The Cheltenham Certainty.

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This topic contains 201 replies, has 37 voices, and was last updated by Fran the man Fran the man 3 years, 5 months ago.

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 202 total)
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  • #1230744
    The Ante-Post King
    The Ante-Post King
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    Well I’ve totalled all my Mullins wagers and have come to the conclusion Willie will send out a total of 15 winners at this years Festival.That has therefore required me to place for the first time ever fifteen 8 horse Goliaths (247 bets) with multiple perms and umpteen Super Heinz,Lucky 63/15’s and loads of Accas and e/w singles.This is totally out of character for me but this is going to be a one off year and I’m planning to win my Million.What will take place in the Cotswolds this spring is not going to cause a ripple of concern for Bookmakers but a Tsunami of trouble just like the Day Dettori rode 7 winners,the difference this time though is those with the gift of Foresight can plan ahead and steal prices that wont exist come the day.After Day 1’s 5 winners,all totally predictable although his 2nd string could take the first,Day 2 will see a further 3/4 Winners Neptune,QMCC and Bumper,he could supply a 4th in one of the other 4 races although his RSA horse looks too tricky to call.Day 3 and again its 3/4 winners,JLT,Ryanair,World hurdle with a feasible 4th in the supporting 4 races.I’m pretty confident we will have achieved the 10 Winner bet by now so Day 4 is the day TAPK becomes a Millionaire with another 4 winners,Triumph,Albert Bartlett,Gold cup and Martin Pipe….If I’ve collected £500k by this point and I’m waiting on ‘Vautour’ for the magic Mill I’m afraid my new found loyalty to Cue Card will go out the window :yahoo: :yahoo:

    #1230762
    steeplechasing
    steeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 5699

    Gord….

    ………..You’re officially crazy. I have diagnosed Mullins fever and offer the following prescription:

    Take 3 winners, twice a day from 15th to 18th March inclusive. If, after completing the course, your symptoms persist, double up on that.

    I don’t do work on the National Wealth, so my invoice will be in the post.

    Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/

    #1230770
    MarkTT
    MarkTT
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    • Total Posts 2603

    There have been a couple of excellent festivals recently if you have faith in a particular trainer – both Henderson and Mullins with several winners during the week.

    I managed to get a few of the Mullins hotshots combined with Aux Ptit Soins and Moon Racer last year and intend to do the same again. I’m hoping Shantou Village is one. The Neptune trial has easily been the most influential race of its type in recent seasons with Neptune and Albert Bartlett winners progressing from it.

    #1230780
    The Ante-Post King
    The Ante-Post King
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    • Total Posts 8706

    Gord….

    ………..You’re officially crazy. I have diagnosed Mullins fever and offer the following prescription:

    Take 3 winners, twice a day from 15th to 18th March inclusive. If, after completing the course, your symptoms persist, double up on that.

    I don’t do work on the National Wealth, so my invoice will be in the post.

    These are Crazy times Joe,never seen a time like it and I being related to the Arapaho Indian tribe of North America knows the Spirit of ‘Crazy Horse’ himself is guiding me in my quest to become a Millionaire.Its common knowledge on here my whole year is geared around Cheltenham and its normal practice for me to return a Crazy profit but this year apart from my Crazy idea that Yo horse Cue card will win the Gold Cup theory seen when smoking my Great Uncle Geronimos Peacepipe last October I have concentrated on instead of attacking that Cowboy Mullins tight Union army but befriending him….As my Great Grandfather Sh*tting Bull once said,”Dont Scalp the hand that feeds yo”!! :wacko:

    #1230782
    Nathan Hughes
    Nathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 20804

    Have you come to the conclusion then Gord, that UDS wins the Champion Chase and Vautour stays the Gold Cup distance?
    Welcome aboard…… ;-)

    Don't Eat The Pie and Don't Buy The S*n
    #1230925
    steeplechasing
    steeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5699

    Gord, PP go 20/1 Vautour RUNNING in the QM, if you believe there’s still a chance. He’s 4/7 Ryanair and 5/4 Gold Cup, despite RP Irish correspondent assuring all on the RP Panel (podcast), that he is Gold Cup bound as far as the yard’s concerned with Willie believing there is no stamina issue and that he just wants a more reserved ride than in the KG.

    Ricci also quoted as saying Vautour expected to be 10 to 15 kgs lighter than in the KG (just how big a cert would he have been if fit there?)

    Incidentally, they have Cooper at 4/7 (from 8/11) to ride Don Poli.

    Best value I can see of their Mullins specials is 14s to win all 4 Championship Races: Word Hurdle the obvious weak spot, but with the slight chance of Nichols Canyon joining Annie Power or VV Mag, far from a forlorn hope.

    Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/

    #1230933

    stilvi
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    • Total Posts 4526

    Ricci also quoted as saying Vautour expected to be 10 to 15 kgs lighter than in the KG (just how big a cert would he have been if fit there?)

    I would take that quote with a huge dollop of salt. You are supposedly the best trainer on the planet and you send a horse out relatively unfit for arguably the second most important conditions chase of the season?

    #1230943
    steeplechasing
    steeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 5699

    Stilvi, given his schedule, it might well have been that he could not have been got any fitter for that race. Mullins stressed last year that, pre-Cheltenham, he had to put a monstrous amount of work into Vautour to get him ready for the JLT, and at one point thought he might not make it. That was with three runs in his ‘fitness bank’ and it was 3 months after December. He went to Kempton off the back of one run.

    Mullins obviously took the view that he could not get him any fitter without risking something going wrong, and that he was fit and strong enough to do himself no harm.

    Assuming all that has been said is true, and Vautour turns up in the same condition he did for the JLT, if he stays (and I have no doubt he will, but accept that others don’t share my confidence), then barring accidents he wins.

    Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/

    #1230955
    Ghost of Rob V
    Ghost of Rob V
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    • Total Posts 719

    I’m gonna go against the grain and will be opposing Mullins in every which way possible. As I mentioned in another thread a good while back, I compared Mullins to Japanese Knotweed … so successful that he’s becoming a nuisance and Henderson is going to be the weedkiller! And so, starting with…

    L’Ami Serge to beat Douvan

    Peace And Co to shock Faugheen

    Sprinter Sacre to bump off Un De Sceaux

    B-)

    #1230960
    The Ante-Post King
    The Ante-Post King
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    • Total Posts 8706

    Gord, PP go 20/1 Vautour RUNNING in the QM, if you believe there’s still a chance. He’s 4/7 Ryanair and 5/4 Gold Cup, despite RP Irish correspondent assuring all on the RP Panel (podcast), that he is Gold Cup bound as far as the yard’s concerned with Willie believing there is no stamina issue and that he just wants a more reserved ride than in the KG.

    Ricci also quoted as saying Vautour expected to be 10 to 15 kgs lighter than in the KG (just how big a cert would he have been if fit there?)

    Incidentally, they have Cooper at 4/7 (from 8/11) to ride Don Poli.

    Best value I can see of their Mullins specials is 14s to win all 4 Championship Races: Word Hurdle the obvious weak spot, but with the slight chance of Nichols Canyon joining Annie Power or VV Mag, far from a forlorn hope.

    Great post Joe,most informative.For me to finally make my Million I need Vautour to win the Ryanair,Un des Scaeux to win the QMCC and either Don poli or Djakadam to win the Gold Cup but 20/1 just to run is worth a Tenner of anyones money as one never knows how Willies mind works.
    I agree about the 14/1 about the 4 Championship races but ideally we would want Annie Power to run in that and Vroum Vroum Mag in the mares. Limini in the Novice mares,Petit Mouchoir in the Martin Pipe,he always runs a class horse in that and of course Douvan in the Arkle, Min/Yorkhill in the Supreme,Black Hercules/Roi des Francs in the 4m, Bellshill in the Neptune, Rennetti in the Coral cup,Up for review in the Albert Bartlett, Faugheen in the Champion hurdle, Shaneshill/Kilultagh Vic in the JLT, Village Mystic/Augusta Kate in the bumper and a host of supporting cast like Sir des champs,Bachasson,Long dog,A toi Phil,Lets dance,Valseur lido etc and we’ll easily break the 10 winners required.I see Betfair Sportsbook go 6/1 about 11 or more Winners…In we go again!

    #1230961
    The Ante-Post King
    The Ante-Post King
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    • Total Posts 8706

    I’m gonna go against the grain and will be opposing Mullins in every which way possible. As I mentioned in another thread a good while back, I compared Mullins to Japanese Knotweed … so successful that he’s becoming a nuisance and Henderson is going to be the weedkiller! And so, starting with…

    L’Ami Serge to beat Douvan

    Peace And Co to shock Faugheen

    Sprinter Sacre to bump off Un De Sceaux

    B-)

    6/4 W/O Mullins is Xmas to be top Cheltenham trainer Ghost.Good luck.

    #1230970
    KingSprinterSacre
    KingSprinterSacre
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    • Total Posts 411

    I’m gonna go against the grain and will be opposing Mullins in every which way possible. As I mentioned in another thread a good while back, I compared Mullins to Japanese Knotweed … so successful that he’s becoming a nuisance and Henderson is going to be the weedkiller! And so, starting with…

    L’Ami Serge to beat Douvan

    Peace And Co to shock Faugheen

    B-)

    you’re bonkers!! The two bankers of the festival

    #1230972
    IBRacing
    IBRacing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 525

    I’m gonna go against the grain and will be opposing Mullins in every which way possible. As I mentioned in another thread a good while back, I compared Mullins to Japanese Knotweed … so successful that he’s becoming a nuisance and Henderson is going to be the weedkiller! And so, starting with…

    L’Ami Serge to beat Douvan

    Peace And Co to shock Faugheen

    B-)

    you’re bonkers!! The two bankers of the festival

    I have to agree with you. I can see Sprinter beating Un De Seaux but surely Douvan and Faugheen are absolutely nailed on, especially Douvan.

    Ghost you are totally bonkers :wacko: but good luck ;-)

    #1230975
    charlie87
    charlie87
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    • Total Posts 780

    I’m gonna go against the grain and will be opposing Mullins in every which way possible. As I mentioned in another thread a good while back, I compared Mullins to Japanese Knotweed … so successful that he’s becoming a nuisance and Henderson is going to be the weedkiller! And so, starting with…

    L’Ami Serge to beat Douvan

    Peace And Co to shock Faugheen

    Sprinter Sacre to bump off Un De Sceaux

    B-)

    Brave/mental/daring!

    Are you purposefully picking British trained horses to take them on?

    If you are, then I would have Ar Mad over L’Ami Serge and TNO over P&Co, every day of the week. Bigger prices, better form, better value.

    #1231053
    Ghost of Rob V
    Ghost of Rob V
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    • Total Posts 719

    Charlie87 … I’m always an ardent supporter of the British-trained horses come Chelters.

    A few years ago, I recall a horse named Dunguib who, considered by many, was the second coming and was a ‘dead cert’ to win the Supreme Novices Hurdle. One or two folks thought I was nuts when I said that the horse wouldn’t win the race (Menorah won it. I backed Get Me Out Of Here but at least he finished in front of Dunguib) :yahoo:

    Oh, and since Arabian Queen rocked Golden Horn in the Juddmonte, then surely Peace And Co can nail Faugheen and L’Ami Serge turn over Douvan.

    Yep, I’m as bonkers as they come!

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