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Evening selections
5.30 the Curragh
Dream Oasis
Arch enemy
Magnifico
Heart to heart.
Small com forecast
Magnifico Each way
Arch enemy win
Johny Murtagh has a good record in this race and won it last year.
The available draw data from recent years points to the low stalls but speed may change all that. Arch Enemy could be the outlier here….6pm the Curragh
This next selection represents no form and based purely on preference.
Potential and form in the book.
Bear story and innisfree are the two each ways here for me because every other race today has resulted in winners and this is my joker free selection!!!
Bear story has been running well in lesser company and although this is a massive step up a steady run might be rewarded with a running on place although fourth or lower is a likely outcome. Innisfree free has clearly had problems last seen running second to the brilliant kameko a run full of huge promise and if he has been retained in training there must eventually be more to come. Most likely not today but a great training feat to get him back fit. Returning sound is the main aim here, welcome back….Newmarket 6.08
Saga
Win
Eight of Diamonds
Each way
High Gosden won this last year with yesterdays winner and has won three of the last four.7pm
The CurraghWordsworth
Win
Twilight payment win
Reverse forecast
Wordsworth had been a major headache for connections and you could probably put an offer in to purchase if there is no improvement here.
Gets a massive weight allowance here and bids to make it eight years in a row for the stable.
Joseph O’Brien is lurking ready to strike of Wordsworth cannot make it Pay.
Most of princess zoes victories have needed cut in the ground.Princess Zoe
Wordsworth
Twilight payment
Comb
Trifecta7.30
The Curragh
Shona mea
Howling wolf
Reverse forecastBoth win
Santiago
Ran to a lowest rating of 94 and was beaten below in a maiden by howling wolf.
So the Handicapper cannot possibly have caught up yet with Howling wolf given that Santiago won at triple figure ratings at Royal Ascot and he goes to a new yard today after this week’s win.
Santiago form
18Jul19 Leo 7f Good 2y Mdn(19K)9-5[8/1]2nd of 14, 0.5L behind Howling Wolf
D O’Brien
9/48/1
Howling wolf looks a real prospect rejuvenated this term this race came too soon yet he still ran up to fourth and beat Shona mea.
Round up
Five more winners and a forecast
Dubai jewel outran some illustrious rivals and showed plenty of class to win at Newbury @ 5/1
The draw data provided further wins there from
Spanish star who was a strong fighter in a blanket finish to win @ 17/2.
Tardis upheld the stats and research done by people that Tom Segal dismisses as “bore draws” to romp home under Oisin Murphy @ 11/1 backed in from 16/1.
More draw and form data gave a massive forecast the winner ( An outlier) Arch Enemy @ 11/1 the runner up each way Magnifico18/1 and the forecast £186 the largest one so far if memory of the last year serves correct.
Twilight payment won @ 5/1 and signals a major shift in the power base of the O’Brien dynasty. Had I realised how weak the Ballydoyle runner was the trifecta would have been a straight forecast.
Father Aidan had won the race for the last seven years and only put up a weak runner in Wordsworth. There must be at least a dozen better horses in Ballydoyle, capable of putting in a more worthy display.
In Order of St George the stable won the race three of those consecutive seven times.
This is a watershed moment for the best heir apparent of the trainer’s sons and although not the most important or pivotal race, highly significant nonetheless…220 Newbury
Figures00-8111-2132
Rodrigo Diaz. Each way
Sets a good standard
Sold to go to the Melbourne cup.connections hope to see him defy his lowly mark.
Good each way prospect.
HukkumWin
Looks a very good bet to follow up with a winDoncaster 3pm
Documenting
Each way
Comes into this on old form.
Dropped down to a fair mark and may cause an upset if retaining ability. Clear top ratng.
Motawaajed win
Young upstart with all the allowances.
Progressive profile and likely to belie inexperience of just four runs.Newmarket
3.05First Folio
A Dark Angel
Likely to appreciate return to good ground
Chairmanoftheboard
Also sure to prefer this going
Both each wayNewbury
330The draw historically requires a low draw
Figures 21310-0316-14521650423-1-616432-21
Dbai
Might just nick this unasessable meydan form.
Miktahayyel
The other one on a high rating
Both win.
Jessica Harringtons
Njord
The one for each way3.35
DoncasterBrandy Bay
Tickled in the betting.
No suprise to see Tim Easterby get one ready.
Each way
Papitcito
Win
Hard to look beyond this unbeaten runner though345
RiponLincoln park
Manigordo
Mr Wagyu
Golden Appolo
All each wayManigordo
5th @33/1
Golden Appolo 2nd @12/1Tramore 445
These flag starts are national hunt racing in all but name and it won’t suit all horses and jockeys.
UBUNTU win
Figures539-889734
Not backed up 2nd to divinely and failed to live up to 95 rating dropped back to 78 here.
So well treated if able to rekindle sparkle here against some inexperienced horses who ran behind an O’Brien stablemate.
Joseph O’Brien proving adept at placing his runners particularly in opening races in the card.Perth 4.55
Top Of The Charts. Win
Needs a career best to land this race off a mark of 116. Brian Hughes gets to attempt this job for Gavin Cromwell who will have to find extra improvement here. No suprise for inform jockey.
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