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Trainers In Form

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Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 30 total)
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  • #386273
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    1:10 Leicester
    42 points @ 11/8 (VC) Kazilan
    8 points @ 12/1 (VC) Status Symbol
    3 points @ 33/1 (VC) Oriental Cat
    1 point @ 200/1 (Sport) Miss Hilton

    2:40 Leicester
    5 points each way @ 12/1 (L) Blossom King

    3:10 Leicester
    20 points @ 4/1 (L) Larks Lad

    3:40 Leicester
    20 points @ 4/1 (C) Mahfel
    13 points @ 13/2 (SJ) Kahsabelle
    4 points 22/1 (VC) Refusal
    2 points @ 40/1 (VC) Speedy Directa

    value is everything
    #386287
    billion
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4379

    1:40 Taunton
    3 points each way @ 28/1 (Sky) Cool Cascade

    With 3 winners in her last 9 runners for J hughes prior to the

    200/1 winner

    . Almost put Lights Of Broadway up as a bet (I know, "almost" isn’t good enough. Only thing that stopped me was 2 of the 3 being the same horse. :roll: :lol:

    GT

    If only

    :roll: :wink:

    Billy's Outback Shack

    #386404
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    If only indeed Billion. :lol:

    1:05 Doncaster
    50 points @ Evens (BSQ) Barenger
    7 points @ 14/1 (VC) Gore’s Island
    5 points @ 18/1 (SJ) Pettodrie Star
    2 points @ 40/1 (VC) Manmade
    1 point @ 125/1 (SJ) Conigre

    1:40 Doncaster
    38 points @ 13/8 (Boyle) Art History

    2:50 Doncaster
    22 points @ 7/2 (Sport) Peedeeque
    18 points @ 9/2 (SJ) Arctic Actress
    3 points @ 28/1 (SJ) Layla’s Boy
    2 points @ 40/1 (BSQ) Jayla Bella

    3:55 Doncaster
    50 points @ Evens (b365) Shotofvodka

    Ffos Las to come.

    value is everything
    #386411
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    12:45 Ffos Las
    10 points each way @ 6/1 (b365) Laflammedeglorie

    1:15 Ffos Las
    36 points @ 7/4 (b365) The Falklander
    22 points @ 7/2 (BF) Rhum

    1:50 Ffos Las
    38 points @ 13/8 (BF) Mountainous
    8 points @ 11/1 (SJ) Secret Dancer

    2:25 Ffos Las
    38 points @ 13/8 (SJ) Rockability
    31 points @ 9/4 (C) Midnight Tuesday

    3:00 Ffos Las
    31 points @ 9/4 (C) Andrew Nick

    4:05 Ffos Las
    7 points each way @ 8/1 (C) Cabo Roche
    3 points each way @ 25/1 (b365) Tarmac Girl

    value is everything
    #386549
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    1:45 Catterick
    25 points @ 3/1 (Sport) Cry Of Freedom
    12 points @ 15/2 (SJ) Aegean Destiny
    11 points @ 8/1 (b365) Hakuna Makuna
    2 points @ 66/1 (VC) Uncle Brit

    2:15 Catterick
    20 points @ 4/1 (BSQ) Shaking Hands
    13 points @ 13/2 (SJ) Pegasus Prince
    12 points @ 15/2 (Sport) Dermotologist
    7 points @ 14/1 (b365) Star Beat

    2:45 Catterick
    18 points @ 9/2 (Sport) Turbolinas

    3:15 Catterick
    27 points @ 11/4 (Sport) Next To Nowhere
    25 points @ 3/1 (SJ) Bishops Heir

    Fontwell to come

    value is everything
    #386557
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    1:05 Fontwell
    14 points @ 6/1 (sport) Dirty Deal
    5 points each way @ 14/1 (VC) Dontsayanything
    3 points each way @ 22/1 (VC) Capdalight

    2:05 Fontwell
    1 point each way @ 100/1 (b365) Ballyturn Boy

    2:35 Fontwell
    33 points @ 2/1 (b365) Morestead
    8 points @ 12/1 (b365) There And Then

    4:05 Fontwell
    17 points @ 5/1 (boyle) Ace Fighter Pilot
    17 points @ 5/1 (Sky) Waterunder
    13 points @ 13/2 (PP) Boss In Boots

    value is everything
    #386558
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    hopefully have time to do a p/l tonight.

    value is everything
    #386725
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    Far too many qualifiers. Will have to do some work on how to bring numbers down.

    1:20 Huntingdon
    29 points @ 5/2 (C) Free Speech
    25 points @ 3/1 (b365) Sambelucky
    11 points @ 8/1 (Sport) Oscar Close

    2:50 Huntingdon
    22 points @ 7/2 (VC) Kinkeel
    20 points @ 9/2 (Sport) Star Galaxy
    18 points @ 9/2 (SJ) Bohemian Rock

    3:50 Huntingdon
    36 points @ 7/4 (VC) Brigadier Miller
    3 points @ 33/1 (boyle) Smart Viking

    value is everything
    #386756
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    3 winners from three races today. Oscar Close, Star Galaxy and Brigadier Miller. Sorry, still haven’t had time to do a proper results. Will have to wait until sunday now. Got to study for tomorrow.

    value is everything
    #386828
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    12:50 Warwick
    18 points @ 9/2 (b365) Monarchs Way
    17 points @ 5/1 (FD) Up To The Mark

    1:25 Warwick
    22 points @ 7/2 (FD) Alfie Spinner
    8 points @ 11/1 (FD) Court Red Handed
    10 points @ 3/1 (b365) Court Victory

    2:00 Warwick
    7 points each way @ 8/1 (b365) Tara Royal

    2:30 Warwick
    11 points @ 8/1 (Sport) Dorset Square
    9 points @ 10/1 (VC) Safron De Cotte
    8 points @ 12/1 (b365) Lightning Strike
    7 points @ 14/1 (b365) Aarchen

    3:05 Warwick
    20 points @ 4/1 (b365) Cotton Mill
    7 points @ 14/1 (b365) Castle Conflict
    23 points @ 6/5 (b365) Highland Lodge

    3:40 Warwick
    4 points @ 28/1 (b365) Micko De Beauchene
    13 points @ 7/1 (b365) Neptune Equester
    5 points @ 20/1 (b365) Morning Movment

    4:10 Warwick
    30 points @ 9/4 (FD) Le Bec
    7 points @ 11/2 (Sport) Hugo Drax
    5 points @ 15/2 (b365) Pirates Gold

    value is everything
    #386840
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    Kempton

    12:30 Kempton
    3 points each way @ 25/1 (L) Montegonian

    1:40 Kempton
    50 points @ Evens (b365) Captain Sunshine

    2:15 kempton
    11 points @ 8/1 (b365) Stolen Thunder
    17 points @ 5/1 (VC) Only Witness

    2:50 kempton
    11 points @ 8/1 (b365) Act Of Kalanisi
    8 points @ 12/1 (b365) Lightning Strike
    14 points @ 6/1 (b365) Swincombe Flame
    9 points @ 10/1 (b365) Well Regarded

    3:20 Kempton
    6 points each way @ 11/1 (SJ) Schindlers Gold

    3:50 Kempton
    4 points each way @ 16/1 (SJ) Xenophon

    value is everything
    #386843
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    Before today had lumped all trainers in "good form" in together. Now those in the best form get preference.

    ie Including Today:
    Those rated 10 out of 10 in form trainers will be backed, with 9/10 probably made saver bets and NO 8/10 bets.

    Those 9/10 will only be backed as main bets if there are no 10/10 rated trainers in the race. With 8/10 probably only savers.

    Those 8/10 will only be backed as main bets if no 10/10 or 9/10 rated trainers in the race.

    No 7/10 rated trainers will be backed.

    Stakes are the odds converted to percentage. eg 3/1 horse gets 25 points, 8/1 gets 11 points.

    Keep to win bets when 2 or more selections unless a profit can be made each way if one is placed.

    Any each way bet gets 67% of the win bet at 5/1 or over.
    eg. 8/1 = 11% and 67% of 11 = 7.37. So an 8/1 shot backed each way gets 7 points each way (14 in all).

    value is everything
    #387002
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    Would’ve liked to continue this a bit longer but I don’t have as much time as I thought.
    Although convinced trainer form is an important aspect, seems as though it is a waste of time backing blind / all. Best allowing for trainer form within normal form book studying / value seeking.

    value is everything
    #387004
    Nathan HughesNathan Hughes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22762

    Could it be worth laying a favourite whose trainer is in bad form instead of backing 3 or 4 others in a race?

    Member since March 2008
    #387006
    GingertipsterGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26562

    Possibly Nathan, but my heart is not in laying horses.

    value is everything
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