Home › Forums › Betting Chat – Bets & Tips › Punxsutawney Phil
- This topic has 101 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 2 years, 9 months ago by sporting sam.
-
AuthorPosts
-
February 9, 2022 at 14:41 #1582232
Fairyhouse
245Global export 🌎
HMS seahorse 🌎
Chacha Dancer
Small each wayGlobal export win without HMS seahorse
HMS seahorse win.
Both of these two have string claims and have both gone close in recent runs. The most exposed of the two is likely Global export who looked to be putting all in while seahorse has made vital mistakes in running but third behind Pied piper and Vauban is Quality form.
Chacha Dancer under Danny Mullins has show ability in several runs and is an interesting runner here.February 9, 2022 at 14:57 #1582237I haven’t totted up the world steps for a while, but I’d like to think I’m in the high teens now from about forty or so attempted steps.
A good win for HMS seahorse there but Global export made him work all the way. Could have been much closer but that is how Global Export has been and will improve when found the right conditions to exploit. Certainly more to come from the winner…February 9, 2022 at 15:05 #15822393.07
SedgefieldTRESHNISH
Win
TRESHNISH
Win without the big Jetaway
TRESHNISH though is a long way below his best winning mark and was involved in a blanket finish of two noses behind cenotice over at Newcastle last time and who ran a Venitia Williams runner close today to frank the form.February 9, 2022 at 15:15 #1582240TRESHNISH was not sound while long time leader ITSALONGLONGROAD was travelling a full half furlong further than the others jumping wildly to his right at every fence. The big Jetaway was very backable in running and there was a chance to cashout some of Treshnish who was never at the races unfortunately….
February 9, 2022 at 15:28 #1582244345
FairyhouseBURN THE EVIDENCE
Win.
Big odds on here and a truly risky proposition but Gordon Elliott likes nothing more than getting one over on his rival trainer.
It is possible that the Mullins horse has a little more scope, but he has failed to complete on two occasions and BURNTHEEVIDENCE looks well placed to take his rivals on for the lead here on reasonably good ground.February 9, 2022 at 15:58 #1582247Hunter chase
Ludlow
4pmGREEN WINTER
Each way
PONT AVON
Win
Comes here fresh and in winning form straight from Willie Mullins for new yard.
Won a point to point by a distance and more last month so well primed on request for this race.February 9, 2022 at 16:12 #15822504.15
Fairyhouse
Last raceSean says
Each way
Massive price.
Difficult decision
Win
Bancroft
Win
Dancing Jeremy could trump these but they are the value runners here……February 9, 2022 at 16:39 #1582251Latino Fling
Win.
4.40
Ludlow
Up 8 pounds fair rise.
Good chance here…
Been running off low mark for a long time and wind surgery has made all the difference…February 9, 2022 at 16:48 #1582252Kempton 4.55
Flaming dawn is expected to win here but……
ANK MARVIN big outsider here and really no chance but small each way and win without flaming dawn.
MISS SEAFIRE
Close second to the Tron and not far behind two tarters at Southwell last time also has a chance from the outside stall.
MISS SEAFIRE win without flaming dawn
ANK MARVIN
Each way
Win without flaming dawn
Ank Marvin saddle slipped so could be better than bare formFebruary 9, 2022 at 17:13 #1582253Kempton 5.30
ALMODOVAR DEL RIO
UMMSUQUAIM
EXCELLING
GIDWA
Combination tricastALMODOVAR DEL RIO
Win
UMMSUQUAIM
Each way
UMMSUQUAIM has been excellent since changing yards and Hollie Doyle takes over from Jane Elliott.
Almodovar Del Rio
Was a close second and well clear of the remainder of runners last time and can go very close here. Small chance too of landing the tricast.February 9, 2022 at 17:25 #1582259Round up
BURN THE EVIDENCE
PONT AVON
a bloodless stable debut winner probably the best of the day.
HMS SEAHORSE
GLOBAL EXPORT ( win without market)
ILE DE JERSEY won for the soul selection.
Possibly selections in the Hugh Taylor thread later on. Some possibles already posted there.February 9, 2022 at 17:52 #1582263One additional race. 6pm
LANDERMERE
Each way
Debutant well bred and stables last two runners have gone in.
If he’s on the gallops with them he could go close so worth a small each way here.
However
With more than one Godolphin runner here always a complication but
PARLANDO
Win
Steps up in trip after an authoritive win last time and should be good enough hereGulfstream 5.59!!
Code name Lise
WinFebruary 9, 2022 at 18:08 #1582265LANDERMERE!!!!!
February 9, 2022 at 18:10 #1582266That was a sweet win!
February 9, 2022 at 18:25 #1582268Hi Dgpeagee all good fun.
I will leave the American racing alone the middle east and far east tracks I get just fine.
Frustrating though when the tricast selections win and you are on the tricast and not the forecast.
Fat Gladiator just just slipped the radar but was calcuable. Next time!
Landermere won with some authority there a nice 22/1.
Right onwards and upwards.
6.30
AMBER ISLAND
UNIVERSAL EFFECT
Both win
Universal effect has been on here before….
Amber island
Has shaped as though step up to a mile would suit.
Dropped back to last winning mark already from three runs back.
UE
has also won recently and is still well in the win zone with a win at 66 mark as well in the past ….Luke Morris can row this runner homeFebruary 9, 2022 at 18:53 #15822717pm
No joy there.
KHATWAH
Win
LIGHT OF THUNDER
Win without Khatwah.Khatwah is on a hat trick and still on the upgrade.
Has superiority over exuding and eyes.
Newcomer light of Thunder runs off his lowest mark on first run for new yard and has the service of a top jockey. This small field should suit. Khatwah also has an experienced stablemate in the line up to help ensure a fair pace.February 9, 2022 at 19:50 #15822768PM
TULANE
Win
Course and distance winner the only one.
Lost nothing in defeat over shorter to two runners who have franked the form since including in tonight’s previous race.
SEREVUS ALEXANDER
Each way
Ex Joseph O’Brien and Gavin Cromwell runner may well appreciate this trip.
Final selection for this thread.
“Less is more” starts tomorrowRound up
Winners
BURN THE EVIDENCE evs
PONT AVON 6/4
a bloodless stable debut winner probably the best of the day. Readied and prepped with a huge points win at Higham.
HMS SEAHORSE
GLOBAL EXPORT (in the win without market)
Landermere won @ 22/1
Khatwah 10/11
ILE DE JERSEY won for the soul selection.
Each way selection
Ummsuquaim 2nd 8/1Lots of winners on this short thread at up to 22/1 (unraced newcomer), the best of them Beattie is back 14/1(3rd run) amongst several juvenile winners, last Friday at Newcastle and Miss Sligo 12/1 on Saturday.
But the biggest flaw is that selections are often at the post and too numerous. Two winners a day both at evens would be better. So coming up ” less is more” it may take a while to get the knack and a total seachange in race reading. Looking for three or four quality selections it will take a while to get out of a bad habit but looking forward to the challenge. And, of course one or two punters will be able to place bets at their leisure given time to read the rationale behind a selection, rather than two minutes before the off.
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.