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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Blackcountry Kid

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Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 653 total)
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  • in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695773
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Been looking into City of Troy’s pedigree and to my mind it’s not by any means certain he will stay the distance?
    good luck to all

    in reply to: How great was racehorse Golden Fleece ? #1695772
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Golden Fleece was around just as my interest in flat racing really ignited,however in assessing him one must remember that he ran at a time when Derby winners were invariably rushed off to stud much quicker than nowadays.My first Timeform flat annual dates from 1979 and one thing I’ve noticed is that rarely does a Derby winner actually register his best performance winning the race since it comes so early in a racehorses career.Moreover its hard to say the 1982 Derby contained a vintage crop of memorable 3yo’s so although open to speculation Timeform are fair in their opinion of him.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1695511
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Had today’s horse in mind all week and despite the drift I can’t see any reason to abandon top weight BLUE LEMONS e/w in today’s opener at Haydock.After winning on debut in what’s looking an above average Leicester novice event he went on to run third in the generally well regarded Haynes,Hanson & Clark novice contest losing out in a three way photo well clear of the others.The first two in that contest are now rated 108 and 106 respectively.The drop in trip on his final juvenile outing in the Horris Hill wasn’t to his benefit and showed when unable to match the pace of those ahead but was still only beaten a little over three lengths.The colt’s 20/1 sp on seasonal debut suggested he wasn’t ready for the Chelmsford race however ran much better when next seen at Sandown when splitting Hand of God and Royal Supremacy recording career high numbers and giving him every chance of being involved here.
    good luck to all

    Blackcountry Kid
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    By far the majority of my bets are in handicaps and sticking to what I know and using the same methods I’ve perfected I know work so far 24% up meaning no complaints from me.
    One thing I will say this year is that O’Brien’s runners in this country have been more of a benefit to the bookies than punters.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Kieran Shoemark #1694864
    Blackcountry Kid
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    I see that others here too have questions about the wisdom of making him principal jockey to the stable.
    Personally I would have thought Richard Kingscote or Clifford Lee?
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1694714
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Just a quick posting to say I’ve had a small each way investment on RAINBOW FIRE e/w at headquarters.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1694357
    Blackcountry Kid
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    You know the big summer meetings are soon going to coming around when York’s Dante signals Epsom isn’t far away.It’s up to the Ascot of the north we go today for FLASH BARDOT e/w a filly who’s form has been admirably consistent but recently taken to a new level after visiting the winners enclosure on three of her last four outings,the only blip on Lingfield’s polytrack in a Listed event.Although this contest will be harder than her recent win on seasonal debut,there the RP described the win as readily suggesting more to come.Held up in last made smooth progress to the leaders 2f out before going to the front passing the furlong pole and putting daylight between herself and the second who in turn was clear of the rest.Registering career high numbers at Doncaster it’s likely there’s more improvement to come and expecting her to build on that last success with the stable & rider doing ok at present.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1694225
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Thought Zip ran well at a much better than expected sp,Dare to Hope was slow out of the gates and just never featured.Paul Cole’s may not be the stable it once was but they can still turn out a winner or two and think they have a likely contender at Windsor this evening with the perhaps aptly named LEAP ABOARD e/w.This geldings recent success at Leicester has been boosted by the third that day winning since also he registered some of his best numbers which in my book makes him in with a each way chance.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1694071
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Although there’s been plenty of racing blessed by good weather nothing until today has met the standards I look for in possible investments.Today however there’s a couple of selections I’m putting forward for your consideration that I believe are worth small bets and have e/w chances.In the final two contests of the day first to go will be ZIP e/w and although getting on in years is still capable of maintaining a good level of form and looks in with a shout following a good second at Haydock last time in a better race than this.For a 4yo DARE TO HOPE e/w hasn’t got many miles on the clock but his win on seasonal debut at Beverley registered career high numbers for this gelding.After a very promising juvenile season although he did ok and maintained a decent level of form he didn’t quite kick on I think connections had hoped the following season.Now if his numbers are to be believed he’s ready to take the form to a new level and worth a try in this higher grade.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: ITV Racing #1693703
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Keeping Ian’s legacy alive!
    Here’s hoping the ‘mute’ button never goes out of fashion as having to watch Chester on ITV and just wouldn’t ever be able to last having to listen to Leona’s whinging drivel in a voice which sends shock waves through me :negative:
    now where are those hobnobs?
    good luck to all

    Blackcountry Kid
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    A very sad affair and whatever Alan decides to turn his hand to in the future may I wish him every success.
    CAS is quite right about society becoming more risk adverse with ‘do gooders’ exploiting examples of problem gamblers to give a distorted view of your typical bettor and the nanny state not wishing to be thought of as uncaring gladly falls in line.As with other things they who shout loudest being the ones listened to by politicians and I believe this will only get worse under a possible Labour government as they seem to bend in whatever direction special interest groups push in order to look good in the public eye.
    Starting with a general health & safety theme all those years ago who would have thought it could have morphed into the monster it’s become with mental being the latest fashionable addition.CAS is correct in saying trying to get the GC & politicians to understand how risk works is an impossible task for I visited their offices here in Birmingham taking with me the book Against the Gods,the remarkable story of risk,in the vain hope of actually talking with someone there.lol no such luck!
    What the future holds is very murky but I can easily see bookmakers going offshore as they have done so in the past.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1693318
    Blackcountry Kid
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    It’s been a while since I did a ‘feature piece’ here and think it’s time I said something about the use of and maybe why social media rules the roost as regard getting one’s opinion over to so many.Technology today can not only send things around the world in an instant but pass judgement on anyone who has the temerity to disagree with whatever passes at the time for accepted wisdom.In times gone by the ‘village idiot’ was a simple fellow,why always male,who was tolerated and allowed to go about his business.Nowadays the global village seems overflowing with them self assured righteous keyboard warriors intolerant of any dissent or alternative view.Opinions are plentiful and everyone has them however the equality,diversity & inclusion of the politically correct world we are currently in always make me smile about ‘inclusion’ as their method of excluding any person offering a different view seems counter to their stated aims of including everyone.The issue taking centre stage at present revolves around gender identity which is puzzling to me to say the least …..how do you have 73 or whatever the number is now genders?This is without the question of trans people even entering the fray and how the likely incoming Labour government will deal with it … recently a Labour spokeswoman declaring people can id as a llama..This is hardly surprising since Labour & Lib Dems supported the SNP gender identity bill in Scotland.
    Although born & raised in a area that should make me a Labour supporter I lost faith in them a LOOOOOOOOOONNNGGGG time ago and their leaders have only got worse Blair a born liar,Gordon Brown destroyed the pension system in one swoop,although I am grateful he kept us out of the euro,Ed Miiband a grren zealot & idiot,Corbyn would have destroyed this country bankrupting it as Labour did in the seventies and now we have Starmer who flips on policies before they have become policies and like shadow chancellor Reeves much more left wing than either wants to admit to least they scare votors.The recent election of a Labour mayor for the West Midlands is in my opinion like turkeys voting for Christmas.
    I seem to have strayed from my original text but will finish with a dire warning for all readers …. be careful what you wish for!
    good luck to all

    in reply to: City Of Troy #1692822
    Blackcountry Kid
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    opps!
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1692781
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Going to take a bit of a risk today in putting forward JAMES’S DELIGHT e/w who to my mind looks overpriced given the balance of his form.Although this gelding cut no ice when last seen in the Greenham,7f looks too far at present, he’s must better judged on his seasonal debut in a class 3 handicap at Pontefract when quite simply scooting away from his rivals with the form being upheld since.The 3rd has won the 4th run well even the last placed horse won next time out.The double digit odds currently offered make the risk well worth taking for the selection to gain at least a place.
    While watching yesterdays Newmarket card I was once again struck by the way race planning has gone to pot.Two Listed and a Group 2 amassed between them a total of 15 runners which to me is absurd.There are so many races like this now,especially Listed & Group 3’s,that winning one isn’t anything special and any connections looking for ‘black type’ can easily avoid a competitive contest opting for one which in my opinion is hardly worth the name given how weak some of these races have become.My plea is for more competitive handicaps they don’t have to be 20+ runners worth six figures going to the winner just something decent although I feel my cries will be lost in the wilderness as handicaps seem to be frowned upon in this age.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Congratulation to Willie Mullins #1692134
    Blackcountry Kid
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    While I won’t begrudge Willie Mullins a well earned achievement and there’s no doubt he’s one of the best if not the best NH trainer currently.However I do think it’s easier to succeed with a stable packed full of good horses funded by rich owners where as a stable with horses of lesser ability to my mind should receive as much praise if not more for being able to get into the winners enclosure on a regular basis with maybe someone else’s cast offs and without anything like the same purchasing power when at the sales.These people are the ‘bread & butter’ of racing and deserve to be acknowledged for the superb job they do while spending most of their time very much in the shade.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1692129
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Just putting forward AL BAREZ for your consideration,after two good recent runs he’s thriving just now and numbers suggest this lightly raced 5yo with few miles on the clock has more to offer.
    good luck to all

    in reply to: Tails from the blackcountry II #1691927
    Blackcountry Kid
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    Apologies for last weekends selection who didn’t run to anywhere near my expectations but then again in this game many things happen which leave us scratching our head and mystified.Today pinning my colours to HOMBRE who had his first taste of turf racing on similar ground last time out and although the winning margin wasn’t big this grey gelding ran into all sorts of trouble.But once De Sousa extracted him he came home strongly for a first career win always looking likely to prevail in the run to the line having more in hand than the official distance would have you believe.
    good luck to all

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 653 total)