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  • #20854
    bubbles41
    Member
    • Total Posts 6

    For a while now I,ve been trying to come up with a simple method of rating races(havent we all I hear you say lol).I’ve been paper trading my latest one for about a week or so now and its been showing a level stakes profit on each day with a strike rate of around 32% on top rated and around 40% from the 2 highest rated in each race.So I’ve decided to put the kiss of death on them by posting them on here :) .I’ll post my 2 top rated in each race.So here goes with todays selections

    GOWRAN PARK
    1-05 ARNAUD
    One Cool Shabra 2ND 12-1
    1-35 VOLER LA VEDETTE 2ND 4-6
    Zaidpour WON 11-8
    2-05 GOLANBROOK 3RD 7-2
    Warrior One
    2-35 ALF WRIGHT
    Breaking Bits
    3-05 START ME UP NR
    On His Own WON 10-1
    3-35 CLOUGHMILE
    Hidden Crack
    4-05 MOSCOW MANNON WON 7-4
    Morning Royalty 2ND 9-10

    NEWCASTLE
    1-15 BRINDISI BREEZE WON 10-3
    South Leinster
    1-45 VOSGES 2ND 15-8
    Degas Art
    2-15 KINGS CHORISTER 2ND 4-1
    Dramatic Jewel
    2-45 ALLANARD
    Tyrone House
    3-15 FUNKY MUNKY
    Jewelled Dagger 2ND 11-8
    3-45 CHARGEN
    Ice Image
    4-15 LUCIA BAY WON 4-6
    Erycina

    WARWICK
    1-25 EASYDOESIT NR
    Fire Fighter WON 8-11
    1-55 ONE MORE DINAR 2ND 13-2
    Tim The Chair
    2-25 WHAT AN OSCAR
    Bellflower Boy WON 9-2
    2-55 PACHA DU POLDER WON 5-4
    Nosecond Chance
    3-25 FORTY FIVE NR
    Arctic Ben WON 17-2
    3-55 STARBURST DIAMOND
    The Shoe
    4-25 FURTHER MORE

    KEMPTON
    4-35 STORM RUNNER
    Qeethaara 3RD 11-2
    5-05 ROYAL ACCLAMATION 2ND 4-1
    Kincraighe
    5-35 REMIX
    Mister Mackenzie
    6-05 FIRST ROCK
    Leyte Gulf
    6-35 ROWAN RIDGE 2ND 8-1
    Rasheed 3RD 9-2
    7-05 BANDSTAND
    Earlsmedic 2ND 8-1
    7-35 RIGHTCAR WON 3-1
    Replicator
    8-05 MR SKIPITON NR
    Nacho Libre 3RD 10-11

    TOP RATED 8 from 29 (27.58%) +8.96 pts to level stakes
    TOP 2 RATED 10 from 29 (34.48%)

    #388334
    bubbles41
    Member
    • Total Posts 6

    Could someone please tell me how I can edit my posts on here…..sorry I’m a bit of a techno twit!!!!

    #388336
    Avatar photoelcartero
    Participant
    • Total Posts 861

    Hi Bubbles…
    As long as you are logged in to the forum you can edit your posts by clicking the ‘Edit’ button on the bottom right-hand corner of the post you wish to edit…HTH

    Good luck with your ratings, I shall monitor your progress with interest…My approach is to back two selections in certain race types and find it quite profitable if a little mechanical.

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    #388338
    bubbles41
    Member
    • Total Posts 6

    Thanks mate,I’ve got it now…trip to specsavers might be called for lol

    #388414
    bubbles41
    Member
    • Total Posts 6

    FRIDAY 27TH JANUARY
    FONTWELL
    1-30 BROUGH ACADEMY WON 15-8
    Quousko De L’Isop
    2-00 RATEABLE VALUE
    Oncle Kid
    2-30 SOVEREIGN SPIRIT
    Terra Bleu
    3-00 SIR DU BEARN WON 4-5
    3-30 FOREST RHYTHM
    Rosoff
    4-00 GORING TWO WON 4-6
    Tecktal
    4-30 RUGGED JACK
    Unex Degas

    HUNTINGDON
    1-40 THEREDBALLOON
    Getaway Driver
    2-10 SPANISH CRUISE
    Wise Move
    2-40 CLASH DUFF WON 5-4
    Court Red Handed
    3-10 SIR KEZBAAH
    Theologist WON 7-1
    3-40 PINGARO DE LA VIRE WON 9-4
    Musical Wedge
    4-10 CRY OF FREEDOM
    Ile De Re WON 11-8

    LINGFIELD
    1-20 CLIFFORDS REPRIEVE
    Chjimes WON 4-1
    1-50 REDAIR WON 5-6
    Miseraire Mei
    2-20 CHAMBLES
    Illustrious Lad
    2-50 FISHFORCOMPLIMENTS
    Bold Ring
    3-20 COTTON TRADE
    Bramshill Lass WON 11-1
    3-50 CALEDONIA PRINCESS
    Yankee Storm
    4-20 WELEASE BWIAN
    Russian Bullet

    DUNDALK
    5-50 RICHELIEU
    Almadaa
    6-20 ATTICUS FINCH
    Roman General
    6-50 ECCOSSAISE
    Tarrsille
    7-20 LIFT THE GLOOM
    Atlas Peak
    7-50 FIRST FRIDAY
    Bramante
    8-20 ELUSIVE EXPRESS
    Word For Word
    8-50 FLAVIA TATIANA
    Solo Performer
    9-15 MUTASAREB
    Tribes And Banner

    WOLVERHAMPTON
    4-40 EBRAAM
    Master Of Disguise
    5-10 ENSNARE
    Fleetwoodsands
    5-40 NEEDWOOD RIDGE
    Could It Be Magic
    6-10 SPIN CAST
    Spinning Ridge
    6-40 MILLIBAR
    Arch Of Colours
    7-10 ROSEWOOD LAD
    Three White Socks
    7-40 PETOMIC
    Warden Bond
    8-10 LOVE IN THE PARK
    Cwmni

    #388415
    billion
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4375

    That is a heck of a lot of selections

    Bubbles

    do you have a reduction method?

    Billy's Outback Shack

    #388477
    Avatar photoelcartero
    Participant
    • Total Posts 861

    Promising start, Bubbles….next stage is to analyse where your winners are coming from to identify where your ratings are most effective…
    ie
    Handicaps or Non-Handicaps
    Number of Runners
    Class of Race
    Turf or AW
    etc

    I think you may see a pattern emerge….

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    #388502
    bubbles41
    Member
    • Total Posts 6

    Thanx for the feedback guys,I’ve just had a quick look through the last 3 days results and broken them down as follows

    FLAT(AW)HANDICAP 7-22(31.81%) +7.74pts to level stakes
    FLAT NON HANDICAP 4-14(28.57%) -4.7pts " " "
    NH HANDICAP 4-21(19.04%) +11.5pts " " "
    NH NON HANDICAP 12-24(50%) +11.11pts" " "
    OVERALL 27-81(33.33%) +25.65pts " "

    It seems that Non Handicaps over the jumps seem to be the safest option though its early days yet.By the way these figures are for top rated horses only

    #389238
    manchester
    Member
    • Total Posts 43

    Very early days bubbles but nevertheless rather interesting :lol:

    #389277
    % MAN
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5104

    A good start and as MANCHESTER SAYS IT EARLY DOORS YET but if you could maintain 10PTS PROFIT PER WEEK thats over 500 per year which many would die for to 1 pt bets.

    My 1 concern is you have started the thread but whats happened since last post with selections or is this just when you feel like it as its VERY HARD TO SAY after just 2 post with selections

    Look FORWARD to future post with selections

    % MAN

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