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On Friday, someone on the sportinglife website wrote that Sprinter Sacre could be operating at 85% capacity and still win the Clarence House Chase.
I assume he got that figure by lookiing at Official Ratings going into the race.
Having now had time to sit down and re-evaluate the race, I have decided to rate the race through third-placed Twinlight (163), putting Sprinter Sacre on 168 and Dodging Bullets on a career best 171.
The time was 4m 9.14s.
It occurred to me that Sprinter Sacre probably clocked 4m 9.74s and in my opinion were he still the horse that was rightly awarded an OR of 188 he would have won on Saturday by 17 lengths in a time of 4m 6.4s.
246.4 divided by 249.14 = 98.9%.
I would therefore suggest to our friend at sportinglife that Sprinter Sacre ran to almost 99% of his capacity on Saturday but that 1.1% was enough to turn him from the greatest 2m chaser EVER into a decent but no longer top-class 2m chaser.
Such are the fine margins in horse racing between the great and the merely good.
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