January 5, 2020 at 20:17 #1479038
Thought I would try this on the footy as the Racing version is getting a few winners.
Here are the initial system rules, which I will probably tweak along the way, I haven’t done any historical research to see if this pays, just for fun really.
Rule 1: One team must have won their last 2 games, and the other team not won in their last 2 games (any competition)
Rule 2: The team who has won their last 2 must have also won their last game either home or away depending where they are playing this match (so if its the away team, they must have won their last away game)
Rule 3: The team we are betting against must have lost their last game either home or away depending where they are playing this time. As above.
Rule 4: The team we are backing must have better form over the last 5 games than the team we are opposing.
Rule 5: Neither team should have more than 1 draw in their last 5 games.
So 1 selection for tomorrow in Serie A
Bologna to beat Fiorentina
Bologna last 2 games W/W Fiorentina last 2 games L/D
So we are betting on the home team Bologna won their last home game, and Fiorentina have actually lost their last 3 away games
In the form table over last 5 games, Bologna are 5th Fiorentina rock bottom 20th
Bologna no draws in the last 5, Fiorentina 1 draw.
Hope that makes some kind of sense?
-1 not a great startJanuary 7, 2020 at 09:10 #1479145
2 for today
Royston – Southern Premier League Central
Leicester U21 – EFL Trophy
+1.54 double / +0.54January 7, 2020 at 16:22 #1479177Nathan HughesParticipant
- Total Posts 22225
Good luck with the thread Blade..Member since March 2008January 8, 2020 at 05:49 #1479219
Thanks NathanJanuary 10, 2020 at 06:58 #1479428
2 bets for today
Italy Primavera 1 – Atalanta U19
Netherlands Eerste – Breda 0-0
-1 / -0.46January 10, 2020 at 22:16 #1479486
This is picking out way too few games, I am going to have a better look at this. I still like the concept but I want to re-think the criteria.January 31, 2020 at 23:03 #1481478
OK, I’ve been playing around with this, and I’ve simplified it quite a lot.
OK so basically we are taking the top 5 and bottom 5 on form over the last 5 games.
Look at each match involving these 5 teams and apply the following:-
Team in top 5 form playing anyone in bottom half of form table
Team in bottom 5 form playing anyone in top half of form.
This gives us our starting list.
Then look at home and away form of each team, if the team we are backings relevant home or away form is in the top 8, and the team we are betting againsts relevant form is in the bottom 8 its a bet.
I did say it was simple right
So in the PL on the weekend, 2 games make the first list.
Man Utd v Wolves, as Wolves are in bottom 5 on form, Man Utd 10th
Spurs v Man C, Man City 2nd on form, Spurs 13th
Manu Utd home form 4th, Wolves away form 6th – No bet
Spurs home form 6th, no bet.
In the Championship.
Birmingham v Forest
Sheff Wed v Millwall
QPR v Bristol City
All make the first list
Forest are a bet to beat Birmingham as Forests away form is 2nd and Birminghams home form is rock bottom
Millwall are a bet to beat Sheff Wed as Wednesdays home form is 3rd bottom, Millwall away 4th
Bristol City no bet as QPR’s home from is 6th
I have only looked at these 2 leagues so far.
Forest and Millwall both to win away.
hmm looked ok for a short whileFebruary 5, 2020 at 11:41 #1482036
1 selection from tonights French games – Marseille to win away at St Etienne
+1.45 / +.45February 8, 2020 at 13:41 #1482403
5 teams to win today 1pt each and 1pt 5 fold
Villa Real – Draw
-1.5 / -1.05February 9, 2020 at 09:18 #1482479
Man City – Void
1pt double only
+1.15 / +0.1February 11, 2020 at 08:04 #1482613
3 singles and a treble
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