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Cheltenham
5:45 Mares only Bumper
In my opinion Sovietica is overpriced at 16/1. The horse won a decent race on debut and came a respectable 8th last time after finding too much competition up front. The horse will not have to improve much on that to be in the reckoning and I will be taking 16/1 ew. The other horse in the race I think is overpriced is Zuzu Summit. The horse is bottom of the weights and can improve from its sole start as it should like the step up in trip.
1pt ew Zuzu Summit @33/1<br>1pt ew Sovietica @ 16/1
4:40 – Handicap Hurdle
I’m banking on a return to form of Standin Obligation, the class horse in the race as far as I’m cocerned.
1pt ew Standin Obligation 14/1
1pt ew Treble:
2:20 Acambo – (The horse with form in the book – favourite Pirate Flagship has had a tough campaign)
2:55 Shining Strand – (cost me money on the last two occasions but has a much more realistic weight today
4:05 Saintsaire – Will probably win or be well beaten but trip and ground should be fine and has good jockey to help cause
Newmarket
2:00 1pt lay Dimboola (1.85 on Betfair)
Earned a rating of 65 off me and surprise for me if this proves to be good enough. All the others are capable of beating it but perhaps it will be Excellent Art home first.
3:10
All eyes will be on City of Troy who had reportedly hurt himself when losing his unbeaten status last season. This is one of my horses to follow and is likely to be a live Derby contender but on this occasion I’m gong for Killybegs who has the form in the book. Its down to City of Troy to prove how good it is and as Killybegs is a bigger price, that is my selection. Sir Xaar was also considered but the trip is a major worry.
1pt Killybegs @ SP (I expect money for City of Troy to force its price out but I might be wrong)
3:45 1pt Dili Dali (can make its race fitness count)
4:55 1pt Royal Reservation @ 11/4 ( fit and well, nice weight and in good form)
What does everyone else like? (No bet in the 2yo race at Ripon btw)
<br>Newmarket:<br>3:10 City of Troy<br>3:45 Olympian Odyssey<br>4:55 Papal Bull
to win 7 bet patent.
Olympian Odyssey catches the eye in the 3.45 Newmarket today
won well at the course last year over 7F under a hands and heels ride………by Sadler’s Wells should have no problem with the extra couple of furlongs today and recorded a very good time in the process
top of the ground conditions may cause a slight difficulty but it should run very well
Don’t Dili Dali is the main danger
NH
Points Staked 8<br>Points Returned 19.5<br>Profit 11.5pts
Flat
Points Staked 4<br>Points Returned 7.5<br>Profit 3.5pts
overall 15pts profit. Not bad for a days work!
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