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After a long campaign I think the arc will be a bridge too far for Minding. I don’t think the distance or the prospect of softer than ideal ground is great either. Having said that I’m a huge fan of hers and if anything over say 16/1 came up it would be almost impossible to ignore an each way.
I backed Blue Point to win the 2000 guineas @ 14/1 prior to his Richmond Stakes defeat. I was surprised he was favourite for the Richmond, even taking into account his previous race demolition job of a relatively weak field, but think he came out of it with more credit than he went in and I’m surprised his price has increased to 20/1.
A head defeat to Mehmas, a comparatively experienced group 2 winner, on only his third start is not to be taken lightly in my eyes and Intelligence Cross finishing three lengths back gives a gloss to the form. I think some more big race experience for this horse would be beneficial and the Prix Morny should be very interesting if all the potentials line up.As this is my first post I thought I’d start by saying I’ve lurked for a few months and what a quality forum this seems – there’s some great knowledge on here.
With regards to UDS I think the Champion Chase is his to lose. Looking at the form through Sire De Grugy and Vibrato Valtat it would take some decent improvement from Sprinter Sacre to beat him. Having said that I understand the point IBRacing makes above that a peak form SS would probably take it but I think it’s clear that SS isn’t the force he once was.
Hopefully it isn’t my pocket distorting my view because I’m on UDS, but I think at this stage a fall is the most likely thing to stop him winning.
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