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Winning Is A Habit – Football Version

Home Forums General Sports Winning Is A Habit – Football Version

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  • #1479038
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    Thought I would try this on the footy as the Racing version is getting a few winners.

    Here are the initial system rules, which I will probably tweak along the way, I haven’t done any historical research to see if this pays, just for fun really.

    Rule 1: One team must have won their last 2 games, and the other team not won in their last 2 games (any competition)
    Rule 2: The team who has won their last 2 must have also won their last game either home or away depending where they are playing this match (so if its the away team, they must have won their last away game)
    Rule 3: The team we are betting against must have lost their last game either home or away depending where they are playing this time. As above.
    Rule 4: The team we are backing must have better form over the last 5 games than the team we are opposing.
    Rule 5: Neither team should have more than 1 draw in their last 5 games.

    So 1 selection for tomorrow in Serie A

    Bologna to beat Fiorentina

    Bologna last 2 games W/W Fiorentina last 2 games L/D
    So we are betting on the home team Bologna won their last home game, and Fiorentina have actually lost their last 3 away games
    In the form table over last 5 games, Bologna are 5th Fiorentina rock bottom 20th
    Bologna no draws in the last 5, Fiorentina 1 draw.

    Hope that makes some kind of sense? :wacko:

    -1 not a great start :unsure:

    #1479145
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    2 for today

    Royston – Southern Premier League Central
    Leicester U21 – EFL Trophy

    +1.54 double / +0.54

    #1479177
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 22225

    Good luck with the thread Blade.. :good:

    Member since March 2008
    #1479219
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    Thanks Nathan :good:

    #1479428
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    2 bets for today

    Italy Primavera 1 – Atalanta U19 :good:
    Netherlands Eerste – Breda 0-0

    2.4 Double

    -1 / -0.46

    #1479486
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    This is picking out way too few games, I am going to have a better look at this. I still like the concept but I want to re-think the criteria.

    #1481478
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    OK, I’ve been playing around with this, and I’ve simplified it quite a lot.

    OK so basically we are taking the top 5 and bottom 5 on form over the last 5 games.

    Look at each match involving these 5 teams and apply the following:-

    Team in top 5 form playing anyone in bottom half of form table
    Team in bottom 5 form playing anyone in top half of form.

    This gives us our starting list.

    Then look at home and away form of each team, if the team we are backings relevant home or away form is in the top 8, and the team we are betting againsts relevant form is in the bottom 8 its a bet.

    I did say it was simple right :whistle: :wacko:

    So in the PL on the weekend, 2 games make the first list.

    Man Utd v Wolves, as Wolves are in bottom 5 on form, Man Utd 10th
    Spurs v Man C, Man City 2nd on form, Spurs 13th

    Manu Utd home form 4th, Wolves away form 6th – No bet
    Spurs home form 6th, no bet.

    In the Championship.

    Birmingham v Forest
    Sheff Wed v Millwall
    QPR v Bristol City

    All make the first list

    Forest are a bet to beat Birmingham as Forests away form is 2nd and Birminghams home form is rock bottom
    Millwall are a bet to beat Sheff Wed as Wednesdays home form is 3rd bottom, Millwall away 4th
    Bristol City no bet as QPR’s home from is 6th

    I have only looked at these 2 leagues so far.

    2 bets

    Forest and Millwall both to win away.

    hmm looked ok for a short while :whistle:

    #1482036
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    1 selection from tonights French games – Marseille to win away at St Etienne

    :good:

    +1.45 / +.45

    #1482403
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    5 teams to win today 1pt each and 1pt 5 fold

    Stoke :good:
    Portsmouth :good:
    Marseille :good:
    Nice :wacko:
    Villa Real – Draw

    -1.5 / -1.05

    #1482479
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    Man City – Void
    Montpellier :good:

    1pt double only

    +1.15 / +0.1

    #1482613
    bladeblasterbladeblaster
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    • Total Posts 851

    Brentford
    Port Vale
    Plymouth

    3 singles and a treble

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