The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

el249

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 12 posts - 52 through 63 (of 63 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #437864
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    No bets for the last week or so, but payday has come around and all the bills are paid! So here we go.

    Only really looked at Kelso for tomorrow, and I’ll start with the 15:10.

    15:10 Kelso – What a Steel

    11’s w/Bet365

    Consistent sort, who seems to like it here. Running off the same sort of mark as LTO, which was last november, but I’m not too worried about how long he’s had off. Does well this time of year, and has won from fresh before (at Kelso infact).

    He’ll do for me, I do like Arctic Court though, but I don’t think I’ll take 7/2 in a race like this, especially when he opened just hours ago at 6’s.

    What a Steel – £10 e/w

    Purcell’s Bridge

    15/2 (min 7/1)(Coral)

    Winner over this distance before, and dropped back down to it after recent attempts over further (1-3 over further). Should be in the running in my eyes.

    £10 win.

    What a Steel was withdrawn prior to the race, and Purcell’s Bridge fell.

    2 more for me today I think. Post one now, and I’ll have another stab at tonight’s racing I think.

    No time for a write up, but:

    Wolverhampton 3:50 – Honey of a Kitten

    13/2 (BetVictor)

    Breezed it, lead from the front and was 5 lengths clear with 2f to go.

    Honey of a Kitten £10 e/w

    Won

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #437860
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    No bets for the last week or so, but payday has come around and all the bills are paid! So here we go.

    Only really looked at Kelso for tomorrow, and I’ll start with the 15:10.

    15:10 Kelso – What a Steel

    11’s w/Bet365

    Consistent sort, who seems to like it here. Running off the same sort of mark as LTO, which was last november, but I’m not too worried about how long he’s had off. Does well this time of year, and has won from fresh before (at Kelso infact).

    He’ll do for me, I do like Arctic Court though, but I don’t think I’ll take 7/2 in a race like this, especially when he opened just hours ago at 6’s.

    What a Steel – £10 e/w

    Purcell’s Bridge

    15/2 (min 7/1)(Coral)

    Winner over this distance before, and dropped back down to it after recent attempts over further (1-3 over further). Should be in the running in my eyes.

    £10 win.

    What a Steel was withdrawn prior to the race, and Purcell’s Bridge fell.

    2 more for me today I think. Post one now, and I’ll have another stab at tonight’s racing I think.

    No time for a write up, but:

    Wolverhampton 3:50 – Honey of a Kitten

    13/2 (BetVictor)

    in reply to: Conversion formula – ratings to odds #437829
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    This formula would consist of an "IF" and a "THEN" command, possibly with some other variables. I’m at work at the mo (I do geeky stuff in an office :lol: ) so I’ve got plenty of time to rustle you one up.

    To make sure I get the right idea though, give me a couple of examples?

    I.e

    Rating = 108
    Highest weight in race by = 8lb (or however you want to determine the weight)

    And any further details you require.

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #437820
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    No bets for the last week or so, but payday has come around and all the bills are paid! So here we go.

    Only really looked at Kelso for tomorrow, and I’ll start with the 15:10.

    15:10 Kelso – What a Steel

    11’s w/Bet365

    Consistent sort, who seems to like it here. Running off the same sort of mark as LTO, which was last november, but I’m not too worried about how long he’s had off. Does well this time of year, and has won from fresh before (at Kelso infact).

    He’ll do for me, I do like Arctic Court though, but I don’t think I’ll take 7/2 in a race like this, especially when he opened just hours ago at 6’s.

    What a Steel – £10 e/w

    Purcell’s Bridge

    15/2 (min 7/1)(Coral)

    Winner over this distance before, and dropped back down to it after recent attempts over further (1-3 over further). Should be in the running in my eyes.

    £10 win.

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #437788
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    No bets for the last week or so, but payday has come around and all the bills are paid! So here we go.

    Only really looked at Kelso for tomorrow, and I’ll start with the 15:10.

    15:10 Kelso – What a Steel

    11’s w/Bet365

    Consistent sort, who seems to like it here. Running off the same sort of mark as LTO, which was last november, but I’m not too worried about how long he’s had off. Does well this time of year, and has won from fresh before (at Kelso infact).

    He’ll do for me, I do like Arctic Court though, but I don’t think I’ll take 7/2 in a race like this, especially when he opened just hours ago at 6’s.

    What a Steel – £10 e/w

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #436750
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Thanks, bit better than yesterday! Unlucky about Discovery, dreadful error at the last and had no chance catching Ballybogey, however he kept going and was very brave I feel.

    Seymour just as I expected, figured it was almost a certainty as he took the lead early on, watching the race I knew he’d find more in the closing stages.

    Still, not a bad day.

    Discovery Bay £20 Win

    Lost

    Seymour Eric £20 Win

    Won

    +£46.60

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #436742
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Going at Ayr now Soft.

    Can do no harm to Discovery, even more confident now. Still confident on Seymour Eric, hoping for a big ride though.

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #436741
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    So, it appears my optimism was again short lived as The Gatling Boy couldn’t stay on and finished 9th. I’ll keep him in the notepad for future racing, but he was outclassed and struggling here. I’ve decided I’ll just pick 2 horses per day as my NAP and NB, and possibly an outsider if I feel it has a chance. Focus on the Ayr racing today.

    So, here is today’s NAP:

    1:10 Ayr – Discovery Bay – 6/5 (William Hill)

    Very impressive 12 length winner at Wetherby last week, slowing to a canter in the closing stages. Plenty more to come from him and I expect a win today. On a hat-trick, and provided he handles the ground, he will win. I got him at 6/5 earlier, though I believe he’s at evens now.

    And my NB:

    2:10 Ayr – Seymour Eric – 10/3 (William Hill)

    I’ve been following Seymour for a while, and he’s always come up trumps for me when needed. I just don’t think the heavy ground today will bother him, and he is proven over this trip; that, for me, has given him the edge. Missed out on a 5 timer, but I think he will get back to the winner’s enclosure today.

    Also, I will just declare my stakes as I don’t really have a point system setup, so until I do..

    Discovery Bay – £20 Win
    Seymour Eric – £20 Win

    Occasionally Yours
    Seymour Eric
    Sustainability
    Discovery Bay

    0.80p L15 (£12.00)

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #436572
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Despite my poor attempt today, I did manage to finish with a L15 returning £198 from Kempton tonight. (That was thanks to hovis, I take no credit whatsoever). So I will use the profit for selections tomorrow to try again.

    14:55 Newmarket – The Gatling Boy @ 16/1 (betvictor)

    Was very impressed with his performance in a 6f Maiden Stakes back in August, where he kept on the toes of the leader from the beginning, before coming up the hill strongly to lead and held off others approaching the posts. Jockey booking (Richard Hughes) is a positive, added to the fact that all 4 previous winners of this race have been at 9-3. (Nothing conclusive as a number of horses were/are racing off this weight, but there are lesser weighted horses too).

    I’m hoping the extra 4 furlongs don’t warrant too much of a problem, as I believe he can stay much further than 6f, but I guess I’ll wait and see.

    1pt E/W

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #436519
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Ah I see, easy when you know how then!

    Wyldfire placed.

    :(

    in reply to: New here.. Today’s Selections #436512
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    Ah I see thank you. Finished 7th in the end. Was there a way you can find out past history like that? I.e injuries, weak knees etc? Or is it just down to experience.

    But thanks for the tips, I’ll take them on board and have gone for

    Wyldfire @ (7/2) in the 14:40

    next.

    in reply to: The Place to Win System #436419
    Avatar photoel249
    Member
    • Total Posts 66

    What does KW KMW etc mean?

    Sorry I’m new :(

Viewing 12 posts - 52 through 63 (of 63 total)