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You dont know the bet is going to win though do you. Bad luck in running , so what , that should have been factored into calculations before the bet was placed. If you could go back in time and re-run the losing race, why would the result be any different? I only put my money down, fun bets aside, when I cant see it getting beat and dont play percentages the way you obviously do. If the question was is 6/4 about an estimated even money shot a good bet then yes but, it wasnt , it was a losing bet being a good bet. Therefore the answer has to be no.
I disagree thedarkknight, It is a good bet if it wins. To know it is a loser would you bet on it, no, of course not. The question is being asked after knowing the result, ie lost. It was a bad bet that was value before the toss.<br>The coin example is also a bad one to use as you know the true odds. Racing and alike can only be an opinion. To the other extreme all casino bets are bad bets.
It cant have been a value bet at any point if it lost, you only think it is until the race is over.<br> I dont see how a loser can be good bet in any shape or form. I have heard the odd compulsive say somthing along the lines of "at least that losers out of the way" before.:biggrin:
Dont know about that one Ken. However if your interested in tipster results I suggest you check out a site called relayline, the results are free. I was interested in it for a while, to the point of signing up for a month. They are just results though, and I dont find any use for tips without them having solid reasoning, as its the reasoning that can point out a fact previosly overlooked. <br>Let me know what you think if you do check it out. I remember being shocked to find out how bad Nick Mordin was(having read several of his books).
GOOD LUCK CPGagie
