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Sacha’s system

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Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 63 total)
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  • #43883
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Thanks snowman – if I get time I might do that. Sadly I have to work over Xmas/New Year, and do my own horses inbetween so may not get much spare time:(

    #43884
    Avatar photoMatron
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6872

    Snowman’s right Sacha.

    You will always get a bigger return long-term on "win" bets.

    Regards – Matron<br>:cool:

    #43885
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    From Jan 1st then I’ll run this in parrellel. One keep with the ew or win and  one that is win only.  Saves me going back over December’s data!

    #43886
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Haydock 12.50 – Meadows Boy & Madam Mossolost & lost (4th)<br>2.25 – Cassia heights & Reflex Corier 3rd & 4th<br>3.00 – NS<br> <br>Musselborough 1.40 – Plutocrat & Shableblue ew 1st 4/1 & lost<br>2.15 – Ballystone & Woodfield Dale lost

    Newbury12.55 – NS<br>2.30 – Cool Investment 1st 3/1<br>3.05 – Dealers Choice & Newick Park ew lost

    Taunton 1.50 – Great Crusader 1st 4/1<br>2.20 – NS<br>2.55 – Fabrezan lost<br>3.25 – Two tears & luke warm ew 1st 2/1 & 3rd 9/1<br>3.55 – The gene genieonly 2nd

    opening bank 10 pts <br>total bets 161 pts <br>total winnings 168.99 <br>bank as at 28/12 17.99 points

    (Edited by sacha at 9:00 pm on Dec. 28, 2002)

    #43887
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Catterick 12.50 – Tee jay ew & cash for questions ew<br>1.20 – NS<br>1.55 – NS<br>3.35 – The eens   Cancelled

    Cheltenham 1.00 – Paxford Jack ew & joe de capio ew 2nd 14/1 & lost<br>2.10 – Horus & spinofskilost<br>2.45 – muck savage ewlost<br>3.50 – kadito & curtains hilllost and 1st 5.1

    opening bank 10 pts <br>total bets 171 pts <br>total winnings 179.49 <br>bank as at 31/12 18.49 points

    (Edited by sacha at 9:50 pm on Dec. 31, 2002)

    #43888
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Ok two lines to this system for january, one is win only, one carrying on with the ew or win depending on forecast price. Make that 3, one is with my orginal 1st selection top weight win only, 1 with top weighted selection backed according to forecast odds, and one backed according to odds but with a top and lower weighted selection (if there is one). Form is anything ascending as long as last race was a 4th at least eg 321, 544, 761 etc

    Cheltenham 1.40 – Wonder weasel & Sir Frosty only 3rd and 1st 15/8<br>2.50 – Ballinclay King 1st 7/2<br>3.20 – NS<br>3.50 – NS

    Exeter 1.10 – Nameless wonder & Barton Nic meeting off<br>1.45 – Norlandic & kittenkat<br>3.30 – Fast King & Geln warrior

    Leicester 12.55 – River slave only 2nd :( <br>2.35 – NS<br>3.45 –  spilaw (ew) & maybe seven (ew) 2nd 9/1 & 3rd 9/2

    Not a bad start!

    Option 1 1/1/03 (win only 1 selection)- Bet – 4 pts <br>Winnings – 4.5 pts<br>Profit – .5 pt

    Option 2 1/1/03 (win or ew 1 selection)<br>Bet – 5 points<br>Winnings – 6.75 pts<br>Profit – 1.75 pts

    Option 3 1/1/03 (win or ew 2 selections)<br>Bet – 8 pts<br>Winnings – 12.75 pts<br>Profit – 4.75 pts

    Well all in profit after day 1 of the New Year!!<br>

    (Edited by sacha at 9:49 am on Jan. 2, 2003)

    #43889
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 556

    Hi Sacha, have you changed things slightly? I notice you are putting up two selections for some races – but I’m sure you initially said " if more than one selection choose the one carrying most weight" or words to that effect  Also Ballinclay King today has form figures of P33  so would 544 also be a qualifier? Your results seem excellent Sacha keep at it.

    #43890
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Hi snowman – yes I got to thinking that slugging top weight around in soft or heavy was always going to be hard work so I guess I am cheating by putting in the bottom weight if there is one too. I think when the ground improves again carrying a big weight is less of a handicap (as it were) – ha ha that’s if it ever stops raining. I suppose I could split this into 3 streams – one with my orginal top weighted only, one with my wimpy have a 2nd selection at lower weights, and one that only bets to win and not each way. <br>I am not very good at sticking to rules am I – even if I invented them myself. :biggrin:

    #43891
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    2/2/03

    Ayr 1.10 – Camp Hill & Atlantic Power only 2nd  & lost<br>2.10 – Curly Spencer & Bright Destiny (ew) 1st evens & lost<br>2.40 – Talarive & political socks (ew) 1st 4/5 & 2nd 10/1<br>3.40 – Castle clear (ew) & tony the piler NR and lost

    Option 1 2/1/03 (win only 1 selection)<br>Bet – 7 pts<br>Winnings – 8.3 pts<br>Profit – 1.3 pts

    Option 2 (win or ew 1 selection)<br>Bet – 8 pts<br>Winnings – 10.55 pts<br>Profit – 2.55 pts

    Option 3 (win or ew 2 selections)<br>Bet – 17 pts<br>Winnings – 20.05 pts<br>Profit – 3.05 pts

    (Edited by sacha at 9:08 pm on Jan. 2, 2003)

    #43892
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    3/3/02

    Ludlow 1.05 – Stopwatch (ew) 2nd 5/1<br>2.10 – Hombre only 3rd

    Option 1 3/1/03 (win only 1 selection) <br>Bet – 9 pts <br>Winnings – 8.3 pts <br>Profit – (1.3) pts

    Option 2 (win or ew 1 selection) <br>Bet – 11 pts <br>Winnings – 12.8 pts <br>Profit – 1.8 pts

    Option 3 (win or ew 2 selections) <br>Bet – 20 pts <br>Winnings – 22.3 pts <br>Profit – 2.3 pts

    (Edited by sacha at 12:26 pm on Jan. 4, 2003)

    #43893
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Doesn’t look like there will be any racing tomorrow so no selections

    #43894
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Well now that the frost seems to have abated a bit I shall start up again.

    Doncaster 2.25 – Just a Touch , Star Councel (ew)lost and lost<br>2.55 – Raffles Rooster, Shuttleworth (ew) lost (2nd) and lost<br>3.25 – Skinsey Finneganlost only 2nd

    Plumpton 12.45 – Ice Crystal, Bigwig (ew)NR and lost<br>1.15 – Gala du moulin Mas (ew)lost<br>2.45 – Luke Warmlost

    <br>Option 1 13/1/03 (win only 1 selection) <br>Bet – 14 pts <br>Winnings – 8.3 pts <br>Profit – (5.7) pts

    Option 2 (win or ew 1 selection) <br>Bet – 17 pts <br>Winnings – 12.8 pts <br>Profit – (4.2) pts

    Option 3 (win or ew 2 selections) <br>Bet – 32 pts <br>Winnings – 22.3 pts <br>Profit – (9.7) pts

    A thorough disaster – I hope tomorrow is better :angry:

    (Edited by sacha at 5:15 pm on Jan. 13, 2003)

    #43895
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    I hope tomorrow is a bit more fruitful

    Ayr 2.25 – The Rile another 2nd!!<br>2.55 – Cita Verda, Sweet Milly (ew) 1st 4/6, and 3rd 14/1 but oops only 5 runners :(

    Folkestone `12.45 – King of the dawn, spilaw 2nd and lost<br>1.45 – Flinders Chase, Renaloo yet another 2nd and 1st 4/1<br>2.45 – Lucys Lad lost

    Option 1 13/1/03 (win only 1 selection) <br>Bet – 19 pts <br>Winnings – 9.97 pts <br>Profit – (9.03) pts

    Option 2 (win or ew 1 selection) <br>Bet – 22 pts <br>Winnings – 14.47 pts <br>Profit – (7.53) pts

    Option 3 (win or ew 2 selections) <br>Bet – 41 pts <br>Winnings – 28.97 pts <br>Profit – (12.03) pts

    (Edited by sacha at 9:33 pm on Jan. 14, 2003)

    #43897
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 556

    Glad you’ve started this one back up Sacha – good luck today

    (Edited by snowman at 12:49 pm on Jan. 14, 2003)

    #43899
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Thanks Snowman, i just need a few less 2nds and a few more winners

    Huntingdon 2.30 – Tristan Ludlow another 2nd!!!!<br>3.30 – Red Guardhurrah 1st 3/1<br>4.00 – no selection although nameless wonder only failed to qualify by 1 day!

    Newcastle 1.20 – Pornic (ew) 2nd 7/1, Shaffishayes only 3rd<br>2.20 – no selection<br>3.20 – Sireric, over zealous another 2nd place and a 4th

    Option 1 13/1/03 (win only 1 selection) <br>Bet – 23 pts <br>Winnings – 13.97 pts <br>Profit – (9.03) pts

    Option 2 (win or ew 1 selection) <br>Bet – 27 pts <br>Winnings – 21.22 pts <br>Profit – (5.78) pts

    Option 3 (win or ew 2 selections) <br>Bet – 48 pts <br>Winnings – 35.72 pts <br>Profit – (12.28) pts

    (Edited by sacha at 10:12 pm on Jan. 15, 2003)

    #43902
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Still got 2nditis

    Ludlow12.45 – Great  Crusader (ew) only 4th<br>1.50 – Brady Boys, Fraternise (ew)both lost<br>2.20 – taking a risk on Imaginaire as he has a B in middle of his form, and I did allow it earlier on, (ew), another 4th2nd selection Royal Belugalost<br>2.50 – Dark Room, Haste Ye Back (ew)2nd and lost

    Taunton 2.10 – Just maybe (ew) 1st 7/1<br>2.40 – Wartorn(ew) 2nd 8/1<br>3.10 – Lawz (ew)Megazine (ew)3rd 6/1 and NR<br>3.40 – Two tears, stopwatch (ew)both lost

    <br>Option 1 13/1/03 (win only 1 selection) <br>Bet – 31 pts <br>Winnings – 21.97 pts <br>Profit – (9.03) pts

    Option 2 (win or ew 1 selection) <br>Bet – 40 pts <br>Winnings – 37.47 pts <br>Profit – (2.53) pts

    Option 3 (win or ew 2 selections) <br>Bet – 68 pts <br>Winnings – 51.97 pts <br>Profit – (16.03) pts

    (Edited by sacha at 10:43 am on Jan. 17, 2003)

    #43904
    sacha
    Member
    • Total Posts 55

    Chepstow 2.05 – Nordic Prince (ew) Helvetius (ew)lost x 2<br>2.40 – no selection <br>3.50 – Dame Fonteyen(ew)Mrs Pickles (ew)

    Muselburugh 12.45 – No Kiddinh (ew)Pharbetifrome (ew)lost x 2<br>3.05 – Curtins Hill, Real Fire (ew)

    Option 1 13/1/03 (win only 1 selection) <br>Bet – 31 pts <br>Winnings – 21.97 pts <br>Profit – (9.03) pts

    Option 2 (win or ew 1 selection) <br>Bet – 40 pts <br>Winnings – 37.47 pts <br>Profit – (2.53) pts

    Option 3 (win or ew 2 selections) <br>Bet – 68 pts <br>Winnings – 51.97 pts <br>Profit – (16.03) pts

    (Edited by sacha at 2:53 pm on Jan. 17, 2003)

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 63 total)
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