Racemares theory.

[Gerald]

2002
Tashawak
311

1

17/
First two wins were the previous season, but did follow it up at 5/2 Gp2 Falmouth Stakes. Then tried Gp 1 . .

2006
Red Evie !
91111

1

115177120/
Well, she was already on a run. Followed it up at 15/8 and 6/1

Okay, that was a very small sample.
I think that before 2002 it was called the Fern Hill Stakes, so I’ll do a search for that now.

[Blunkett]

Soviet Song

111424523121116312416252/

[Gerald]

1988
Storm Kitty
281

1

80/
Beat

1989
Minstrel Guest
06511

1

0424/
Beat

1992
Calpella
441

1

080/
Beat
Calpella wasn’t the real winner – beaten 0.5 lengths by Nashville Blues, won race in Stewards’ Room. I was on Nashville Blues.

1993
Barboukh
647221

1

567/
Beat

1996
Dawna
221

1

40/
Beat

1997
Brave Kris
72381

1

640620147/
Beat

1999
Holly Blue
45601

1

6422000/
Beat

2000
Papabile
52241

1

148/
Followed up at 100/30

2001
Independence
37241

1

311/
Beat

[NWRA]

I think it’s a good idea to look for graded-level horses who can dominate a niché type of race. Over the last few years, look at horses like Beef or Salmon (3m chases in Ireland), Nickname (2m/2m4f chases in Ireland) and lately Catch Me (2m-3m hurdles in Ireland – they were/are a class above the rest in their respective, weak divisions and can build-up sequences. This obviously applies to mares too, i.e., Solerina, Peeping Fawn on the flat.

There’s also the factor for mares of being in-foal though this applies to older handicappers who, once they win and confirm that it has had an effect (it doesn’t always) can then run-up quick sequences because being in-foal has made them 20/30 pounds better.

[Gerald]

Okay, here is a challenge. Branston Abby ran 97 times. Can anyone come up with a mare that ran more than 100 times?

[Marcus Weedon]

Too easy!

Madame Jones.

[graysonscolumn]

Can anyone come up with a mare that ran more than 100 times?

Does Merlene Ottey count?

gc

Jeremy Grayson. Son of immigrant. Adoptive father of two. Metadata librarian. Freelance point-to-point / horse racing writer, analyst and commentator wonk. Loves music, buses, cats, the BBC Micro, ale. Advocate of CBT, PACE and therapeutic parenting. Aspergers.

[MDeering]

Therefore, the theory is inconclusive, I gather?

I don’t feel defeated regarding the "suggestion" – I still believe mares are more likely to string consecutive wins together within the niche market of mares races, owing to the nature and attitude of a mare.

I must say, reading my own suggestion and reasoning – it sounds absolutely ludicrous and without merit, but I can’t dismiss the argument!

I probably need a lie down.

[Gerald]

What I want to investigate is something analogous.

We have all come to know through Big Mac that backing 3yos versus older horses in the early part of the season is folly.

However, if a 3yo DOES win against older oppo early on, is it worth following?

I’ll check out out the results for 2007 & 2008 ( the only ones I have), and post them on Sunday, as there is no overtime.

[Author]

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