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Today’s results
Handicaps
=========Amuse Me Stake: £4.87 [6/1] 3^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
The Bishops Baby Stake: £4.80 [13/2] 3^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Hail Caesar Stake: £5.01 [11/2] 6^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Sultan Fontenaille Stake: £4.90 [2/1F] 3^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Freedom Fire Stake: £5.41 [10/1] 7^11 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £141.63
New E/W running total = £52.87Non-Handicaps
=============Palawi Stake: £5.83 [1/3F] 1^6 Win Return: £7.78 E/W Return: £7.05
Balerina Stake: £4.90 [4/6F] 1^10 Win Return: £8.16 E/W Return: £6.86
Pennellis Stake: £4.80 [15/8] PU^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Tri Nations Stake: £4.78 [5/2] 3^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.58
Cork All Star Stake: £4.69 [1/3F] 1^6 Win Return: £6.25 E/W Return: £5.66
Win Total: £22.19 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £23.15 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£155.48
New E/W running total = -£105.38Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £166.63
E/W running total = £77.87
Amuse Me Stratford 02:40 Rat:3064 Stake: £4.87
The Bishops Baby Plumpton 03:00 Rat:3025 Stake: £4.80
Hail Caesar Taunton 03:20 Rat:3156 Stake: £5.01
Sultan Fontenaille Stratford 03:40 Rat:3086 Stake: £4.90
Freedom Fire Stratford 04:10 Rat:3408 Stake: £5.41
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£152.67
E/W running total = -£103.53
Palawi Stratford 02:10 Rat:1435 Stake: £5.83
Balerina Taunton 02:20 Rat:1205 Stake: £4.90
Pennellis Taunton 02:50 Rat:1182 Stake: £4.80
Tri Nations Stratford 03:10 Rat:1175 Stake: £4.78
Cork All Star Stratford 04:40 Rat:1153 Stake: £4.69
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results. A bit better than the last few days, and Mrs Dart had a rather tasty Sue Smith double as well.
Off to Taunton today, so just a quick run through will follow.Handicaps
=========Justabout Stake: £5.04 [9/1] 1^7 Win Return: £50.38 E/W Return: £33.38
Martin Scruff Stake: £5.04 [3/1F] 2^17 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.41
Pegasus Prince Stake: £4.93 [7/2] 2^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.19
Ad Idem Stake: £5.16 [3/1F] 2^13 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.52
Burnt Oil Babe Stake: £4.83 [9/2F] F^14 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £50.38 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £46.50 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £166.63
New E/W running total = £77.87Non-Handicaps
=============Vics Canvas Stake: £4.63 [9/10F] 1^16 Win Return: £8.80 E/W Return: £7.14
Kings Grey Stake: £4.47 [13/8F] 9^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Definite Class Stake: £5.46 [10/1] 2^9 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £8.19
Good Company Stake: £4.44 [3/1] 2^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.55
For Bill Stake: £6.00 [4/11F] 2^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.27
Win Total: £8.80 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £22.15 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£152.67
New E/W running total = -£103.53Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £141.25
E/W running total = £56.37
Justabout Warwick 04:05 Rat:3124 Stake: £5.04
Martin Scruff Navan 04:10 Rat:3124 Stake: £5.04
Pegasus Prince Market Rasen 04:25 Rat:3059 Stake: £4.93
Ad Idem Navan 04:45 Rat:3202 Stake: £5.16
Burnt Oil Babe Limerick 05:00 Rat:2992 Stake: £4.83
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£136.47
E/W running total = -£100.68
Vics Canvas Limerick 02:25 Rat:1280 Stake: £4.63
Kings Grey Market Rasen 02:50 Rat:1234 Stake: £4.47
Definite Class Limerick 02:55 Rat:1509 Stake: £5.46
Good Company Warwick 03:35 Rat:1226 Stake: £4.44
For Bill Limerick 03:55 Rat:1657 Stake: £6.00
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesrerday’s results – crashing down
I will be reviewing this and revising it in another week or so, but will persevere with it for this coming week as I don’t have the time to spend looking into it. So, with a bit of luck, the HC’s might stay in the positive
Handicaps
=========Lively Baron Stake: £4.83 [12/1] 7^17 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
My Lord Stake: £4.81 [10/1] 10^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Ultimate Stake: £4.85 [25/1] 5^24 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Final Drive Stake: £5.77 [16/1] 9^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Inside Dealer Stake: £4.74 [7/2] 3^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.03
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £4.03 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £141.25
New E/W running total = £56.37Non-Handicaps
=============Docofthebay Stake: £4.76 [14/1] 2^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £9.05
Apache Drums Stake: £4.23 [6/1] 6^11 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Baby Shine Stake: £4.35 [9/2] 3^20 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.13
Restless Bay Stake: £6.45 [4/1J] 5^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Harry Tricker Stake: £5.20 [13/2] 4^4 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £13.18 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£136.47
New E/W running total = -£100.68Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £166.25
E/W running total = £77.34
Lively Baron Sandown 01:55 Rat:3436 Stake: £4.83
My Lord Wolverhampton 02:45 Rat:3427 Stake: £4.81
Ultimate Sandown 03:00 Rat:3454 Stake: £4.85
Final Drive Wolverhampton 03:20 Rat:4112 Stake: £5.77
Inside Dealer Sandown 04:40 Rat:3374 Stake: £4.74
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£111.47
E/W running total = -£88.86
Docofthebay Wolverhampton 02:10 Rat:1348 Stake: £4.76
Apache Drums Limerick 02:20 Rat:1198 Stake: £4.23
Baby Shine Sandown 03:35 Rat:1230 Stake: £4.35
Restless Bay Wolverhampton 03:55 Rat:1826 Stake: £6.45
Harry Tricker Sandown 04:10 Rat:1472 Stake: £5.20
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results – ouch
Handicaps
=========Henry Hook Stake: £4.88 [5/1] PU^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Courella Stake: £4.98 [7/2] 4^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Lampion du Bost Stake: £4.90 [5/1] 5^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Riflessione Stake: £5.20 [7/1] 5^9 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Alternative Choice Stake: £5.04 [9/2] 6^9 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £166.25
New E/W running total = £77.34Non-Handicaps
=============Kells Belle Stake: £4.35 [11/8F] 3^7 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Surenaga Stake: £5.14 [8/1] 3^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £6.68
Thanks For Coming Stake: £4.77 [NR] [NR] Win Return: £4.77 E/W Return: £4.77
Our Mick Stake: £4.78 [11/4] 2^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.03
Erinjay Stake: £5.97 [2/5F] 1^4 Win Return: £8.36 E/W Return: £8.36
Win Total: £13.13 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £23.83 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£111.47
New E/W running total = -£88.86Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £191.25
E/W running total = £102.34
Henry Hook Sandown 04:05 Rat:3099 Stake: £4.88
Courella Leicester 04:50 Rat:3161 Stake: £4.98
Lampion du Bost Ayr 05:05 Rat:3109 Stake: £4.90
Riflessione Wolverhampton 05:50 Rat:3304 Stake: £5.20
Alternative Choice Wolverhampton 08:50 Rat:3197 Stake: £5.04
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£99.60
E/W running total = -£87.69
Kells Belle Wincanton 02:00 Rat:1091 Stake: £4.35
Surenaga Sandown 03:30 Rat:1289 Stake: £5.14
Thanks For Coming Wincanton 03:45 Rat:1198 Stake: £4.77
Our Mick Sandown 05:15 Rat:1199 Stake: £4.78
Erinjay Wolverhampton 07:50 Rat:1498 Stake: £5.97
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results
Handicaps
=========Guns of Love Stake: £4.70 [11/2] 4^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Psi Stake: £4.74 [6/1] 2^7 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £5.92
Tiernans Terror Stake: £4.92 [8/1] PU^13 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
West Leake Stake: £5.41 [4/1] 4^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Ocean Legend Stake: £5.24 [9/4F] 3^14 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.09
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £10.01 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £191.25
New E/W running total = £102.34Non-Handicaps
=============Eyre Square Stake: £4.33 [4/6F] 2^4 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Silver Kate Stake: £4.51 [11/8F] 2^4 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Bobs Display Stake: £4.45 [2/1F] 1^14 Win Return: £13.36 E/W Return: £9.79
I Confess Stake: £6.04 [11/4] 1^6 Win Return: £22.64 E/W Return: £16.41
Better Self Stake: £5.67 [11/10F] 3^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.46
Win Total: £35.99 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £29.67 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£99.60
New E/W running total = -£87.68Today’s selection
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £216.25
E/W running total = £117.33
Guns of Love Wincanton 02:00 Rat:2963 Stake: £4.70
Psi Wincanton 03:35 Rat:2983 Stake: £4.74
Tiernans Terror Clonmel 04:45 Rat:3099 Stake: £4.92
West Leake Kempton 07:30 Rat:3405 Stake: £5.41
Ocean Legend Kempton 08:30 Rat:3298 Stake: £5.24
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£110.59
E/W running total = -£92.35
Eyre Square Carlisle 02:10 Rat:1188 Stake: £4.33
Silver Kate Wincanton 03:00 Rat:1239 Stake: £4.51
Bobs Display Clonmel 04:10 Rat:1222 Stake: £4.45
I Confess Kempton 05:30 Rat:1657 Stake: £6.04
Better Self Kempton 06:00 Rat:1556 Stake: £5.67
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s result
Handicaps
=========Goodbye Cash Stake: £4.90 [NR] [NR] Win Return: £4.90 E/W Return: £4.90
Thoughtsofstardom Stake: £5.00 [12/1] 8^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Lean Machine Stake: £4.79 [NR] [NR] Win Return: £4.79 E/W Return: £4.79
Sir Boss Stake: £5.27 [9/2] 1^8 Win Return: £29.00 E/W Return: £19.51
Pipers Piping Stake: £5.04 [10/1] 6^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £38.68 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £29.19 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £216.25
New E/W running total = £117.33Non-handicaps
=============Bromhead Stake: £4.52 [9/4] 3^9 Win Return: LOST
Gurtacrue Stake: £4.41 [6/5F] 1^10 Win Return: £9.71
Just Maddie Stake: £4.26 [16/1] 4^14 Win Return: LOST
Baylini Stake: £5.55 [11/2] 5^6 Win Return: LOST
Hinton Admiral Stake: £6.26 [7/2] 3^4 Win Return: LOST
Win Total: £9.71 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £10.86 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£110.59
New E/W running total = -£92.35Today’s selections. I plan to revisit the algorithm for giving a horse a rating over the next couple of weeks in two areas:
1. Now I have a little more recorded form from last-three-races I’ll try introducing a factor into the rating in the way that VDW does (it’d be quite handy if I could pick up a horse’s winning per race average as well, but I cant’ do that without visiting the RP page for every horse, which I can’t).
2. I’m not happy that today’s selection Thoughtsofstardom takes most of the positives at its current rating from over a year ago, so I’ll be looking into reducing the effect of older form into the factored rating.
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £202.57
E/W running total = £113.14
Goodbye Cash Lingfield 03:10 Rat:3161 Stake: £4.90
Thoughtsofstardom Lingfield 04:10 Rat:3232 Stake: £5.00
Lean Machine Lingfield 05:10 Rat:3091 Stake: £4.79
Sir Boss Kempton 07:30 Rat:3405 Stake: £5.27
Pipers Piping Kempton 08:00 Rat:3255 Stake: £5.04
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£95.30
E/W running total = -£78.21
Bromhead Catterick 02:20 Rat:1260 Stake: £4.52
Gurtacrue Fontwell 03:00 Rat:1230 Stake: £4.41
Just Maddie Catterick 04:20 Rat:1189 Stake: £4.26
Baylini Kempton 06:30 Rat:1546 Stake: £5.55
Hinton Admiral Kempton 07:00 Rat:1745 Stake: £6.26
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results. One good winner doth a profit make. Not quite so good on the non-handicaps.
Handicaps
=========Its A Mans World Stake: £4.69 [4/1F] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Sleepy Blue Ocean Stake: £4.98 [13/2] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Ammunition Stake: £4.67 [16/1] 1^16 Win Return: £79.45 E/W Return: £51.41
Irish Jugger Stake: £4.61 [11/8F] 1^8 Win Return: £10.94 E/W Return: £8.41
General Tufto Stake: £6.05 [10/1] 4^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £90.39 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £59.82 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £202.57
New E/W running total = £113.14Non-Handicaps
=============Jukebox Melody Stake: £4.43 [5/2] 1^9 Win Return: £15.52 E/W Return: £11.08
Pepite Rose Stake: £4.71 [11/4] 4^13 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
La Estrella Stake: £5.82 [30/100F] 1^5 Win Return: £7.57 E/W Return: £6.92
Yossi Stake: £5.33 [4/1] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Aztec Treasure Stake: £4.70 [3/1F] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £23.09 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £18.00 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£95.30
New E/W running total = -£78.21Ooops, forgot to post these earlier. I see Jukebox Medley came in, but the other early runners failed dismally
Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £137.18
E/W running total = £78.32
Its A Mans World Southwell 01:40 Rat:3047 Stake: £4.69
Sleepy Blue Ocean Southwell 02:10 Rat:3236 Stake: £4.98
Ammunition Exeter 03:30 Rat:3036 Stake: £4.67
Irish Jugger Southwell 03:40 Rat:2992 Stake: £4.61
General Tufto Southwell 04:40 Rat:3929 Stake: £6.05
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£93.39
E/W running total = -£71.21
Jukebox Melody Newcastle 02:20 Rat:1176 Stake: £4.43
Pepite Rose Exeter 02:30 Rat:1250 Stake: £4.71
La Estrella Southwell 02:40 Rat:1545 Stake: £5.82
Yossi Southwell 03:10 Rat:1413 Stake: £5.33
Aztec Treasure Exeter 04:00 Rat:1247 Stake: £4.70
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results
Handicaps
=========Rileyev Stake: £4.81 [EvensF] 1^5 Win Return: £9.63 E/W Return: £7.82
Mrs Neat Stake: £4.98 [NR] [NR] Win Return: £4.98 E/W Return: £4.98
Sparrow Hills Stake: £5.03 [5/1] 2^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £5.03
Rith Bob Stake: £4.98 [15/2] 5^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Spinning Bailiwick Stake: £5.20 [15/8F] 3^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £14.61 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £17.84 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £137.18
New E/W running total = £78.32Non-Handicaps
=============Chjimes Stake: £5.47 [4/1] 5^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Murcar Stake: £4.28 [7/2] 4^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Rebel Du Maquis Stake: £4.24 [5/2] 4^4 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Dream of Fortune Stake: £6.77 [33/1] 5^7 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
What Of It Stake: £4.23 [3/1] 2^13 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.39
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £3.39 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£93.39
New E/W running total = -£71.21Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £147.57
E/W running total = £85.48
Rileyev Newton Abbot 02:30 Rat:2997 Stake: £4.81
Mrs Neat Lingfield 03:50 Rat:3103 Stake: £4.98
Sparrow Hills Ffos Las 04:00 Rat:3132 Stake: £5.03
Rith Bob Newton Abbot 04:15 Rat:3098 Stake: £4.98
Spinning Bailiwick Lingfield 05:30 Rat:3236 Stake: £5.20
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£68.39
E/W running total = -£49.60
Chjimes Lingfield 02:10 Rat:1553 Stake: £5.47
Murcar Ffos Las 02:20 Rat:1215 Stake: £4.28
Rebel Du Maquis Newton Abbot 03:40 Rat:1205 Stake: £4.24
Dream of Fortune Lingfield 04:25 Rat:1922 Stake: £6.77
What Of It Ffos Las 05:10 Rat:1202 Stake: £4.23
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)A quick summary of progress over the 11 days I’ve been doing this system.
In 11 days this covers 55 horses in h/c and 55 in non-h/c.
These can be done either at (a pro rata based on my ratings) £5 each to win, or £2.50 e/wHandicaps
=========one non-runner
13 winners (24%), 12 places (22%) = 46% in the frame
best winners:
05-Mar Fine Parchment [12/1]
01-Mar Jump Up [11/1]
26-Feb Quinz [8/1]
05-Mar Elite Land
25-Feb Russian Flag [7/1]
best places:
02-Mar Cavitie [8/1]
05-Mar Pateese [8/1]
26-Feb Rio Royale [15/2]
28-Feb Desert Strike [15/2]
24-Feb Ace of Spies [7/1]Non-handicaps
=============16 winners (29%), 15 places (27%) = 56% in the frame
best winners:
05-Mar Pokfulham [4/1]
06-Mar Aupcharlie [7/2]
03-Mar Mazovian [3/1]
26-Feb Sire De Grugy [11/4]
04-Mar Better Self [5/2]
best places:
26-Feb Anne of Kiev [12/1]
06-Mar Mackeys Forge [7/1]
02-Mar Residency [4/1]
25-Feb Popcorn [100/30]
24-Feb Local Diktator [3/1]
