- This topic has 513 replies, 10 voices, and was last updated 7 years, 7 months ago by
.
-
Posts
-
Really really tough day’s racing. I’m going to need to be spot on with my lays tomorrow. Laying this much out, not much room for mistakes.
Famous last words. Bit of a miracle required to recover from today’s losses. No problem, still got some football bets for tomorrow + there’s always another day to get the money back. Very important not to lose my head and do it all.
A McManus handicapper has f***ed me for the second time in two weeks. I hate the man.
Ah thank goodness, I’ve got 1-2-3-4 on my Another Hero bet. That’s a little bit back for the thread. I had £10EW at 28s but only put £4EW in the thread, so £32 to add.
Also Minella Daddy-Sternrubin EW double going.
£117.16
Lucky last? Johnson to end a horrible meeting for him with a winner? Get out of jail free card for me? Please? Pretty please?
Ah I might have had a little miracle.
Dwight Gayle’s just scored for Newcastle.
I forgot to mention this bet. I think it’s the only bet I’ve done that I didn’t mention!
I’ve put £4 on a draw in each of the 4 Premier League games right now. I can easily see 2-4 draws there with such bad games.
Right, Sternrubin is the only bet I should have done all day as I said in my main post about today’s racing. Let’s see if he does the business. A very valuable lesson learnt today no matter what.
Thank god it’s finished. What a horrible, horrible day.
£93.16
£225 gone in one day. Bad lays were responsible for £100.
Alas, I still have £38 of bets on Tottenham tomorrow, and I still have a 4-fold going with 1 leg up. I also had £4 on draws in each premier league game, as well as my Dwight Gayle bet, so lots of opportunities to recover.
I’ve had £6 on Webster to beat Bunting in the darts now at 7/4.
£87.16
Milan looking like letting me down for £80 as Juventus are winning. Cheers, Milan.
Ok the Jets Dolphins throws up some nice opportunities. The Jets new QB will be playing confidently after beating the 49ers, whereas backup QB Moore for the Dolphins is starting his first game in a while.
£6 Jets 2.26
£6 O 55.5 yards Bobby Anderson
£6 O 75.5 rush yards Jay AjayiVery good start for two of my bets.
Only one of them won + it results in a net loss of about £7.
£97.06
Football tomorrow. Southampton are playing away again. Beautiful. Let’s hopefully turn this into money. Where does the value lie?
Well I think it lies in two places;
HT draw, FT Bournemouth 6/1 £6
At home, Bournemouth have scored most of their goals (9/14) in the 2nd half, while Southampton have conceded most of their away goals in the 2nd half (6/10). There’s no way Bournemouth HT-FT should be shorter IMO, which it is, at 5/1. Southampton do have the 3rd best overall defence in the league, so they could put up a good defensive showing but I expect Bournemouth to score. Romeu is also banned for Southampton, which is sure to have a big effect on their defensive output.
Bournemouth to win to nil £10 4.6
This has been the case for 3 of their last 5 home games against teams not in the top 6. A Ryan Mason deflected shot kept it from being 4/5.
Southampton are shocking away from home. P8, W1, D3, L4. They only scored in 4 of those games, they have the 4th worst attack in the league away from home in terms of scoring goals, they’ve lost their main goalscorer Charlie Austin (responsible for 6/14 league goals) and they’re coming into the game with away form of DLLDDW. They couldn’t score against (10-man) Stoke, Crystal Palace, Leicester or Liverpool – only Burton, Man Utd, Middlesborough, Derby, Sunderland, Leeds and obviously Southampton have failed to score against Liverpool. Hardly a who’s who of exhilarating attacking teams. 3 of the 7 are not from the Premier League.
Bournemouth have the 6th best attack in the league at home, they’re home form is WWLDW coming into the game, Callum Wilson’s back from injury, Wilshere’s playing well, they have a solid home defence and they can score goals from any part of the pitch – their last seven goals were scored by different players.
Bournemouth have had an extra day to recover for this game, and come into the game off a win, whereas Southampton come into it off the back of a disappointing 0-0 AWAY to 10 man Stoke, where they failed to convert 71% possession into a goal. I backed Southampton away to Hull earlier in the year + they were really one-dimensional going forward, never really threatening to score.
Bournemouth have had 4 0-0s in the league this year (Southampton have had 1), so just incase they fail to turn their (assumed) superiority into goals, I’ve had £3 on 0-0 at 9.6.
I’ve also had £3 on 2-1 at 12.5, just incase by some miraculous twist of fate Southampton manage to score. Bournemouth don’t score many (10/22 goals came against Liverpool + Hull, leaving 12 goals over 14 other games), so them scoring 1 or 2 is most likely I think. The fact that it is a derby could throw things into their air though.
£22 outlay. £75.06.
In the Tottenham-Burnley game, I’ve already done the main stuff.
But I’ve had £4 on a penalty being awarded at 4.0. At home, in what I expect to be a goal feast for Spurs, they can continue their run of penalties again. The 4.0 on offer was just too big. Burnley have scored 1 goal away from home all year (a penalty away to Southampton), and I don’t expect them to have much luck against what is arguably the league’s best defence. I can see plenty of goal mouth action with a penalty being awarded.
I’ve also had another £10 on the HT-FT at 1.7.
£61.06.
In the darts I’ve had £6 on Chris Dobey at 1.8.
£55.06. (+ £80 of bets still alive)
Missed laying the fav in the opener at Lingfield, had £4 on the Dow horse in the last there + had £4 on Comely.
£47.06
Here I’ve had £15 on Soupy Soups at 1.6, and 3 place laid #7 to win £8
£32.06
-£6 for the 1.30 at Lingfield.
£6 Shanroe Santos 4.9 1.45 Fak.
1, 2 + 6 need career bests. I’m pretty sure Shanroe will reverse form with Drumlee Lad.
£51.39
I’m annoyed that Bournemouth have scored so early, so I’ve laid Southampton at 5.8 to win £10.
Southampton equaliser. Not well defended. So my Bournemouth win to nil bet is dead, but my draw-Bournemouth bet is alive at 7.0, as is my 2-1 bet + Southampton lay.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.