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First meeting of the year at probably my favourite track and a good card all round, though the 3yo races look particularly interesting and competitive today.
Passage Of Time looks the clear pick in the Muisidora but the vibes coming from the stable aren’t great, reporting that she’s had a throat absess and has come into season, so having to concede weight all round, she’s vulnerable if she doesn’t run up to her best. Shorthand looks sure to progress from 2 to 3, will relish the step upin trip and looks the value at the prices to emulate her sister who turned over the Oaks fav in this race last year.
The 7f 3yo handicap doesn’t look as well contested as some similar events are at this time of the year and I really like the look of Tredegar. I thought the handicapper was pretty gemerous in the mark he gave him and We’ll Come following their maiden at Newmarket last-backend and though neither of them proved it on their reappearance, they both had excuses and I think they will in time. Tredegar didn’t get home after disputing a scorching gallop in the Esher Cup but he was just about the last off the bridle there and will be suited by the drop in trip.
The Duke of York looks typically well contested and I thought that Segl and the betting have this one bang on the money. Without a penalty, Amadeus Wolf should be winning this if he has any pretentions to winning some of the Group 1 races later in the year. I think he’ll go well. Intriguing to see Soldier’s Tale back on track, particularly as he’s been attracting support and he was shaping in 2005 as though he’d prove up to holding his own at the highest level.
The closing 10f 3yo handicap looks more wide open than the 7f version on the card but I don’t really like Spice Route as fav. Don;t think the handicapper has taken any chances and his pedigree and 2 runs to date suggest he wants further than 10f. Spume looked the sort to do well in handicaps this year when winning his maiden at Salisbury last year but was disappointing on his reappearance. Forgive him that and I could see him going really well whilst Hunting Tower is another that looks likely to go well stepping up in trip.
With regard to the Duke Of York I agree Amadeus Wolf must have a good chance of taking this however his winning record in large fields (albeit Group 1’s ) is not great and I would want to see him win again before having a wager on him. I might have a small interest on Rising Shadow who just seems to do enough and whose reappearance was a solid effort. The second that day has won since and the third ran well to be second in the Victoria Cup at the weekend.
The 10f handicap I like the look of Bed Fellow at a decent price. Some good form last year including beating Mastership (now rated in the 90’s) giving that one 8lb. Decent enough run last time on the all weather and at 11/1 a good ew bet
A bit obvious (and hes been heavily backed) but i do like Forroger today. Greek Well under the form jockey and now with slightly more experience could get closer but I thought that Forroger really looked like he was crying out for more at York.
and I do like Mr Jarvis’s runners in these races :)
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