I wonder if anyone can shed any light on the market performance of Prime Contender at Towcester tonight?
He was backed from 20-1 to 6-1 overnight and this morning, and when I went to back him this afternoon he was 9-1 with Paddy Power.
He then opened on course at 10-1and I backed him each-way at that price.
But he drifted from 10s to 33-1 in the ten minutes before the off; but here’s the surprise: Far from being under pressure in the paddock, he made most and was only caught on the run-in.
As he’s in the Candlish stable, which knows when to back them, what on earth could have cause his price to drift the way it did?
Absolutely no idea – I thought the 33/1 was a ridiculous price and I lumped on each way, funnily enough I was about to happily take the 25’s just before the price changed to 33’s so I increased my stake.
He looked OK in the parade ring but the clincher for me was the way he moved beautifully to post.
I suppose the only serious concern was running on rapidly deteriorating ground after such a long (1,735 day) layoff.
To be honest the weather was foul at Towcester last night, especially around the time of the first race and not that many people were watching the horses either in the parade ring or going down.
Plus it was ladies night so it was more a non-racing crowd.
So the market would have been very weak and possibly not very reflective.