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3/8/06 (Thursday) GOODWOOD 2.40pm<br>5f.gd.fm.stks.cl1.(18r)
B W HILLS~(46)-(11)-(3)-(27%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(12)<br>MICHAEL HILLS~(29)-(4)-(3)-(75%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(23)-(1)<br>LA CUCARACHA   5)–(14)-(4)-(3)-(75%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(6)-(12)-(5)<br>Rating+Days+Class(354)-(44)-(Cl1.5GF)
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<br>B J MEEHAN~(32)-(8)-(4)-(50%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(4)<br>L DETTORI~(48)-(21)-(11)-(52%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(13)-(9)-(1)<br>DONNA BLINI   3)–(8)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(4)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(126)-(308)-(Cl1.6Gd)
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<br>W J HAGGAS~(23)-(5)-(2)-(40%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(4)-(7)<br>TONY CULHANE~(43)-(5)-(3)-(60%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(3)-(0)<br>MAJESTIC MISSILE (IRE)  5)–(19)-(13)-(5)-(38%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(5)-(1)-(1)<br>Rating+Days+Class(219)-(320)-(Cl1.5GF)
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LA CUCARACHA has all the ticks including very good Jockey & Runner %’s
Selection: LA CUCARACHA  WON 7/2
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3.50pm<br>9f+.gd.fm.h’cap.cl2.(18r)
M JOHNSTON~(76)-(20)-(6)-(30%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(16)-(17)<br>R HILLS~(20)-(7)-(2)-(29%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(1)-(1)<br>ROAD TO LOVE (IRE)  3)–(10)-(4)-(2)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(1)-(1)<br>Rating+Days+Class(101)-(4)-(Cl2.10GF)
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<br>W R SWINBURN~(23)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(5)<br>JIMMY QUINN~(43)-(3)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(0)-(0)<br>STOTSFOLD   3)–(5)-(1)-(1)-(100%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(52)-(20)-(Cl4.10GF)
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<br>SIR MICHAEL STOUTE~(24)-(11)-(3)-(27%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(3)<br>ROBERT WINSTON~(24)-(7)-(2)-(29%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(2)-(2)-(0)<br>PEARLY KING (USA)  3)–(5)-(3)-(2)-(67%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(127)-(75)-(Cl2.10Sft)
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PEARLY KING has best form on soft going however has won on firm at both Redcar and Yarmouth. Perhaps there is value in the price here.
Selection: PEARLY KING LOSS
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TOTAL +24.8 pts<br>_____________________________________________
(Edited by Alexander at 6:08 pm on Aug. 3, 2006)
4/8/06 (Friday) GOODWOOD 2.05pm<br>12f.gd.fm.stks.cl1.(8r).
B J MEEHAN~(34)-(8)-(4)-(50%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(3)<br>JIMMY FORTUNE~(31)-(7)-(2)-(29%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(2)-(0)<br>ADMIRAL´S CRUISE (USA)  4)–(11)-(2)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(4)-(7)-(4)<br>Rating+Days+Class(140)-(69)-(Cl1.12GS)
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<br>C E BRITTAIN~(28)-(4)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(3)<br>SEB SANDERS~(63)-(17)-(6)-(35%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(8)-(7)-(0)<br>KANDIDATE   4)–(29)-(2)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(6)-(1)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(60)-(28)-(Cl1.10GF)
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<br>M JOHNSTON~(78)-(24)-(8)-(33%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(16)-(16)<br>ROYSTON FFRENCH~(54)-(10)-(3)-(30%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(9)-(12)-(1)<br>CROSSPEACE (IRE)  4)–(24)-(6)-(2)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(5)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(82)-(3)-(Cl2.10Gd)
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<br>SAEED BIN SUROOR~(14)-(9)-(5)-(56%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(4)<br>L DETTORI~(51)-(23)-(11)-(48%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(12)-(12)-(5)<br>MELROSE AVENUE (USA)  4)–(8)-(3)-(2)-(67%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(131)-(413)-(Cl1.16GF)
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At 12f Melrose Avenue must be suspect but the form at 16f is very good. ADMIRAL´S CRUISE has the best rating (140) but on an easier surface. KANDIDATE is in good form but this new trip of 12f looks too much.The ratings figures do not match up and trainer out of form !
Lay KANDIDATE PROFIT 1pt
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<br>2.40pm<br>8f.gd.fm.h’cap.cl2.(20r)
M L W BELL~(22)-(5)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(11)<br>L DETTORI~(51)-(23)-(11)-(48%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(12)-(3)-(0)<br>RED EVIE (IRE)  3)–(6)-(3)-(3)-(100%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(5)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(165)-(44)-(Cl1.8GF)
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<br>M P TREGONING~(13)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(3)<br>R HILLS~(23)-(8)-(3)-(38%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(2)-(0)<br>MAKDERAH (IRE)  3)–(4)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(151)-(44)-(Cl1.8GF)
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<br>B W HILLS~(50)-(13)-(5)-(38%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(8)-(12)<br>MICHAEL HILLS~(29)-(5)-(4)-(80%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(25)-(2)<br>SPINNING QUEEN   3)–(12)-(4)-(2)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(114)-(27)-(0.7Gd)
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<br>SIR MICHAEL STOUTE~(29)-(14)-(2)-(14%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(4)-(5)<br>RICHARD HUGHES~(56)-(10)-(4)-(40%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(9)-(2)-(0)<br>CANTABRIA   3)–(6)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(171)-(347)-(Cl4.6GS)
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RED EVIE has the form rating, notwithstanding that Cantabria also has good rating, however this was achieved over 6f on good soft. If the Red Evie’s Trainer’s record were better this would be a good thing. As it is there are enough pluses with Red Evie’s % and jockey %.
Selection RED EVIE WON 15/8
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<br>3.15pm<br>8f.gd.fm.h’cap.cl2.(20r)
C G COX~(22)-(3)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(7)<br>PHILIP ROBINSON~(30)-(8)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(11)-(0)<br>DUNELIGHT (IRE)  3)–(8)-(3)-(2)-(67%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(5)-(1)<br>Rating+Days+Class(148)-(7)-(Cl2.8Gd)
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<br>J R FANSHAWE~(12)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(4)<br>OSCAR URBINA~(20)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(4)-(1)<br>SIR GERARD   3)–(5)-(2)-(2)-(100%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(272)-(43)-(Cl2.8GF)
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<br>SIR MARK PRESCOTT~(14)-(11)-(7)-(64%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(7)-(2)<br>SEB SANDERS~(63)-(17)-(6)-(35%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(8)-(11)-(4)<br>SPECTAIT   4)–(10)-(7)-(4)-(57%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(4)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(94)-(20)-(Cl1.8St)
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<br>PAT EDDERY~(3)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(0)-(0)<br>RYAN MOORE~(87)-(26)-(7)-(27%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(11)-(0)-(0)<br>EDEN ROCK (IRE)  5)–(9)-(4)-(1)-(25%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(152)-(398)-(Cl2.8GF)
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SIR GERARD holds the aces here. Best rating + best set of %’s
Selection: SIR GERARD Loss
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TOTAL + 26.67 pts<br>_____________________________________________
(Edited by Alexander at 3:25 pm on Aug. 4, 2006)
5/8/06 (Saturday) GOODWOOD 3.05pm  <br>STEWARDS CUP<br>6f.gd.fm.h’cap.cl2.(28r)
J R FANSHAWE~(12)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(4)<br>L DETTORI~(51)-(23)-(11)-(48%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(12)-(1)-(0)<br>FIRENZE   5)–(11)-(6)-(4)-(67%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(4)-(2)-(2)<br>Rating+Days+Class(301)-(41)-(Cl2.6GF)
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<br>P F I COLE~(23)-(1)-(1)-(100%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(2)<br>NELSON DE SOUZA~(19)-(3)-(2)-(67%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(3)-(7)-(1)<br>BENTONG (IRE)  3)–(5)-(4)-(2)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(152)-(12)-(Cl2.6GF)
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<br>R BASTIMAN~(7)-(2)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(4)<br>ROYSTON FFRENCH~(54)-(10)-(3)-(30%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(9)-(5)-(0)<br>BORDERLESCOTT   4)–(15)-(4)-(1)-(25%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(6)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(132)-(41)-(Cl2.6GF)
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<br>D NICHOLLS~(50)-(12)-(2)-(17%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(13)<br>ADRIAN T NICHOLLS~(30)-(9)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(2)-(22)-(0)<br>TAX FREE (IRE)  4)–(8)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(4)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(226)-(61)-(0.5Gd)
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H MORRISON~(22)-(5)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(3)<br>STEVE DROWNE~(43)-(6)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(0)-(10)-(0)<br>INTREPID JACK   4)–(10)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(7)-(3)<br>Rating+Days+Class(186)-(441)-(Cl4.6GF)
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BENTONG does not hold the prime rating, however Trainer has 100% record at present with strongly bet runners. There is evidence that Bentong will hold firm in the betting market and as such will be a serious candidate who is drawn high along with other fancied runners similarly drawn. The jockey and runner support the good %’s with 67% & 50% respectively.
Selection BENTONG. Loss
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<br>TOTAL +25.67 pts<br>____________________________________________
(Edited by Alexander at 3:35 pm on Aug. 5, 2006)
6/8/06 (Sunday) NEWBURY 3.40pm<br>12f.gd.fm.stks.cl1.(12r)
SAEED BIN SUROOR~(15)-(7)-(6)-(86%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(6)-(3)<br>L DETTORI~(49)-(17)-(8)-(47%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(9)-(11)-(4)<br>REUNITE (IRE)  3)–(4)-(3)-(3)-(100%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(4)-(3)<br>Rating+Days+Class(119)-(45)-(Cl1.12GF)
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<br>J L DUNLOP~(25)-(6)-(3)-(50%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(6)-(6)<br>R HILLS~(26)-(8)-(3)-(38%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(3)-(1)<br>BUNOOD (IRE)  3)–(3)-(1)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(65)-(91)-(Cl1.10Sft)
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<br>SIR MARK PRESCOTT~(14)-(11)-(7)-(64%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(7)-(2)<br>SEB SANDERS~(67)-(17)-(5)-(29%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(7)-(10)-(3)<br>INTRIGUED   4)–(4)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(118)-(672)-(0.8Gd)
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<br>C E BRITTAIN~(34)-(3)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(4)<br>T P QUEALLY~(36)-(4)-(1)-(25%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(3)-(3)-(0)<br>LOCAL SPIRIT (USA)  3)–(6)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(58)-(19)-(Cl1.10Fm)
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A strange mixture of form at various distances and going conditions: REUNITE has just the edge on ratings with (119) although has achieveda better rating at the shorter trip of 10f. The Trainer’s % is brilliant at 86%. (seven bet recently with six wins – a remarkable record)
Selection: REUNITE. LOSS<br>___________________________________________
TOTAL +24.77 pts<br>__________________________________________
(Edited by Alexander at 10:37 pm on Aug. 7, 2006)
Alex
Congratulations on keeping this thread going for very nearly a year, and managing to end up in profit. In my book, both of the above are notable achievements.
This part of the forum has been very quiet lately, so I aim to revive a thread I started a few years back which looked at a method using ratings and other information from the Racing Post. I’ve made a few significant changes and also now that the forum is under new ownership I think perhaps we owe it to Cormack to try to create a bit of interest in this part of the forum. Your own contribution has set a good standard to follow.
Would like to echo those sentiments. Don’t look in here as often as I should, but a real achievement to be in profit over that period of time.
Would also look forward to seeing your method again, Artemis
Thanks folks<br>Its good to know that there is ongoing interest.<br>I have to say that now I cannot bet unless i’ve <br>produced this trainer trace data as a guide. I suppose that fact in itself is an indication of the strength of the system which I bet now exclusively. <br>Alex <br>
8/8/06 (Tuesday) BATH 2.45pm<br>5f+.fm.stks.cl6.(9r)
M R CHANNON~(98)-(10)-(5)-(50<br>AllWins+Allplaces(9)-(18)<br>TED DURCAN~(54)-(6)-(1)-(17<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(3)-(21)-(1)<br>REEM AL FALLAH (IRE)  2)–(2)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(28)-(49)-(Cl5.5GF
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<br>M QUINN~(6)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(0)-(0)<br>CHRIS CATLIN~(53)-(4)-(2)-(50<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(0)-(0)<br>RETALIATE   2)–(3)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(29)-(13)-(Cl5.5Fm
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<br>D J S FFRENCH DAVIS~(8)-(1)-(1)-(100<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(2)<br>JAMES DOYLE~(42)-(4)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(2)-(1)-(0)<br>FOXY GAMES   2)–(2)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(25)-(58)-(Cl5.6GF
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A close 2 year old race which is difficult to rate as there is only limited form. Certainly, Channon in in form but the runner here looks ordinary with 2 runs so far<br>Selection: None<br>_____________________________________________________________
3.15pm<br>5f.fm.stks.cl6.(8r)
P D EVANS~(22)-(4)-(2)-(50<br>AllWins+Allplaces(6)-(3)<br>STEPHEN DONOHOE~(45)-(10)-(2)-(20<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(10)-(11)-(2)<br>PAT WILL (IRE)  2)–(6)-(1)-(1)-(100<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(1)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(45)-(30)-(Cl6.5Gd
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<br>I A WOOD~(17)-(1)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(2)<br>RYAN MOORE~(96)-(26)-(8)-(31<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(11)-(1)-(0)<br>HOUSE ARREST   2)–(6)-(2)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(31)-(32)-(Cl6.6Fm
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<br>MRS A DUFFIELD~(16)-(2)-(1)-(50<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(5)<br>SEB SANDERS~(0)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(0)-(0)-(0)<br>DOTTY´S DAUGHTER   2)–(6)-(2)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(21)-(10)-(Cl4.5GF
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<br>M D I USHER~(11)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(0)-(2)<br>HAYLEY TURNER~(30)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(5)-(0)<br>DIMINUTO   2)–(10)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(31)-(49)-(Cl5.6GF
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PAT WILL has the form and %’s combined
Selection: PAT WILL Loss<br>_____________________________________________________________
3.45pm<br>5f+.fm.stks.cl6. (13r)
R J HODGES~(3)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(1)<br>JIM CROWLEY~(9)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(1)-(0)<br>DEVON FLAME   7)–(31)-(8)-(5)-(63<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(7)-(3)-(1)<br>Rating+Days+Class(52)-(32)-(Cl3.5GF
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<br>A M BALDING~(33)-(7)-(2)-(29<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(6)<br>L P KENIRY~(31)-(2)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(6)-(0)<br>RAG TAG (IRE)  3)–(10)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(47)-(23)-(Cl4.5GF
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<br>A M HALES~(0)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(0)-(0)<br>DANE O’NEILL~(46)-(4)-(2)-(50<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(0)-(0)<br>DANEHILL STROLLER (IRE)  6)–(36)-(3)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(38)-(67)-(Cl4.6GF
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DANEHILL STROLLER has good jockey on board today, however the form although consistent is not good enough & at 6yrs we will have seen the best
LAY: DANEHILL STROLLER  Profit 1pt ÂÂÂ
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4.15pm<br>11f+.fm.h’cap.cl5.(7r)
A M BALDING~(33)-(7)-(2)-(29<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(6)<br>L P KENIRY~(31)-(2)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(6)-(0)<br>OLLIE GEORGE (IRE)  3)–(10)-(1)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(3)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(44)-(9)-(Cl4.12GF
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<br>L M CUMANI~(24)-(12)-(4)-(33<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(3)<br>NICKY MACKAY~(44)-(13)-(7)-(54<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(10)-(16)-(3)<br>SPACEMAN   3)–(7)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(38)-(14)-(Cl6.11Fm
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<br>W J HAGGAS~(24)-(4)-(1)-(25<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(6)<br>MARTIN DWYER~(61)-(10)-(2)-(20<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(2)-(0)<br>BALLOURA (USA)  3)–(4)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(24)-(42)-(Cl4.10Gd
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OLLIE GEORGE looks a progressive sort; ran with credit (44) in a higher class race on latest outing. Balding stable in fair form with 29% Runner has only been bet on one occasion in 10 starts so money here is significant.
Selection: OLLIE GEORGE  WON 6/5
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<br>4.45pm<br>8f.fm.h’cap.cl5.(11r)
M DODS~(23)-(7)-(3)-(43<br>AllWins+Allplaces(4)-(7)<br>JIMMY QUINN~(44)-(4)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(2)-(1)-(0)<br>COOL EBONY   3)–(9)-(1)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(33)-(23)-(Cl5.8GF
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<br>W J HAGGAS~(24)-(4)-(1)-(25<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(6)<br>LIAM JONES~(33)-(3)-(2)-(67<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(4)-(0)<br>SIGNAL HILL   3)–(5)-(4)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(50)-(22)-(Cl6.8Fm
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<br>J S MOORE~(22)-(3)-(2)-(67<br>AllWins+Allplaces(4)-(2)<br>L P KENIRY~(31)-(2)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(6)-(0)<br>SGT SCHULTZ (IRE)  3)–(14)-(3)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(0)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(36)-(23)-(Cl5.8GF
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<br>J A OSBORNE~(21)-(1)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(4)<br>SHANE KELLY~(48)-(6)-(2)-(33<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(9)-(0)<br>PIANO PLAYER (IRE)  3)–(7)-(3)-(3)-(100<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(35)-(96)-(Cl5.8Fm
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SIGNAL HILL comes here from Newmarket after having run last 2 races in Ayr. The form and % are good enough.
Selection: SIGNAL Hill Loss
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<br>5.15pm<br>5f.fm.h’cap.cl5.(8r)
B J MEEHAN~(34)-(9)-(4)-(44<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(2)<br>RYAN MOORE~(96)-(24)-(8)-(33<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(11)-(2)-(0)<br>MUSICAL ROMANCE (IRE)  3)–(16)-(6)-(1)-(17<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(42)-(37)-(Cl5.5GF
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<br>R M H COWELL~(7)-(1)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(0)-(0)<br>EDDIE AHERN~(59)-(11)-(3)-(27<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(8)-(1)-(0)<br>OVERWING (IRE)  3)–(16)-(6)-(1)-(17<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(2)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(41)-(293)-(Cl5.5GS
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<br>H CANDY~(21)-(6)-(3)-(50<br>AllWins+Allplaces(4)-(2)<br>DANE O’NEILL~(46)-(4)-(2)-(50<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(13)-(1)<br>DEVINE DANCER   3)–(9)-(0)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(41)-(45)-(Cl2.5GF
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<br>R A HARRIS~(27)-(3)-(0)-(0<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(8)<br>AMIR QUINN~(10)-(1)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(2)-(1)-(0)<br>HELLO ROBERTO   5)–(59)-(5)-(0)-(0<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(8)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(47)-(40)-(Cl4.5Gd
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A very  tight affair. Form ratings for top 4 do not vary more than 6 pts.
Selection: None<br>_____________________________________________________________
TOTAL +24.97 Pts
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(Edited by Alexander at 7:58 pm on Aug. 8, 2006)
12/8/06 (Saturday) ASCOT <br>12f.gd.fm.h’cap.cl2.(10r)
G G MARGARSON~(15)-(3)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(3)<br>G MOSSE~(2)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(0)-(0)-(0)<br>YOUNG MICK   4)–(28)-(7)-(4)-(57%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(8)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(78)-(15)-(Cl2.12Gd)
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<br>A M BALDING~(39)-(7)-(3)-(43%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(4)-(7)<br>HAYLEY TURNER~(33)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(2)-(0)-(0)<br>CHANTACO (USA)  4)–(15)-(3)-(2)-(67%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(4)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(65)-(49)-(Cl2.12GF)
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<br>M JOHNSTON~(62)-(21)-(5)-(24%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(11)-(13)<br>G BOSS~(0)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(0)-(0)-(0)<br>NERO´S RETURN (IRE)  5)–(37)-(1)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(4)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(31)-(17)-(Cl4.12GF)
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The distance of 12f is the key to this race. At 10f Chantoco has by far the best form & at 12f both Chantaco and Young Mick look evenly matched. The same cannot be said of Nero’s Return who looks to have best form at around a mile. Notwithstanding Nero’s Return’s trainer %’s the runner has poor %’s with 37 runs and only once seriously bet when losing. The rating is also not up to this Cl2 event.
LAY Nero’s Return PROFIT 1 pt
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TOTAL +25.97 pts<br>_____________________________________________
(Edited by Alexander at 3:43 pm on Aug. 12, 2006)
13/8/06 (Sunday) LEICESTER 3.50pm<br>7f.gd.fm.h’cap.cl2.(10r)
SIR MICHAEL STOUTE~(36)-(12)-(1)-(8%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(10)<br>FRANCIS NORTON~(50)-(4)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(7)-(0)-(0)<br>SCRUMMAGE   3)–(6)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(71)-(18)-(Cl3.7GF)
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<br>B W HILLS~(50)-(13)-(3)-(23%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(7)-(9)<br>RICHARD HUGHES~(50)-(11)-(4)-(36%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(8)-(3)-(0)<br>DREAM THEME   3)–(5)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(84)-(10)-(Cl2.7GF)
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<br>SAEED BIN SUROOR~(15)-(6)-(5)-(83%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(6)-(5)<br>D O’DONOHOE~(34)-(10)-(3)-(30%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(3)-(1)-(1)<br>POWER POLITICS (USA)  3)–(2)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(??)-(??)-(??.7GF)
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<br>M A JARVIS~(26)-(11)-(3)-(27%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(8)<br>PHILIP ROBINSON~(35)-(14)-(3)-(21%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(17)-(3)<br>ANS BACH   3)–(9)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(60)-(18)-(Cl3.7GF)
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Power Politics is the unknown in this race, not having run further than 5f.Other fancied runners have reasonable claims on both ratings and %’s.
Selection : None<br>_____________________________________________________________<br>
15/8/06 (Tueaday) BRIGHTON  4.00pm<br>11f+.fm.h’c.cl4.(12r) (NRs 8&10)
H MORRISON~(21)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(2)<br>STEVE DROWNE~(65)-(9)-(1)-(11%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(3)-(12)-(1)<br>CROON   4)–(10)-(4)-(2)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(3)-(1)<br>Rating+Days+Class(54)-(18)-(Cl2.12Gd)
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<br>G L MOORE~(26)-(5)-(1)-(20%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(8)<br>NICKY MACKAY~(41)-(12)-(4)-(33%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(0)-(0)<br>RAHY´S CROWN (USA)  3)–(9)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(38)-(7)-(Cl5.12Fm)
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<br>M A BARNES~(9)-(1)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(1)<br>DEAN MCKEOWN~(44)-(6)-(2)-(33%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(4)-(1)-(0)<br>ODDSMAKER (IRE)  5)–(51)-(3)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(5)-(1)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(41)-(5)-(Cl4.12GF)
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<br>J M P EUSTACE~(9)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(4)<br>RYAN MOORE~(86)-(18)-(5)-(28%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(10)-(0)-(0)<br>ARIODANTE   4)–(13)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(31)-(15)-(Cl5.12GF)
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Drop back in grade for CROON here. Has the best form rating at 54 & with the %’s holding up well looks value odds at around 9/2.
Selection: CROON NON RUNNER !
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(Edited by Alexander at 4:43 pm on Aug. 15, 2006)
Just been having a look in this section for the first time in a wee while. Nice Profit Alexander! I’ll be keeping a careful eye on these selections from now on!
Good stuff.<br>
Thanks for your comments and support with this thread.<br>On another note; its becomming a bit annoying having all these non runners with the new 48 declarations. <br>I’m afraid a backward step that will be here to stay and likewise the related problem not knowing which runners are definitely going to take part. I bet the place betting gets muddied with 8 or 16 runner races having their numbers mysteriously cut to aviod the full places.<br>Shame about this.
Yes, of course.<br>I’ll sort this and because there are occasional LAYS I will factor in the risk amount when these are selected.<br>It will take a few days.<br>Thanks for the interest. Check at the week end and I should include the ROI with the running total figure at the end of the thread each day next week.<br>
16/8/06 (Wed) Salisbury  4.000pm<br>9f+.gd.fm.stks.cl1.(8r)
SAEED BIN SUROOR~(19)-(9)-(7)-(78%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(9)-(5)<br>L DETTORI~(40)-(17)-(9)-(53%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(10)-(10)-(3)<br>PICTAVIA (IRE)  4)–(14)-(5)-(1)-(20%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(2)-(1)<br>Rating+Days+Class(101)-(47)-(Cl1.10GF)
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<br>L M CUMANI~(33)-(11)-(3)-(27%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(3)<br>NICKY MACKAY~(41)-(12)-(4)-(33%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(5)-(20)-(2)<br>PRINCESS NADA   3)–(6)-(1)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(2)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(40)-(61)-(Cl1.10GF)
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<br>H CANDY~(19)-(6)-(0)-(0%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(3)-(6)<br>DANE O’NEILL~(60)-(9)-(1)-(11%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(8)-(17)-(0)<br>SUMMER´S EVE   3)–(7)-(4)-(1)-(25%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(64)-(82)-(Cl5.9Sft)
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At the longer trip of 12f Princess Nada has the best form. However, at this distance PICTAVIA has the call on both the ratings and the %’s. Trainer in brilliant form at present (78%) Nine bet – seven wins !
Selection : PICTAVIA  WON 10/11<br>______________________________________________________________
Total +26.87 pts<br>________________________________________________________________
(Edited by Alexander at 4:22 pm on Aug. 16, 2006)
19/8/06 (Saturday) NEWMARKET 2.25pm<br>6f.gd.h’c.cl2.(12r)
P F I COLE~(16)-(2)-(1)-(50%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(4)-(1)<br>EDDIE AHERN~(54)-(12)-(5)-(42%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(7)-(6)-(1)<br>BENTONG (IRE)  3)–(6)-(4)-(2)-(50%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(142)-(13)-(Cl2.6GF)
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<br>R CHARLTON~(6)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(1)-(3)<br>STEVE DROWNE~(68)-(8)-(1)-(13%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(3)-(3)-(0)<br>BURNING INCENSE (IRE)  3)–(9)-(4)-(1)-(25%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(1)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(130)-(41)-(Cl3.6GF)
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<br>P A BLOCKLEY~(27)-(4)-(1)-(25%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(5)-(3)<br>T P O’SHEA~(31)-(3)-(1)-(33%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(2)-(5)-(0)<br>COME OUT FIGHTING   3)–(9)-(1)-(1)-(100%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(3)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(63)-(6)-(Cl2.6GF)
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<br>K A RYAN~(49)-(9)-(2)-(22%)<br>AllWins+Allplaces(2)-(13)<br>CATHERINE GANNON~(10)-(0)-(0)-(0%)<br>Wins+TrRuns+TrWins~(1)-(4)-(0)<br>HIGH CURRAGH   3)–(11)-(6)-(2)-(33%)<br>Wins+Jo’Runs+Jo’Wins(2)-(0)-(0)<br>Rating+Days+Class(130)-(62)-(Cl2.6GF)
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A good field here for this genuine Cl2 event. COME OUT FIGHTING  has run on nine previous occasions without a rating above (68) achieved in a 5f event  at Hamilton last year. The form is not good enough to win here.(Best at 6f is 63)  Odds available to lay at present 13/2
LAY :  COME OUT FIGHTING PROFIT 1pt
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Total + +27.87 pts
(R.O.Investment 24%)<br>____________________________________________
(Edited by Alexander at 3:41 pm on Aug. 19, 2006)
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