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It can be quite difficult to catch my selections.
I’m an at the post merchant and that’s a long standing habit.
Hopefully it’ll be easier to locate that selection as I’ll post a warning ip here beforehand that I’ll be attempting either the penultimate or lucky last race on a card. So here is advanced warning that the kempton final race will be written up here close to the off.
Hopefully advance warnings of races to be covered will be put up here before hand for last and penultimate races on cards from time to time and others are of course welcome to do the same for races second last and lucky last only though please.I’ve a ton of distractions at present and I’ve found it pointless looking at races along with illness. Feel much better now and feeling human again, it’s time to at least have a crack at the last here at kempton. Using draw data here and the ultra reliable mark usher.
First selection kempton park 2015
Fantizzy
Each way
All I can say is the bookies must be totally bonkers letting this one go off at a big price. All runs before latest debut have been in class four class five class three and even a listed run in class one.
Stintino sunset
Win
Draw data
The average from last years race brings up stall 6 (6.33 recurring)
The Bay Warrior
Each way
Hasn’t run off this low a mark since April 22. And looks poised off top weight here in a class six. Headed to post early and ridden very wide early doors the latest run and conservatively and suggests a big run here is on the cards..I’ll try Fiddlers Green with the boy wonder up. Breeding suggests the extra furlong might help.
“ great work Sam he flew home”
That he did greenasgrass, thanks 🙏.That’s the ticket 🎟. I do like the last race as it is condensed and among the contestants is one yard who have made every last detail in an effort to win and the race card put ushers runner in that category. Fantizzy remains of interest once yard have got to the bottom of his troubles but that could be a little way down the track. Stintino sunset looks in the grip here despite winning two lately. But to his credit he ran right up to his ability and was just a neck and half length down, identified as the best drawn runner statistically.
I’m happy to recommend a brief perusal of mark ushers offerings post race on twitter or “twatter “ as I call it now that no mark Elongated Musket has wrecked it!!Well done Sam
and good luck with this Thread.
I think it will make it a bit easier to keep tabs on you as you are dashing around TRF like a mad thing at the moment..lol 😅🤣 I do love a punt on the lucky last.
JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...Stunning performance from
Hellios Express
Under a willing Hugh Bowman. Only just stepped up previously to seven furlongs his true trip has been found and he’s now four from six.
He picked up this field and carried them home on his first try at a mile too.
His next target will be the Hong king mile and whilst he’ll be up against established rivals he’d be the one that needs to be contained.
Mr Ascendency ran a big race off double double carpet to get fourth place 66/1 under Harry Bentley, who had two winners earlier.A very good start to this venture.
Key to it though is to give anyone a chance to act on selections positively or otherwise. And the Sha run winners were at the post this morning.
So the last race at plumpton is up for consideration and the handicap debutantColours On Canvas
Win
The most likely pick.
Jim and Suzi Best have this one on an upward curve here.Only one losing race so far and a good winner and big priced each way placed horse at 66/1 in Hong Kong today.
Wolverhampton 20000
Top weight
MISS MOONSHINE
WIN
Has three time winning jockey on board.
Was down in the ratings and carries a penalty which if progressive might be offset by Oliver Searle’s claim of half a stone. If it doesn’t work out with the penalty and the bounce effect. the bottom weight
SAVANNAH SMILES
Each way
Could take advantage, well below
(eleven pounds) winning mark.The last tonight and currently one horse stands out
A Carroll gave Della Mare a run out recently after a lay off and Hollie Doyle has been lined up for this run.
Her front running style can hopefully be seen to good effect here and she’ll give the horse every chance here from the front.
Della Mare
WinThe winner of the day was an exceptional display stepping up in trip
From Hellios Express under Hugh Bowman.
If you follow the game in Hong Kong it’ll be a highly significant result as the aim for this runner is the Hong Kong mile.
A massive marker. Our own Harry Bentley had a great day and landed a 66/1 fourth in this race to add to two previous winners his first since October.
Andrea Atzeni also rode a brace.
Old habits die hard I’m afraid and I’m still coming to the races later than I’d like, but as you can see this one’s got legs. 🦵 🦵
It was good to get the 66/1 up today as in previous seasons I’d regularly stick those up.
The results showed a few factors regarding the shape of the handicap and the return to a winning mark which I always used to look for and all the key factors which allow for forecasting so I’ll be looking to factor in those features as time goes on everything at the end of the day for good old “Alexanders”. It’s very simply good old fashioned race reading, which should give up three or four qualifiers. Hold on to your hats 🎩 and there ought to be at least one tricast a month coming in here!! I’d hoped for one in December to round off the year but maybe the year hasn’t actually ended yet….. …Newcastle 1830
Atrafan
win
record here absolutely impeccable and that was emphasised to a fine point when here over the wrong distance last time.
small win bet.
however
Gunnmental
each way
has to be of huge interest given he’s in this level of classifieds from handicapping for the first time and a massive price here given his record over the trip is identical to the favourites six course and distance wins and the price disparity is wrong and while area fan will likely pick up where he left off over the trip at this time of year which has only ever been first or second.
Atrafan is poised to win while gunmental is handicapped and drawn to win given his ability in higher grade and first arrival in classifieds….,
Reverse forecast seems not like rocket science here….Newcastle the lucky 🍀 last
1900
QUANDRY
Win
can spring a suprise here drops in class and unbeaten at this trip.
lots in favour here.
WESTMORIAN
each way
First lucky last abroad with a visit to happy valley in just over an hour.
1450
Bons a pearla
Win
Won staying on last time and champion jockey up here. High enough draw but likely to be seen to good effect if held up here under the colony’s winning most jockey. Suggestion there’s more to come.
SUGAR SUGAR
Each way
Knocking on the door based on recent close up second. Down again on mark and on second lowest rating since last winning here. Indifferent performances latest but has the box seat draw and at this racing weight at the weights and with the draw, things look like coming right to the fore now.
and good luck with this Thread.- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.