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I really rate Donegal’s chance in this. Will relish the going and getting the WFA allowance.
Preliminary musings…
Tartan Bearer is an unlikely runner – seem to remember reading he is being aimed at the Champion Stakes.
Dr. Fremantle Probably my mistake, but unlike Friggo I don’t fancy this one’s chances. Seems destined to find one or two too good on the day.
I rate the chances of Sir Michael’s other possible runners a bit higher. But as a Queen’s Vase winner Patkai has to beat the stats. And although before his last race I thought Conduit was a real player, now I’m not so sure. Made very hard work of it in beating Donegal.
Like most, I really like Look Here – but maybe not for this race. She is mighty, but she is little. Her trainer thinks she needs time between her races – and there isn’t that much time between the Yorkshire Oaks and the Leger. Her participation would seem to be dependent on well she comes out of the Oaks.
I think Frozen Fire is the most likely winner if he runs. Will Coolmore want to see their Irish Derby winner in the Leger?
The Voltigeur will surely give us some extra pieces to the jigsaw.
Zulu Chief is still in Sunday’s 10f G2 Royal Whip at the Curragh. Hope he runs – and wins! Then on to Melbourne….oops, I think I’m getting ahead of myself here.
Zulu Chief may run in Sunday’s G2 Royal Whip Stakes (10f). AOB is yet to decide between running him or King of Rome or both. Hope it’s Zulu.
Like to see the top four duel in the Prix de l’Opera.
Agree – but add Lush Lashes and Listen to those for a race to savour – yum yum!
Although I’ve sat on the fence on this one and voted "not bothered", I do think that if the Big Races section is retained, consideration should be given to some of the suggestions made here.
I think reet is right that it might be working to the detriment of the main (?) forum and new visitors could be perplexed/put off.
I wrote earlier on this thread:
I have a nagging thought that Johnny Murtagh’s record around Goodwood is not so great. I know he won on Peeping Fawn last year, but who wouldn’t have? Can anyone confirm or quash this suspicion?
Sometimes you just have to laugh at yourself. I reckon Johnny quashed my suspicion all right – times 8!
brendanr wrote:
Goldikova is missing from the potential winner’s list
Yes, I agree she’s good, and with the ground probably too soft for both Darjina and Sabana Perdida, I think she’s the one most likely to trouble Natagora.
The 10f trip is obviously a big worry for Halfway to Heaven fans. By winning at a mile she’s already outstayed her (sprinting) pedigree. Her half sister Theann (by Rock of Gibraltar, a greater stamina influence than Pivotal) did not win beyond 6f although she was tried at both 7f and a mile.
Although Lush Lashes would seem to be the obvious choice here (form/distance/class), I have a funny feeling that today is not her day. The yard has been only in OK rather than sparkling form. LL herself has never won two races back to back. Concerns have been raised (justifiably in my view) about her ability to run to her best at Goodwood.
Halfway to Heaven e/w, although Muthabara would be a bolder bet.
This is a very hot race. I think Natagora will prevail. Her runs in both the Guineas and the Prix de Jockey Club were both top class.
Very interesting that Aidan O’Brien chose the Nassau for Halfway to Heaven despite the stamina doubt and the formidable presence of Lush Lashes. Obviously he reckoned that Natagora/Darjina/Sabana Perdida/Nahoodh (I think in that order) were a more daunting prospect over the 8f distance than anything the Nassau could put in her path.
Love your sense of humour, brigadier. Made me laugh despite the sad news re Ramonti. Godolphin has really had some bad luck this year.
Re the Sussex, it really looks like Henry’s race to me. However, does anyone else think that Major Cadeaux has a ‘major’ place chance? His form this year has been consistent and progressive, but I suppose there is a big doubt about his getting a truly run mile, especially against this opposition.
I have a nagging thought that Johnny Murtagh’s record around Goodwood is not so great. I know he won on Peeping Fawn last year, but who wouldn’t have? Can anyone confirm or quash this suspicion?
Curlin races this Saturday for the first time on turf in the 11f Man O’ War Stakes at Belmont Park. He faces two former Breeders Cup Turf winners in Red Rocks and the evergreen 9 year old Better Talk Now.
Connections have indicated that they will decide after this race whether or not to aim for the Arc. Watch this space!
