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Punxsutawney Phil

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Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 102 total)
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  • #1582232
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Fairyhouse
    245

    Global export 🌎
    HMS seahorse 🌎
    Chacha Dancer
    Small each way

    Global export win without HMS seahorse
    HMS seahorse win.
    Both of these two have string claims and have both gone close in recent runs. The most exposed of the two is likely Global export who looked to be putting all in while seahorse has made vital mistakes in running but third behind Pied piper and Vauban is Quality form.
    Chacha Dancer under Danny Mullins has show ability in several runs and is an interesting runner here.

    #1582237
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    I haven’t totted up the world steps for a while, but I’d like to think I’m in the high teens now from about forty or so attempted steps.
    A good win for HMS seahorse there but Global export made him work all the way. Could have been much closer but that is how Global Export has been and will improve when found the right conditions to exploit. Certainly more to come from the winner…

    #1582239
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    3.07
    Sedgefield

    TRESHNISH
    Win
    TRESHNISH
    Win without the big Jetaway
    TRESHNISH though is a long way below his best winning mark and was involved in a blanket finish of two noses behind cenotice over at Newcastle last time and who ran a Venitia Williams runner close today to frank the form.

    #1582240
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    TRESHNISH was not sound while long time leader ITSALONGLONGROAD was travelling a full half furlong further than the others jumping wildly to his right at every fence. The big Jetaway was very backable in running and there was a chance to cashout some of Treshnish who was never at the races unfortunately….

    #1582244
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    345
    Fairyhouse

    BURN THE EVIDENCE
    Win.
    Big odds on here and a truly risky proposition but Gordon Elliott likes nothing more than getting one over on his rival trainer.
    It is possible that the Mullins horse has a little more scope, but he has failed to complete on two occasions and BURNTHEEVIDENCE looks well placed to take his rivals on for the lead here on reasonably good ground.

    #1582247
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Hunter chase
    Ludlow
    4pm

    GREEN WINTER
    Each way
    PONT AVON
    Win
    Comes here fresh and in winning form straight from Willie Mullins for new yard.
    Won a point to point by a distance and more last month so well primed on request for this race.

    #1582250
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    4.15
    Fairyhouse
    Last race

    Sean says
    Each way
    Massive price.
    Difficult decision
    Win
    Bancroft
    Win
    Dancing Jeremy could trump these but they are the value runners here……

    #1582251
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Latino Fling
    Win.
    4.40
    Ludlow
    Up 8 pounds fair rise.
    Good chance here…
    Been running off low mark for a long time and wind surgery has made all the difference…

    #1582252
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Kempton 4.55

    Flaming dawn is expected to win here but……
    ANK MARVIN big outsider here and really no chance but small each way and win without flaming dawn.
    MISS SEAFIRE
    Close second to the Tron and not far behind two tarters at Southwell last time also has a chance from the outside stall.
    MISS SEAFIRE win without flaming dawn
    ANK MARVIN
    Each way
    Win without flaming dawn
    Ank Marvin saddle slipped so could be better than bare form

    #1582253
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Kempton 5.30
    ALMODOVAR DEL RIO
    UMMSUQUAIM
    EXCELLING
    GIDWA
    Combination tricast

    ALMODOVAR DEL RIO
    Win
    UMMSUQUAIM
    Each way
    UMMSUQUAIM has been excellent since changing yards and Hollie Doyle takes over from Jane Elliott.
    Almodovar Del Rio
    Was a close second and well clear of the remainder of runners last time and can go very close here. Small chance too of landing the tricast.

    #1582259
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Round up
    BURN THE EVIDENCE
    PONT AVON
    a bloodless stable debut winner probably the best of the day.
    HMS SEAHORSE
    GLOBAL EXPORT ( win without market)
    ILE DE JERSEY won for the soul selection.
    Possibly selections in the Hugh Taylor thread later on. Some possibles already posted there.

    #1582263
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    One additional race. 6pm
    LANDERMERE
    Each way
    Debutant well bred and stables last two runners have gone in.
    If he’s on the gallops with them he could go close so worth a small each way here.
    However
    With more than one Godolphin runner here always a complication but
    PARLANDO
    Win
    Steps up in trip after an authoritive win last time and should be good enough here

    Gulfstream 5.59!!
    Code name Lise
    Win

    #1582265
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    LANDERMERE!!!!!

    #1582266
    dgpeagee
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    • Total Posts 24

    That was a sweet win!

    #1582268
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    Hi Dgpeagee all good fun.
    I will leave the American racing alone the middle east and far east tracks I get just fine.
    Frustrating though when the tricast selections win and you are on the tricast and not the forecast.
    Fat Gladiator just just slipped the radar but was calcuable. Next time!
    Landermere won with some authority there a nice 22/1.
    Right onwards and upwards.
    6.30
    AMBER ISLAND
    UNIVERSAL EFFECT
    Both win
    Universal effect has been on here before….
    Amber island
    Has shaped as though step up to a mile would suit.
    Dropped back to last winning mark already from three runs back.
    UE
    has also won recently and is still well in the win zone with a win at 66 mark as well in the past ….Luke Morris can row this runner home

    #1582271
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    7pm

    No joy there.
    KHATWAH
    Win
    LIGHT OF THUNDER
    Win without Khatwah.

    Khatwah is on a hat trick and still on the upgrade.
    Has superiority over exuding and eyes.
    Newcomer light of Thunder runs off his lowest mark on first run for new yard and has the service of a top jockey. This small field should suit. Khatwah also has an experienced stablemate in the line up to help ensure a fair pace.

    #1582276
    Avatar photosporting sam
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    8PM

    TULANE
    Win
    Course and distance winner the only one.
    Lost nothing in defeat over shorter to two runners who have franked the form since including in tonight’s previous race.
    SEREVUS ALEXANDER
    Each way
    Ex Joseph O’Brien and Gavin Cromwell runner may well appreciate this trip.
    Final selection for this thread.
    “Less is more” starts tomorrow

    Round up
    Winners
    BURN THE EVIDENCE evs
    PONT AVON 6/4
    a bloodless stable debut winner probably the best of the day. Readied and prepped with a huge points win at Higham.
    HMS SEAHORSE
    GLOBAL EXPORT (in the win without market)
    Landermere won @ 22/1
    Khatwah 10/11
    ILE DE JERSEY won for the soul selection.
    Each way selection
    Ummsuquaim 2nd 8/1

    Lots of winners on this short thread at up to 22/1 (unraced newcomer), the best of them Beattie is back 14/1(3rd run) amongst several juvenile winners, last Friday at Newcastle and Miss Sligo 12/1 on Saturday.

    But the biggest flaw is that selections are often at the post and too numerous. Two winners a day both at evens would be better. So coming up ” less is more” it may take a while to get the knack and a total seachange in race reading. Looking for three or four quality selections it will take a while to get out of a bad habit but looking forward to the challenge. And, of course one or two punters will be able to place bets at their leisure given time to read the rationale behind a selection, rather than two minutes before the off.

Viewing 17 posts - 86 through 102 (of 102 total)
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