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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

nstath

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Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 38 total)
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  • in reply to: Gingers Flat Winners #448348
    Avatar photonstath
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    • Total Posts 47

    Filling your boots today! Good luck, looks to be quite a good card

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448326
    Avatar photonstath
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    Beverly 2:40 Innocent Touch @ 4.6 (possibly higher sp)

    Bit of a risk here but looks to be a fairly ordinary race. Entry further down the line in an expensive race so stable must hold some hope, wouldn’t need to be a world beater to make the frame.

    Salisbury 3:55 Rock Choir @ 3.7

    Still relatively unexposed and a previous winner over the trip. Looks open to more improvement.

    Yarmouth 5:35 Jonnie Skull @ 10

    Loves to race from the front and on this course it can be extremely hard to catch a front runner. If Queally can get an easy lead he might also trade very low in running.

    good luck

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448292
    Avatar photonstath
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    Mixed bag today!

    Three times a lady @ 2.64

    finished third


    I think possibly could have been ridden a little closer to the pace, there is a turn of foot there!

    Fleged @ 2.12

    finished first


    A really strong run and some telling market support during the day

    Beau Mistral @ 3.5

    finished first


    Again justified strong market support, went off around 6/4

    Total for the day is

    Running profit for a £1 bet is

    more selections tomorrow as I/we attempt to find winners each day

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448256
    Avatar photonstath
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    Cracking picture!

    I will be watching the next run with interest, a few bookings in late September/early October

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448241
    Avatar photonstath
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    Carlise 3:15

    Three times a lady @ 2.64

    Sir Mark Prescot’s only runner at the dark and in a rich vein of form. There are some notable rivals but the trainer has an excellent strike rate here.

    Nottingham 6:35

    Fleged @ 2.12

    Nottingham 7:35

    Beau Mistral @ 3.5

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448237
    Avatar photonstath
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    A frustrating day today!!

    Ayr 3:30 Mu’ajiza @ 6.8 finished third

    Ayr 4:00 Roker Park @ 7.2 finished second by a head

    Ayr 5:00 Dester Revolution @ 6.4 finished 4th

    two horses in the frame and one attempting to make all, two of them traded very low in running! On another day who knows!

    Running total to a £1 bet


    winners 30%

    win/place 55%

    more selections to follow

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448149
    Avatar photonstath
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    A bit more radical today and some higher prices, could be my undoing!

    Ayr 3:30 Mu’ajiza @ 6.8

    In second start, beaten by expressly who went on to run in a group one race. Third start was unsurprisingly not a huge success but beaten by some progressive looking horses. Could be a lenient mark on first handicap start.

    Ayr 4:00 Roker Park @ 7.2

    Once rated as high as 97 having one off a mark of 86 and today racing off 75. Steadily dropping down the weights, hopefully today is the day at a nice price.

    Ayr 5:00 Dester Revolution @ 6.4

    Although there are other obvious dangers, it might be worth siding with this unexposed younger horse against older more exposed rivals.

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448144
    Avatar photonstath
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    Sadly couldn’t find profit today, that second win proved elusive!

    3:40 Windsor: Newmarket Warrior @ 3.5

    finished 6th today, didn’t seem to have the extra towards the end.

    4:40 Windsor Shahrazad @ 5s

    finished 2nd today, beaten by one too good.

    3:55 Leicester Elhamme @ 2.8

    finished 1st today, a very strong and ready winner.

    4:25 Leicester Port Alfred @ 4

    finished 4th, possibly needs a longer trip.

    so the end result meant a loss of 0.2 takes us to a running total of

    Appologies that I couldn’t do better today, hopefully tomorrow I can bounce back, if anyone is reading except me haha!

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #448104
    Avatar photonstath
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    Interesting selection in Miliika, I almost had him in my selections! I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s a bit of late money and it goes off as the favorite.

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448060
    Avatar photonstath
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    I have a friend going to Windsor tomorrow so I’ve had a trawl through the card at reasonable length in an attempt to find a horse for every race. It looks to be a Hannon/Hughes dominated card though.

    What is interesting is that Hannon runs a horse at leicester in the 2:25 called Shafrah, currently unraced but holding an entry in the Dewhurst, obviously they have elected to use Hughes elsewhere, probably as there are more rides. In that same race there’s also a Godolphine newcomer worth 140,000gns. A race to watch for sure!

    My selections for tomorrow:

    3:40 Windsor: Newmarket Warrior @ 3.5

    4:40 Windsor Shahrazad @ 5s

    3:55 Leicester Elhamme @ 2.8

    4:25 Leicester Port Alfred @ 4

    good luck to everyone

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #448044
    Avatar photonstath
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    I didn’t get the 14/1 starting price on Chanceuse but I did take a respectable 9/1 :)

    As I first put it up at 5.6 and I bet a 9.0 I’ll use the middle to add to the thread total rather than my inflated price.

    takes us to


    Didn’t find anything today that really interested me so instead I have had a crack at the Ayr placepot for fun :)

    hope everyone else enjoyed the days betting

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #447908
    Avatar photonstath
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    • Total Posts 47

    Chantreuse a winner @ 14/1 sp

    Well done if you got on too!

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #447877
    Avatar photonstath
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    First one is Chanceuse @ Lingfield in the 2:50

    currently trading at 5.6 and is Fallon’s only ride of the card, I will be watching with interest

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #447871
    Avatar photonstath
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    current total +4

    continuing a bad habit and probably had more bets than I should recently, although I didn’t put them up I managed to get a small piece of both of Teves’s success on both nights which helped. A bit of a roller-coaster last two days but still in profit.

    I’ve attached a picture showing the too many bets but also some of the success, selections to follow!

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #447753
    Avatar photonstath
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    Not too much time to get these up so I’ll just make it quick!!

    Newcastle 3:10 My single Malt @ 7.6

    Pontefract 4:30 Dolphin Rock @ 5.0

    Brighton 4: 20 Al Mannal @ 4.2

    Good luck

    in reply to: Dipping into tipping #447671
    Avatar photonstath
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    • Total Posts 47

    So with a level bet we would be on about


    Going to try and be a bit braver with one today, probably a bad idea!

    2:15 @ Ripon, Ponty Pursuit to place @ 10/1

    I have backed Ponty Pursuit to place on Betfair at odds of 10/1, 40/1 the win. Holds an entry to the Yearling Stakes on the 22nd of August at York which is a valuable race so there could be some potential there.

    Jofranka 4:15 @ Ripon @ 3.7

    Has a good draw and although is up in the weights, has a good partnership with the jockey, last 3rd was under an apprentice.

    Lady Chaparall 8:15 @ Carlisle @ 3.7

    It might be a tricky mark, but the horse that beat her in the last has gone on to record two wins and a second place. The horses in third and fourth have also since gone on to win so hopefully a good run is in store.

    good luck to everyone

    ………………………………………………

    A bit of a disaster today, lady chaparall cost me dearly while not placing, ponty pursuit also didn’t find anything today.

    Jofranka was just headed into second so sadly it was 3 points down today taking the total to +7 points

    in reply to: Gingers Flat Winners #447603
    Avatar photonstath
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    • Total Posts 47

    3:15 Newbury
    64 points @ 11/4 (PP) Nezar* (min 9/4)

    Agreeing with this, didn’t back it last night but found a much better price today so I’m back on-board! (kiss of death)

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 38 total)