Each day on this thread I will report on an ongoing analysis of number of non-runners in handicaps and determine whether there is a statistically significant difference in the number of non-runners when evaluated against the number of declared runners in the race.
This will be carried out as a kind of rough and ready investigation into the conspiracy theorists who reckon that the rules are being bent by certain persons who have plenty to gain by ensuring non-runners in handicaps containing a certain number of runners (i.e. 8 and 16).
I’ve started compiling the data but to post an update each day would be both pointelss and tedious. Therefore I’ll update after each 100 races, showing the following –
By number of runners declared I will show the % of handicap races which have 1,2 and greater than 2 non-runners.
Any increased frequency in 8 and 16 runner handicaps should then be highlighted.
I will also examine how this data compares to individual courses to examine whether this is a significant factor (bearing in mind tdk’s comments) and by day of the week, just to check that the bigger betting days (i.e. Saturdays) follow the same pattern. <br>