[mr forecast]

this was one of the first systems i tried

i tweeked it a bit to……….i bet on each track seperatley and once hitting a winner i stopped…..it was going great…….making a small tenner per track per day…………..i thought after 1 month that i had cracked it……..then at lingfield and worcester on the same day they both produced no winning favs and having to go to the last race to fing this out hit my bank hard and i quit that day

most days the first race would win so i was not having to do much,my mate carried on with this but uses two accounts…..backs to win and lays to get money back………so he either wins or breaks even

its still a good little system thou

i thought the last thing a british person won in france was the war

[mr forecast]

i know the usa have been using speed ratings for years which is roughly how much im behind you with this about 30 yrs

by the time i catch up i will be dead……lol

over here most of the top speed raters are the favs now and most time less than eves on the odds (aw)

but then can do realy bad on the turf

we have a saying over here…….a handicapper makes a good horse slow,and a slow horse fast

[mr forecast]

goodwood

cool strike
royal destination
sunnyside tom
mount hadley
finjaar
gala sunday (beverley)
yes mr president
australai day
bold cross
main aim
mujood

hope this is more accurate

[mr forecast]

27/01/09
rhinestone ruby ragdollianna 4.43

26 races

502.15 minus 41 minus 19 minus 26 add 4.43 add 12.77 == 433.35

[mr forecast]

i spent all day yesterday trying to build an automated database with a macro and to say its beyond me is an understatement..

i can now see how you up date yr databases using this method and is the obvious way to do this………….

i have a thread question…………do you split the speed ratings for each horse…ie turf and all weather…….or are you just using one rating regardless of the track

i have two speed ratings for each horse and use the speed rating for each condition………………i find if i use the turf on the all weather then the results are not as good (mainly place)

3:15 turf aw
High Curragh 94 77
Charles Parnell 81 89
Coconut Shy 82 37
Owed 44 72
Days Of Thunder 22
Decider 44 77
Swinbrook 91 81
Fyodor 98 103
Come On Buckers 60 58
Wiltshire 58 67
Favouring 56 59
Monte Mayor Eagle 39 50

as you can see three horses run slower on the aw than the turf and the rest run faster

or am i barking up the wrong tree

[mr forecast]

19 races

no forecasts won

[mr forecast]

took me an 30mins to do all horses at southwell and

mondays bets

my one weekness—dolphin rock
charles parnell——-fydor
my mentor
elusive fame–swords
crocodile bay
time to regret—flying batham

[mr forecast]

sturdays results

41 forecasts

1st deloria
2nd tislaam 12.77

[mr forecast]

lingfield speed ratings has the highest strike rate in the uk (since collecting data)

heres july to date
track win place 4casts days placed bets
lingfield 13 22 6 4 35 42

[mr forecast]

478.38

47 forecasts……………

24/07/09 47 races
1st 5 Royal Trooper (IRE)
2nd 6 Tapis Wizard CSF: £58.05
1st 1 Baguenaud (FR)
2nd 2 High Standard (NZ) CSF: £8.58
1st 7 High Heeled (IRE
2nd 5 Ave CSF: £4.14

502.15 closing balance (24 days tested)

[mr forecast]

dont want to spoil yr thread by going off course

i have a thread on here about my speed raters

back to yr thread……………..i notice i get alot of placed wins by using this method and alot of n/r

i only use the handicap method for horses that have winning form,……….do you do this or for every horse???

at thirsk today i had royal trooper-tapis world-amethysdawn-gosforthpark
they came 1st 2nd 3rd and 1 non runner

i also picked out jilly why and rafta and bahamain ballard
they came 1st and 2nd and the last lost(i had a draw bias for 4 different horses which lost in same race)

but then i had resurge-last 3 minute and william blake and managed only 1 2nd place

[mr forecast]

patternform uses racing post to update its data,and is free

[mr forecast]

i think horses individual performance is the key……………….averaging may be quicker………….would like to run the two to see but im so tied up at the mo……………

there is no easy way with this……..its time consuming but the homework is paying off……the speed vs handicap vs track speedsters strike rate is proving very effective…………….

i am thinking of employing a pa……….two hrs a day entering all the stats i need in to a database………that way i can concentrate on betting and trading which im good at

uttoxetter yesterday………….5 winners–5 placed–6 races

[mr forecast]

504.26

32 bets…….4 non bets——-one forecast won 6.12

504.26 minus 32 add 6.12 ==478.38

[mr forecast]

first three races of the day

uttoxeter

1st and 3rd cooks grove–elusive swallow

1st and 2nd armenian boy–baren de doc

1st and 2nd brouss en feux–dont be blue

will post results later as im off out now till late

[mr forecast]

back on today

looking at my database tells me that the evening races have better stats for forecasts

36 races for the whole day so ill see how the afternoon spans out

uttoxetter has a great place rate for the speedsters

doing a accumi today as well only 1 point e/w

compton classic–convince–peter island–twighlight star–rafta

[mr forecast]

that was a good tip…..mine won and so did yrs

only 3/1 in play but a wins a win

think i need to go on a learn direct course on databases,

[Author]

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