn’t the best of jumpers, doubt about his stamina too.

    Razor Royale

    probably wouldn"t run if he was with any other trainer,but i feel Nigel Twiston-Davies knows just the sort of horse required to win a National! Razor

    falls into the 21/2m specialist category for me

    ,he has a touch of the "Classifieds" about him,admittedly his jumping was bad at Kempton but when he gets into a rhythm he jumps "Big" at his fences and that would suit him at Aintree,his Racing Post victory ticks all the "Stats boys" boxes and a weight of around 10-9 would encourage his chances!He"s certainly in my 5 bets at 75"s! :wink:

    You don’t fall for that specialist 2 1/2 miler rubbish do you TAPK?
    Not that I’d call Razor Royale a specialist 2 1/2 miler.

    Who was the last 2 1/2 miler to win a National?

    It is just a myth put about by owners and trainers who just want to justify having a runner in the National.

    … Montys Pass?

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285157
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    Like you guys; the Grand National for me is… the race. It’s the main reason why i love horse racing and my trivial knowledge on the race is ridiculous for a 17 year old. For me it’s the greatest race in the world and i count down the days for the next running from the moment the winner passes the post.

    Here’s a link to last years race… http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxbXMOXOIzM

    Yeah Snowy did balls the water jump, but a remarkable number of runners didn’t take it well last year either, even got a faller for the first time in 31 years!

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285136
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    I am pretty surprised a lot of you are going for Snowy Morning as he has had two goes at the National and on the first occasion he ran well but on the second occasion he patently failed to stay!! I think his time has come and gone and you ought to be more interested in Arbor Supreme. But hey what do I know?

    He was carrying 11,8 last year… there’s no wonder he struggled last year whereas in 08 he only had 11,1.

    I would have thought that at eight or nine years old the horse would generally be at its peak and as a ten year old I personally cant see it improving.However in a few weeks we shall see!! And as far as the weight is concerned it would appear to be an animal in decline and thats not the kind of horse I will be backing in the National.
    Also is there a horse that has won the National at its third attempt?

    I dunno; 10 is a popular winning age…

    Amberleigh House won on his third try…
    Took Team Spirit 5 times to win…
    Little Polveir was running for the 4th time when he won
    Lescargot won on his third try

    And there were a few that won after a few tries in the 1800’s, early 1900’s

    So it’s not too uncommon to see a horse winning after a few attempts…

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285113
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    I am pretty surprised a lot of you are going for Snowy Morning as he has had two goes at the National and on the first occasion he ran well but on the second occasion he patently failed to stay!! I think his time has come and gone and you ought to be more interested in Arbor Supreme. But hey what do I know?

    He was carrying 11,8 last year… there’s no wonder he struggled last year whereas in 08 he only had 11,1.

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #285091
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    Our Vic and War of Attrition are the real disappointing withdrawals for me… shame we couldn’t get Trust Fund in there either.

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #284905
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    I checked out Chief Dan George’s weight as soon as he won the William Hill and was really disapointed to see him at 10,2, because there really is no way he’ll make it at that weight. If 10,4 if pushing it; then 10,2 is a no hoper really, unfortunately.

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #284884
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    My shortlist is…

    Black Apalachi
    Ellerslie George
    Hello Bud
    Preists Leap
    Notre Pere
    Knowhere
    Ollie Magern

    I think they are great outsider chances (except Black Apalachi who obviously isn’t an outsider)

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #284581
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    could it be that he’s , errr…..grey???

    [/size:3k8npep1] What difference does the fact that he’s a grey make.

    It was a play on the name darwengray…

    And there have been plenty of bad jumpers in the National that are no way near as classy as Knowhere. I am convinced he can not only complete the course; but he can run a big race too.

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #284183
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    I don’t think there’s much thought anymore. Mon Mome has to go off favorite now.

    I think you`re right peter his form this season is as good as it gets from a previous years national winner.

    Wouldn`t be surprised to see him make it a second win.

    it is but with his weight/age – i need to find another chaser :)

    10 isn’t old for a National winner. 12 of the last 20 winners were 10 or older. Esha Ness was also 10 when he was first past the post…

    His weight might be a bit of a concern; but his age is not a problem in my view.

    in reply to: Cheltenham Gold Cup 2010 #284015
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    Well my dream got some things right…

    Kauto’s fall…

    Denman’s one pace…

    And Mon Mome finishing in the first three

    :lol:

    in reply to: Grand National 2010 #283988
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    I don’t think there’s much thought anymore. Mon Mome has to go off favorite now.

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