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GOLDEN SHOT
WINGRAND PROVENCE
OCEAN WIND
Both each way
the trial winner and the bottom weight on the traverse has to defy a penalty also though. Balding and Pipe the players in this scenario both have mountains to climb but both will relish the trip,,,
Poor ole soul selection has had a six day sojourn.
Hopefully back with a bang and faster than you can say alternative Japanese medication here’s Hollie Doyle with a banger of a bet.
TRUSHAN
Arrives at ascot in thunderous form and can make it four wins on the bounce in this contest.
Kyprois is still on the recovery trail after health scares and looks like being aimed at winter national hunt challenges.
Trueshan demolished a field at long champ and if suffering no Ill effects from three weeks ago can put this field to the sword as well to secure the naming of this race in future.Ascot 3:05
Factor cheval
Each way
Staying on second and having travelled over again should get run of raceA very nice second on Saturday based on previous channel raid when staying in second to Paddington. Poor old/ young Paddington will they keep him in training and aim him at breeders cup?
look out for some decent priced runners over coming days.Last bets of a good day following
Stunning runner in Hong Kong winning at 9/1 by a country mile.Two nutted runners made up for by the runner in Hong Kong.
Kempton
1900
Brassavola makes yard debut and stepping up in trip for this first run could be anything. Still a maiden and handicapper has put this runner ahead of past winners at the head of the weights and that alone is enough of a reason to look elsewhere.
Trans florseach way
has been running well and but for a tardy start last time would have been right in the frontline. A credible third place means with a clean break could go close and at double figures is worthy of attention.
The runner who has a real shout here on collaborative form with a horse he beat nearly two years ago however is
Silver Screen
win
runs here off a career low mark and beat poptronic in November 21 for what remains just the sole career win. As a result handicap mark has steadily dropped and these two horse’s careers have gone in opposite directions.
Silver screen was a beaten favourite last time clearly better was expected under William Buick but didn’t run at all badly. Poptronic ran at longchamp at the start of the month in testing conditions and really rocked the house at ascot on Saturday winning off a mark of over 100.
There is very little indeed to recommend the well backed top weight given the franking given to silver screen and the fact that a while host of other runners are dropping down to attractive marks here and have British form in this grade. If that one wins all good and well and as Hugh Taylor asserts trainer has a 20% strike rate on stable switchers. This however looks like one of the 80%.
Packing bole absolutely bolted up at sha tin to the blushes of connections horses really blew the doors off there and several steps nearer to another 20 winners already a good month but beginning to turn some money now.
Finally some music
wolves 2030
The draw data horse is prince Ali
the bottom weight here is caramay
The favourite whom I couldn’t earlier recommend is actually very lightly raced and is ridden by Rob Hornby who is in strong form having got up last night in Waterloo sunset and seems to save his best for the last race.
caramay
tiger Beetle
both win
prince Ali
each way
combination forecast all three runners
Nice forecast but ultimately a winner.
The same horse that won in December and set off a chain reaction. Nice to get that one around again. A drop in class this time and doing way below the previous mark carried to victory last time.Friday sees Willie Mullins runner
> strong >Horantzau D’airy
race at Sligo.
< Horantzau D’airy >
Receives weight from the entire field in contrast to a decent race last time at punchestown when conceding a stone and a half to man o work and was not far behind That one. Paul Townend rides.
Horantzau D’airy
Win
1350
SligoIt’s not a good thing to change one’s mind. But at the prices in the opener at Sligo I’ve gone instead for
Byker
Win
Deployed
Each way
Gordon Elliott second string is exactly three years and a month and a day from last win. September 26th. A stable switcher has come from Noel Meade but remains in the clutches of Gigginstown and it might just be under a rejuvenated Sam Ewing that both get into the money today. This does seem to be a straight match between Elliot’s first string and that of Willie Mullins and it really should be given the ratings and the rates. But the going may well take a hand too and if it does we could be in for a treat and at the prices there is little to worry about if that’s indeed the case.Wolverhampton 7:15
An interesting tussle here and one of my favourite trainers for his commitment to his horses and his honesty mark usher always gives a heads up as to his chances
We OTRT back to
@WolvesRaces
for his first run over 14f since Oct 20; with@Lukecatton91
vfm 5lbs he has a cracking ew chance at the weights; should run well the constraint being whether or not he gets home over the last 2f.he may get the trip but that is the million dollar question ???
Ezmiralda
win
Alan King runner and very lightly raced no suprise if an improver tonight.
kittens dream
each way
course and distance winner and if well is assured to get the trip.
one more selection to come in this race.
DOUBLETHETROUBLE
Each way
under Luke Morris for the first time has gone close the last few runs, that he gets this trip there is no doubt as he’s a hurdler and several seconds means he well handicapped and under the whirling dervish could go very close again……
Doncaster 2:45
The form brought into this by Ballymount Boy in Doncaster’s listed class 1 affair looks good enough to win this listed contest.He drops in class from group 1 and followed the progressive Vandeek in a group 2 who followed up at Newmarket recently no one got beat him at Hq while the selection got to within a length. Sectional comparison with races on the same card involving different horses are questionable. The last horse I backed coming off a win at longchamp was well beaten but this runner was not knocked about in high class company there and may be better for the effort back in low class now given an extra week off and can duly frank the form from the vandeek race.
vandeek’s first two runs including that York race the newcomer was slowly away and it’s testament to both ballymount Boy and Andre Atzeni who must have had plenty of confidence going on to win the prix morny at deauville before James Doyle took over at Newmarket. Atzeni now plys his trade in Hong Kong where after a tricky start he is banging in the winner at both tracks on the rock including three days ago seen to great effect on PACKING BOLE at Sha tin. Coincidentally James Doyle takes over now on Ballymount Boy from Jason Hart who has been on board all three runs. He should now know what is needed here.
the draw data runner in stall 3 is Moswaat but this race has been won by stall four two times in the last three runnings which brings the win selection right into this.Moswaat
each way
Ballymount Boy
win
it’s also worth noting ballymount boy is dropping back down to 6 furlongs for the first time since finishing behind the unbeaten vandeek. Vandeek destroyed his field subsequently in a group 1 over this trip but won going away clear by even further 2:25 lengths both Ballymount boy’s next runs at a higher level were over 7f dropping down to the trip he ran so well at behind a now proven and still unbeaten group 1 horse may be hugely stronger collaborative form than a cross compared sectional in a low grade race.
1930
Newcastle1930
FAI FAI
win
has obvious claims having made debut in palace of holyrood stakes at Royal ascot and is surely better than a class six handicapper this is basement stuff and though he’s yet to beat a rival in all starts ,…….,,,
ANK MARVIN
Each way
has to be feared out of the handicap dropped in class for the first time and stepped up in trip on handicap debut on first run for new yard. The ultimate “he could be anything” runner here with obvious claims despite an impossible mark of TWENTY FIVE
2000
i recommend a combination tricast here
hard to look beyond the top weights here and they all look well placed to try and land the first tricast on the penultimate day of the month.
Captains bar
each way
has won off much higher marks in last three years.
acuzena
each way
Blazing 🥵 Hot
win
touched off on yard debut at pontefract by granny B another stable switcher in a better draw. Not seen since and his race to lose here.
LADY CELIA
win
course winner on last visit
strong chance at the weights
The curragh 1307
Rapid mission
Starting off up against city of Troy has not made hoped for progress lots of the others made but in slightly choppier water. Not backed the last twice but has run well and seven pound claimer used today to extract an advantage.Catterick 3:22
SUGARPIEHONEYBUNCH
each way
as a course winner who tried a longer trip here latest, he’s treated pretty well and look highly unexposed at the trip has been rocking along the bottom of the ratings and was bumped right up after winning here off the basement. The handicapper has relented and he looks to hold a great chance compared to last years winner cold Henry who even though doesn’t face much here as the only horse with this trip but off a big weight more than when taking this race is no price to be going with. I can understand the chances and the class factor but the mud will be a great leveller and the double figure odds about this well treated runner who will find more at the business end is worth taking.
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