Speed Tipping

[Factorman]

Selections

2.10 S      Reinstated   Lost<br>3.20 L      Win A Rose  Won  11/8<br>3.40 S      La Colline    Won 1/4

Rules to Follow

(Edited by Factorman at 7:39 am on Nov. 21, 2006)

[Factorman]

(Edited by Factorman at 7:57 am on Nov. 22, 2006)

[Factorman]

In the Post Data box, filter out those which have an X or ? in the ability or recent form box’s.

4.50 K Penny Post   Won 10/11<br>12.15 L Gaelic Gift   Won  3/1<br>1.50 L Myson          Lost

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(Edited by Factorman at 9:24 pm on Nov. 22, 2006)

[Artemis]

Factorman,

An ‘X’ in the recent form box of the Postdata table is more of a negative, IMO, than a ‘?’.

X indicates poor recent form, while the ? shows that the horse hasn’t had a recent run. For the latter, Spotlight usually mentions whether or not the horse can go well fresh(positive) or usually needs a race or two to reach peak fitness(negative).

[Factorman]

Thanks for that Artemis, shall factor that into future selections.

When a ? appears in the recent form box reference Spotlight for positive or negative comments.<br>Re Postdata Ability…. there must be at least one tick to qualify for selection.

[Factorman]

1.05 U Joyryder                Lost<br>1.55 T Nippy Des Mottes  Lost <br>2.25 T Tambourine Davis  Won 5/4<br>2.35 U Heez A Dreamer    Won 3/1

(Edited by Factorman at 8:43 pm on Nov. 23, 2006)

[cormack15]

Interesting start Factorman – I look forward to following your selections with interest<br>

[Factorman]

Thanks Cormack15, shall resist the temptation to fiddle with the system too much and let it run.

[Factorman]

12.20M Brave Rebellion  Lost<br>1.10 W Beech Games     Lost<br>1.35 N  Wogan               Lost<br>1.45 W Alittlebitleft         Won  2/1

(Edited by Factorman at 7:46 pm on Nov. 24, 2006)

[Factorman]

12.55NcLambrini Legend Lost<br>1.00LAutograph Hunter   Lost<br>1.30LCesc                Won 10/11<br>2.05NbInglis Drever  Won 15/8<br>2.15TBlue Splash       NR<br>2.50TApple Joe      Lost<br>3.10LBrouhtons Folly   Won 7/4<br>3.30NcDesert Quest   Lost<br>4.50KHucking Hill       Won 9/4<br>5.20KEsthlos        Won  11/8<br>8.00WMazin Lady  NR

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(Edited by Factorman at 8:40 pm on Nov. 25, 2006)

[cormack15]

Getting it’s share of winners this system Factorman – interesting to see what filters could be applied to increase profitability.

One filter which almost invariably improves any system performance (where it can be applied) is to back only those who’ve previously won over distance. I might go back over these after today’s results are completed and see what that does to things.

Just as I type ANOTHER BOLTS IN!!

[cormack15]

The ‘must have previously won over distance’ filter doesn’t help (as yet) but I’ll continue to monitor along with a ‘previous course winner’  filter to see what it does over a longer term.

[Factorman]

The system has had quite a good start but its early days. Am sure the (D) winner will improve the system and I’m tracking the C/D plus other factors as of when the Post Data filter came in.

The danger with so many selections on the same day is that any profits gained from previous selections can be wiped out with one bad days racing when outsiders have there way. It came off today but as sure as eggs is eggs that bad day will come and if it comes on the back of an already bad sequence then a losing run could go into high double figures.<br>The benefit of trimming the amount of selections is that when the market leaders are being turned over left right and centre not too much damage is done, however we don’t want to end up with very short priced selections and lose the 3/1 shots either.

Artemis chipped in with a nice peice of info and any research by yourself Cormack (and others) will be most welcome.

Regards

F

[cormack15]

OK FM- If you’re trackign teh D then I’ll leave it to you as I’m real busy with other forum stuff. I’ll be keeping nan eye on this though as it looks interesting.

[Factorman]

12.30N Bonchester Bridge   Lost<br>1.00N   Hot ‘N’ Holy             Won 5/2<br>1.25L Beluga                      Won 9/4<br>3.00L Novacella                  Lost<br>3.35L Mohawk Star             Lost<br>12.10F Aristri                      Lost<br>1.15F  Penzance                 Lost<br>2.20F  Deferlant                 Won 3/1

With fewer tipsters on Sundays there is less of  a pool of opinion so shall monitor the amount of selections and the quality.

(Edited by Factorman at 4:14 pm on Nov. 26, 2006)

[Factorman]

2.00 Billy Bray                   Lost<br>3.20 Keep Your Distance  Lost

(Edited by Factorman at 6:44 pm on Nov. 27, 2006)

[Factorman]

12.40H  Mount Sandal         Won 1/2<br>2.10H    Lawyer Des Ormeaux Lost<br>3.10H    Nenuphar Collonges  Won 8/11<br>1.20L    Onenightinlisbon      Lost<br>2.20L    Birkside      NR<br>3.00S    Cleveland      Lost<br>

(Edited by Factorman at 7:05 pm on Nov. 28, 2006)

[Author]

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