[mr forecast]

handicap and speed card

W Desert Dreamer
W Sir George non runner

W Graceandgratitude
W Turf Time w
W Exceed Power pl

W New Den
W Pie Poudre
W She´s My Rock

W Premium Charge
W Creevy

W South African Gold

W Royal Torbo pl

W Dzesmin
W Solarias Quest
W I´m In The Pink

[mr forecast]

is the favs phonom one of the infamous matt bisongos programme from geegees .com

[mr forecast]

handicap and speed card –nap in red

Flaxen Lake non runner
American Light pl
True Red

Magenta Strait w
Wanchai Whisper pl 2nd

Terminate
Duneen Dream

King´s Jester w
Hi Spec
Libre pl 3rd

Glamorous Spirit
Peak District
Ebraam

Vilnius
Feel The Magic
Bookiesindex Girl [/color:3sh5mnm6] non runner

[mr forecast]

Draw biases offer an all-weather angle…

We’ve got just about ten weeks of the all-weather season proper
stretched out ahead of us. In the past I would have been totally
disinterested. However, the weather over the last couple of weeks –
and a complete dearth of jump racing – has led me to engage with the
format. And I’ve got to admit that, having dug about and found a
couple of angles, I’m beginning to enjoy it.

Speed figures, collateral form and the differences that exist
between each of the English tracks all offer plenty of potential
angles to the all-weather punter. So too do draw biases. And that’s
where my focus is this week.

I’ll come to races over 7 furlongs and a mile at each course next
week. This week I’m concentrating on races over 5 furlongs and 6
furlongs at each of the 4 all-weather courses – Lingfield,
Southwell, Kempton and Wolverhampton.

In making my statistical analysis I have focused on races over those
distances throughout 2009 and into 2010 so far. In order to keep the
focus on what is happening NOW I didn’t want to go any further back
into historical data. Biases change over time and what was or wasn’t
happening 2 or 3 years ago will not prove relevant or instructional
to bets we want to place today, tomorrow or next week. I also
decided to focus solely on races with 9 runners or more.

Lingfield – avoid stall 1 and play the percentages…

Races over 5 furlongs take place around 2 left-handed bends with a
maximum of 10 runners. When looking at these races I would
completely discount whatever is running out of stall 1. 28 runners
have run out of the stall over 5 furlongs in the last year and none
of them have managed to win. Of the 28 winners of 5 furlong races
over the period 17 (61%) have come out of stalls 2, 3, 4 or 5 – and
horses set to run from those stalls should be looked at closely.

In a race round 2 tight bends you might think the horse drawn widest
would be at a distinct disadvantage – but the facts don’t fir the
theory. Stall 10 has produced 5 winners over the period and knowing
that might give you an edge over the wider market which I believe
will generally take the view that the widest horse can’t win.

Races over 6 furlongs are run around 3 bends with a maximum of 12
runners and once again runners from stall 1 are really up against
it. 57 have tried over the last year and just one has been
successful. Short price runners from stall 1 over 5 or 6 furlongs at
Lingfield are clearly decent candidates for laying purposes.

Over 6 furlongs winners come from pretty much all parts of the draw
but the percentage call is to focus special attention on runners
from stalls 9, 10, 11 or 12 which have produced 22 out of the 58
(38%) winners over the sample period.

Southwell – go low in the sprints…

5 furlong races are run on the straight at Southwell and have up to
14 runners. The percentage play is to focus your attention on
runners from stalls 1,2,3,4, 5 and 6. These stalls have produced 34
(76%) of the 45 winners over 5 furlongs at Southwell over the test
period. Backing runners in stalls 10 or bigger is not advisable –
over the period 107 runners have run out of those stalls and just 7
have triumphed.

6 furlong races take place around 2 bends. 40 (71%) of the 56
winners over the period have run out of stalls 3 to 9 inclusive.
That’s the percentage play. Runners from stalls 10 or bigger have
scored just 9 times from 151 runners. Avoiding these high-stall
runners will mean you miss a few winners but swerve a damn sight
more losers.

Kempton – high numbers are best

At right-handed Kempton the 5 furlong sprinters run around 2 bends –
with a maximum of 12 runners per race. Only 28 5 furlong races have
been run over the last year – and 50% of those have been won by
horses racing out of stall 9 or higher.

Over 6 furlongs races are run around 2 bends – again with a maximum
of 12 runners per race. Of the 84 winners of 6 furlong races over
the text period 48 (57%) have done the winning out of stall 8 or
higher. Runners from stall 1 have the worst record – just 3 wins out
of 67 – and are best avoided.

Wolverhampton – another course where it pays to go low…

5 furlong races are run around 2 tight left-handed bends. The course
configuration appears to suit those drawn low over 5 furlongs. Of 57
winners over the test period 28 (49%) were drawn in stalls 1, 2 or
3. Just 10 winners over the minimum distance were drawn in stall 8
or higher.

6 furlong races take place on the straight. Over the test period
there have been 91 qualifying races and 59 (65%) of the winners were
drawn in the first 7 stalls.

Using these stats…

You can use these stats to split the field of any race over 5
furlongs or 6 furlongs into probables and the less likely.

Exchange layers might look to oppose short-priced fancies running
out of the wrong part of the draw.

Keen race watchers might look for horses that run well from a bad
part of the draw – and back them next time out (assuming they get a
good draw next time) on the basis that they could be winners waiting
to happen.

Forecast, Tricast and Placepot players might want to make multiple
selections from the best parts of the draw.

Punters who like to dutch 2 or 3 runners in order to try and squeeze
a profit from every race might also want to focus their efforts
solely on those runners with the draw on their side.

Just a few ideas. Next week I’ll be back with some stats for races
over 7 and 8 furlongs.

[mr forecast]

handicap and speed

L 16/01/10 11 Clear Sailing w
L 16/01/10 10 Fujin Dancer non runner

L 16/01/10 18 Major Maximus w
L 16/01/10 22 Sweet Avon 2nd pl

L 16/01/10 35 Alfie Tupper
L 16/01/10 31 Bavarica
L 16/01/10 32 Bosamcliff place 18/1

L 16/01/10 42 Prince Of Sorrento
L 16/01/10 41 Transfixed

L 16/01/10 50 Carcinetto

L 16/01/10 62 Full Toss
L 16/01/10 63 Mafeking pl
L 16/01/10 57 Rock Ascot

L 16/01/10 71 Greyfriarschorista w
L 16/01/10 75 Kinky Afro non runner

[mr forecast]

this is the handicap and speed horses for today , list were getting too long nap in red

L 15/01/10 Cozy Tiger pl
L 15/01/10 Peinture De Guerre
L 15/01/10 Alhaque pl

L 15/01/10 Fivefold [/color:3omcq032] w

L 15/01/10 Freddie´s Girl

L 15/01/10 Geezers Colours

L 15/01/10 Prince Charlemagne
L 15/01/10 Chanrossa pl

L 15/01/10 Mary Helen pl

L 15/01/10 Litenup
L 15/01/10 Womaniser
L 15/01/10 Turkish Sultan w 25/1

L 15/01/10 Thoughtsofstardom
L 15/01/10 Steel City Boy w
L 15/01/10 Monsieur Reynard

S 15/01/10 Dawn Storm
S 15/01/10 Kinkeel

S 15/01/10 Total Impact w
S 15/01/10 Stonecrabstomorrow pl 2nd

S 15/01/10 Tealing pl
S 15/01/10 Lily Lily w

S 15/01/10 Midnight Strider pl 2nd
S 15/01/10 Paintball w

S 15/01/10 Dunaskin pl
S 15/01/10 Little Carmela

S 15/01/10 Ocean Transit
S 15/01/10 Sacrilege
S 15/01/10 Moojeh pl

W 15/01/10 Misaro
W 15/01/10 Perlachy

W 15/01/10 Interchoice Star
W 15/01/10 Bishopbriggs w
W 15/01/10 Well Of Echoes

W 15/01/10 Carmenero w
W 15/01/10 Haasem
W 15/01/10 Gracie´s Gift

W 15/01/10 Know No Fear pl
W 15/01/10 Fuzzy Cat non runner

W 15/01/10 Bolodenka 2nd
W 15/01/10 Painted Sky non runner

W 15/01/10 Stand Guard
W 15/01/10 Ravi River

W 15/01/10 Nakoma
W 15/01/10 Supernoverre pl
W 15/01/10 Sir Sandicliffe

W 15/01/10 Stravita
W 15/01/10 John Potts
W 15/01/10 Fine Tolerance w

[mr forecast]

handicap card

L 14/01/10 Emma Jean Lass 3 60 100 C6

L 14/01/10 Musashi 5 50 104 C7 w
L 14/01/10 Dynamo Dave 5 49 106.12 C7 non run

L 14/01/10 Noble Jack 4 77 103.9 C4 w
L 14/01/10 Takajan 3 76 105.26 C4 pl forecast

L 14/01/10 Marmooq 7 64 100 C6/C5
L 14/01/10 Naheell 4 65 104.62 C5
L 14/01/10 Hector Spectre 4 64 100 C6/C5
L 14/01/10 Carr Hall 7 50 104 C7 pl

L 14/01/10 Arganil 5 108 100 G3/G2 w
L 14/01/10 Sherjawy 6 56 100 C7/C6

L 14/01/10 Hampton Court 5 57 105.26 C6 pl
L 14/01/10 Spiritonthemount 5 52 100 C7
L 14/01/10 Purely By Chance 5 50 104 C7 w
L 14/01/10 Colourful Move 5 49 106.12 C7

S 14/01/10 Bo McGinty 9 64 100 C6/C5 pl
S 14/01/10 Ingleby Star 5 68 100 C5

S 14/01/10 Laureldeans Best 4 65 104.62 C5 pl

S 14/01/10 Gower Sophia 3 57 105.26 C6
S 14/01/10 Caol Ila 3 56 100 C7/C6

S 14/01/10 Bubbly Bellini 3 75 106.67 C4 pl
S 14/01/10 Tamarind Hill 3 68 100 C5 pl
S 14/01/10 Hubble Space 3 58 103.45 C6

S 14/01/10 General Tufto 5 65 104.62 C5
S 14/01/10 Vertigo On Course 5 60 100 C6 pl
S 14/01/10 Special Cuvee 4 60 100 C6

S 14/01/10 Jonnie Skull 4 67 101.49 C5 pl
S 14/01/10 Premier Lad 4 65 104.62 C5
S 14/01/10 Tidal Force 4 60 100 C6

S 14/01/10 He´s A Humbug 6 65 104.62 C5
S 14/01/10 Mango Music 7 59 101.69 C6

W 14/01/10 Total Impact 7 76 105.26 C4 non run
W 14/01/10 Green Park 7 76 105.26 C4
W 14/01/10 Perlachy 6 66 103.03 C5

W 14/01/10 Calculating 6 67 101.49 C5 pl forecast
W 14/01/10 Estate 8 67 101.49 C5
W 14/01/10 Leyte Gulf 7 64 100 C6/C5 w

W 14/01/10 Hilbre Court 5 74 100 C5/C4
W 14/01/10 Bomber Brown 4 74 100 C5/C4
W 14/01/10 Fujin Dancer 5 68 100 C5

W 14/01/10 Reve De Nuit 4 95 101.05 C2
W 14/01/10 Alsahil 4 80 100 C4
W 14/01/10 Balcarce Nov 5 105 100.95 G3 pl
W 14/01/10 Philatelist 6 96 100 C2 w

W 14/01/10 New Star 6 76 105.26 C4 pl
W 14/01/10 Painted Sky 7 64 100 C6/C5 pl
W 14/01/10 Theocritus 5 76 105.26 C4 w 360/1 tricast

W 14/01/10 Shifting Star 5 92 100 C3

W 14/01/10 Fathsta 5 88 104.55 C3
W 14/01/10 Orpsie Boy 7 88 104.55 C3 pl

W 14/01/10 Triskaidekaphobia 7 50 104 C7
W 14/01/10 Albero Di Giuda 5 50 104 C7
W 14/01/10 Head To Head 6 50 104 C7 w
W 14/01/10 Cocktail Party 4 49 106.12 C7

[mr forecast]

here is the speed bit foir today

Perfect Secret pl
Red Yarn pl

Rainiers Girl
Dynamo Dave non run
Louisiade pl

Calculus Affair
Takajan pl

Marmooq
Hector Spectre
Carr Hall pl

Aeroplane pl
Indian Skipper

Prince Charlemagne
Purely By Chance w
Hampton Court pl 40/1

Grudge
Ingleby Star
Cornus pl

Sure Fire
Laureldeans Best pl

Ya Boy Sir
Lairy
Gower Sophia

Bubbly Bellini pl
Hubble Space

Vertigo On Course pl
Miss Christophene
General Tufto

Premier Lad
Jonnie Skull pl

Elijah Pepper pl
Restless Genius

Excellent Show pl
Total Impact non run
Canadian Danehill

Estate
Augustus John non run
Calculating pl

Chosen Forever w
Supercast
Resplendent Ace

Splinter Cell pl
Reve De Nuit

Spring Hawk
Painted Sky pl
Theocritus w

Fathsta
Vhujon
Tourist w 14/1

Cocktail Party
Magic Glade
Triskaidekaphobia

[mr forecast]

sorry ill make this smaller

go below for todays speed

[mr forecast]

handicap card for wednesday

K 13/01/10 Ejeed 5 7 50 104 C7 w
K 13/01/10 Djalalabad 6 7 49 106.12 C7

K 13/01/10 Brazilian Brush 5 7 50 104 C7
K 13/01/10 Diane´s Choice 7 7 50 104 C7 w
K 13/01/10 Reigning Monarch 7 7 49 106.12 C7
K 13/01/10 Equinity 4 7 49 106.12 C7 pl

K 13/01/10 Torres Del Paine 3 5 71 95.77 C5 pl
K 13/01/10 Avon Castle 3 5 64 100 C6/C5

K 13/01/10 Cossack Prince 5 6 67 101.49 C5
K 13/01/10 Satwa Gold 4 6 75 106.67 C4 pl
K 13/01/10 Quince 7 6 65 104.62 C5 pl
K 13/01/10 Pugilist 8 6 56 100 C7/C6

K 13/01/10 Prince Yarraman 3 5 66 103.03 C5
K 13/01/10 Until The Man 3 5 65 104.62 C5
K 13/01/10 St Ignatius 3 5 65 104.62 C5
K 13/01/10 Rathbawn Girl 3 5 64 100 C6/C5 pl
K 13/01/10 May Chorus 3 5 60 100 C6

K 13/01/10 Desert Dreamer 101.27 C4
K 13/01/10 Vintage 6 4 78 102.56 C4
K 13/01/10 Simple Rhythm 4 4 78 102.56 C4
K 13/01/10 Carnivore 8 4 77 103.9 C4 pl

L

[mr forecast]

as you can see the handicap does better than the speed but more selections

[mr forecast]

above is the speed card

below is just the best handicap mark

horse class or percentage class
Triskaidekaphobia 6 50 104 C7
Bluebok 6 57 105.26 C6 pl
Steel City Boy 6 57 105.26 C6 pl

Glen Lass 5 64 100 C6/C5 w
Aegean Destiny 5 52 100 C7
The Great Husk 5 50 104 C7 pl 50/1
During The War 5 65 104.62 C5

Ostentation 6 56 100 C7/C6 w
Hathaway 6 51 101.96 C7
D´Urberville 6 58 103.45 C6 pl
Campaigner 6 50 104 C7

Golden Prospect 6 58 103.45 C6
Dream Express 6 57 105.26 C6
Art Market 6 57 105.26 C6 w
Bold Rose 6 57 105.26 C6 pl
Dynamo Dave 6 49 106.12 C7
Whotsit 6 58 103.45 C6

Exceedthewildman 4 74 100 C5/C4
Kirsty´s Boy 4 74 100 C5/C4

The Geester 6 58 103.45 C6 w
Elusive Ronnie 6 57 105.26 C6 w
Hatman Jack 6 57 105.26 C6
Diddums 6 57 105.26 C6
Wreningham 6 57 105.26 C6
Castleburg 6 60 100 C6

Buy On The Red 6 68 100 C5
Tartatartufata 6 65 104.62 C5
Monte Major 6 58 103.45 C6 pl 33/1

Law Of The Jungle 6 60 100 C6
Noah Jameel 6 53 98.11 C7
Russian Invader 6 51 101.96 C7 pl
Gulf Of Aqaba 6 60 100 C6
King Fernando 6 50 104 C7

Russian Music 6 60 100 C6 w
Zaffeu 6 57 105.26 C6 n/r
Dan Buoy 6 58 103.45 C6 n/r
Spring Breeze 6 51 101.96 C7 pl

Two Kisses 5 65 104.62 C5 pl
Tealing 5 67 101.49 C5
The Love Guru 5 68 100 C5 n/r
Exearti 5 68 100 C5
Novay Essjay 5 67 101.49 C5 w

Hard Ball 6 51 101.96 C7
Mojeerr 6 50 104 C7
Mr Fantozzi 6 52 100 C7 pl

Ming Master 5 72 94.44 C5 w

Elusive Warrior 5 68 100 C5 w
Hypnotic Gaze 5 66 103.03 C5
Premier Lad 5 65 104.62 C5 pl
Vogarth 5 60 100 C6

[mr forecast]

Triskaidekaphobia
Bluebok pl

Aegean Destiny

D´Urberville pl
Rightcar

Bold Rose pl

Admiral Cochrane w
Fazza pl
Gold Party

Muktasb
Sherjawy pl

Buy On The Red
Tartatartufata

Greenbelt
Law Of The Jungle
Russian Invader pl

Russian Music w
Primera Rossa
Dazzling Begum

Two Kisses pl
Tealing

Hard Ball
Mojeerr
Mr Fantozzi pl

Ming Master w
Market Puzzle pl

Kipchak
Boss Hog
Premier Lad pl

[mr forecast]

i brought a great book on play.com

cost $3 free postage and is called excel as your database[/color:3gd5i4qm]
its been a learning curve but once mastered it cuts down the amount of time spent creating racing cards ect

using the forms in access you can easily import todays horses into a spread sheet then get acess to gather all lto figures and display them on one page at a click of a button

a multidimensional database holds all the data and the access does all the form,querys bit

i used to take 1-2 hrs everyday but now takes 2-3 mins to produce race cards for the whole day

if you havent got windows office search for open office org which is windows office but costs nothing to download all the programmes windows has,office calc,office base which is the same as excel and access

[mr forecast]

had a great day sunday, sledging with my boys

no racing thou

the first 25/1 lejuina was an embedded if anyone still follows that

K 11/01/10 Captain Cool pl
K 11/01/10 Cordiality

K 11/01/10 Lithaam
K 11/01/10 Littlemisssunshine

K 11/01/10 Croix Rouge
K 11/01/10 Taste The Wine pl

K 11/01/10 Starburst pl
K 11/01/10 Little Sark
K 11/01/10 Wabbraan
K 11/01/10 Ardmaddy

K 11/01/10 Mind The Monarch
K 11/01/10 Major Maximus pl

K 11/01/10 I Confess
K 11/01/10 Defector pl
K 11/01/10 Rondeau

K 11/01/10 Ejeed
K 11/01/10 Flying Gazebo
K 11/01/10 Stark Contrast

W 11/01/10 White Shift
W 11/01/10 Leading Edge pl

W 11/01/10 Heathyards Junior w
W 11/01/10 Pride Of Nation

W 11/01/10 Sixties Rock

W 11/01/10 Sunrise Lyric
W 11/01/10 Brave Decision
W 11/01/10 Rightcar Joan n/r

W 11/01/10 Golden Penny
W 11/01/10 Goodbye Cash
W 11/01/10 Carmenero

W 11/01/10 Barbirolli pl
W 11/01/10 Royal Rainbow
W 11/01/10 Fantasy Ride w

W 11/01/10 Grey Command w
W 11/01/10 Ryker

[mr forecast]

K 09/01/10 Major Lawrence
K 09/01/10 Whiterocks

K 09/01/10 Classic Blue n/r

K 09/01/10 Playful Asset
K 09/01/10 Dobravany pl

K 09/01/10 Support Fund pl
K 09/01/10 Fly By Nelly pl

K 09/01/10 Tiddliwinks w
K 09/01/10 Vhujon pl

K 09/01/10 Nativity
K 09/01/10 Davids Mark

K 09/01/10 Vilnius
K 09/01/10 Bookiesindex Girl pl

L 09/01/10 The Dial House
L 09/01/10 Flighty Fellow

L 09/01/10 Lovers Causeway w
L 09/01/10 Yorksters Prince

L 09/01/10 Prince Of Sorrento w
L 09/01/10 Transfixed pl

L 09/01/10 Ceremonial Jade
L 09/01/10 Fathsta
L 09/01/10 Carcinetto

L 09/01/10 Plum Pudding pl
L 09/01/10 Beauchamp Viceroy w

L 09/01/10 Durgan
L 09/01/10 Lord Fidelio
L 09/01/10 Elusive Ronnie pl

L 09/01/10 Wanchai Whisper pl
L 09/01/10 Blue Neptune

[mr forecast]

lto lto lto today horse handicap class
99.7 L 5f L Ten Down 94.55 C7 pl
99.56 L 5f L Steel City Boy 105.26 C6
99.53 L 5f L Thoughtsofstardom 96.77 C6

98.05 L 6f L Peopleton Brook 100 C6/C5
98.04 K 6f L Musical Script 104.62 C5
L Albaher 104.62 C5

100.87 L 5f L Fromsong 104.62 C5
99.49 L 5f L Raimond Ridge 98.36 C6 w
L Sir Loin #N/A

95.88 S 1m4f L Nyetimber 100 C7/C6 pl
L Cactus King 104.62 C5

97.98 L 1m4f L Mildoura 104.55 C3 pl
99.09 W 1m4f50y L Mister New York 94.12 C4 w
100.22 w 1m1f103y L Full Toss 101.1 C3

97.19 L 1m2f L Big Nige 100 C6/C5 pl

96.21 L 1m2f L Atacama Sunrise 104.62 C5
97.79 W 1m1f103y L Pachakutek 95.24 C6
L Grit 104.62 C5
L Sedgwick 96.77 C6 w

94.64 S 1m S Master Leon 97.14 C5 w
S Boy The Bell 100 C5 pl
98.8 L 1m L Wunder Strike 100 C5

92.41 S 6f S Gracie´s Gift 105.26 C6
93.46 S 1m S Trans Sonic 100 C6n/r

97.18 S 2m S Lost Soldier Three 94.44 C5
99.17 W 1m1f103y S Daniel Thomas 97.14 C5

98.02 W 1m1f103y S Highland River 96.3 C7 pl
98.26 L 1m S Louisiade #N/A

98.21 L 6f S Spoof Master 100 C7/C6

S Black Falcon #N/A
96.41 S 1m6f S Stravita 104 C7

[Author]

Posts