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Looking at the BBC Weather site, we could be in for soft ground for Cheltenham.
Looking at the Met Office site, we could be in for good ground.
Value Is Everythinglast two days been bright cold and no rain live right next to Fergal’s yard, but wouldn’t need a lot to tip it back to very soft with what we have had last two weeks
https://www.thejockeyclub.co.uk/cheltenham/owners-and-trainers/the-going/
This is on the jockey club website- looks super scientific but no idea how accurate it is
Thenks nwalton and Kendicate.
Judging by that I’d say most likely to be good-soft for the start… Or somewhere between good-soft and soft,Value Is Everythingno rain at the moment today but cold, will update around mid day tomorrow as a band of rain is due
we had a bit of rain overnight still in the air, damp and overcast and looks like a little more to come in next few hours, i would say bordering on soft going come race day
Is a small amount of rain forecast potentially worse for Thursday and Friday soft ground horses than no rain at all?
A small amount may convince them not to water.
Value Is EverythingBoth courses now soft again after the rain yesterday.
Track forecast leaves me thinking there’s still a good chance of good to soft on Tuesday as long as there’s not much rain today.Good to soft, soft in places is probably the most likely.
Matt Tombs (Cheltenham trends guru) did a good piece on Matchbook last year which you can find here
Matt Tombs | Cheltenham Trends | Analysing The Impact Of Watering
I think what may stand them in good stead this year is they’ve not had to water the course much if at all prior to the other meetings this NH season which wasn’t the case in previous seasons where they had drier October and Novembers.
Very complicated stuff to be honest and although an important varibale (the going) its getting harder to trust what is given and what is heavy at Haydock isnt heavy at Cheltenham etc, so many variations within the official goings, so I’m starting to ignore it a bit more personally.
i would really be surprised if you get real good to soft in the going come the first day. Soft and maybe just maybe a few yards of GS
What’s the betting they’ll say it is softer than it actually is though?
Value Is Everythingcould well do that, raining again now and although not heavy rain its still about in the air and looks like a bit to come later.
sorry to bore you all but its **** down for nearly two hours easing off now. if he puts GS anywhere in going on first day he is telling porkies
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